APPF

AppFolio, Inc.

70
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

APPF offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over APPF overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

APPF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

APPF's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

APPF PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1938x3877x5815x7754x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1938x3877x5815x7754x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward28x$223—
Cheap36x$170-24%
Current47x$223—
Fair50x$235+5.4%
Expensive178x$844+279%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

APPF's PE is in its fair range at 47x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 28x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over APPF in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

APPF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

APPF has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

APPF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+35%$300.75
Downside-19%$180.68

Calculated from the latest close: $222.80 on Nov 12.

APPF trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than APPF, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

APPF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.07Q1 2024: $2.11Q2 2024: $3.45Q3 2024: $3.63Q4 2024: $5.55Q1 2025: $5.36Q2 2025: $5.54Q3 2025: $5.57Q4 2025: $3.88Q1 2026: $4.20Q2 2026: $4.38Q3 2026: $4.74Forward: $7.98
Q4 2023: $0.07Q1 2024: $2.11Q2 2024: $3.45Q3 2024: $3.63Q4 2024: $5.55Q1 2025: $5.36Q2 2025: $5.54Q3 2025: $5.57Q4 2025: $3.88Q1 2026: $4.20Q2 2026: $4.38Q3 2026: $4.74Forward: $7.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.98+68%
Q3 2026$4.74-15%
Q2 2026$4.38-21%
Q1 2026$4.20-22%
Q4 2025$3.88-30%
Q3 2025$5.57+53%
Q2 2025$5.54+61%
Q1 2025$5.36+154%
Q4 2024$5.55+7829%

APPF earned $4.74 per share over the past year, down 15% from the year before.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over APPF on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

APPF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $172MQ1 2024: $187MQ2 2024: $197MQ3 2024: $206MQ4 2024: $204MQ1 2025: $218MQ2 2025: $236MQ3 2025: $249MQ4 2025: $248MQ1 2026: $262MQ2 2026: $281MQ3 2026: $296M
Q4 2023: $172MQ1 2024: $187MQ2 2024: $197MQ3 2024: $206MQ4 2024: $204MQ1 2025: $218MQ2 2025: $236MQ3 2025: $249MQ4 2025: $248MQ1 2026: $262MQ2 2026: $281MQ3 2026: $296M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$295.7M+19%
Q2 2026$281.1M+19%
Q1 2026$262.2M+20%
Q4 2025$248.2M+22%
Q3 2025$249.4M+21%
Q2 2025$235.6M+19%
Q1 2025$217.7M+16%
Q4 2024$203.7M+19%

APPF has the edge over MSFT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

APPF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: $42MQ2 2024: $51MQ3 2024: $57MQ4 2024: $36MQ1 2025: $38MQ2 2025: $52MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $64MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $88MQ3 2026: $97M
Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: $42MQ2 2024: $51MQ3 2024: $57MQ4 2024: $36MQ1 2025: $38MQ2 2025: $52MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $64MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $88MQ3 2026: $97M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$96.8M+14%
Q2 2026$87.6M+67%
Q1 2026$34.1M-11%
Q4 2025$63.7M+75%
Q3 2025$84.7M+47%
Q2 2025$52.4M+3%
Q1 2025$38.2M-7.9%
Q4 2024$36.4M+30%

APPF has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

APPF Total Shares

Q4 2023: 36MQ1 2024: 37MQ2 2024: 37MQ3 2024: 37MQ4 2024: 37MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 36MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 36MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 36M
Q4 2023: 36MQ1 2024: 37MQ2 2024: 37MQ3 2024: 37MQ4 2024: 37MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 36MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 36MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 36M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+117K shares
1 year-1.9%-681K shares
3 years-2.5%-904K shares
5 years+2.8%+964K shares
Available history0%+11K shares

APPF has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

APPF Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.8xQ1 2024: -0.7xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.8xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -1.2x
Q4 2023: -1.8xQ1 2024: -0.7xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.8xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.3xNet Cash

APPF has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

APPF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.2Neutral
Stochastic70.3Neutral

APPF's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 70 (neutral).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

APPF PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAPPFSector medianRelative
PE47x28x69% above
PE %463511 pts above

APPF is trading at 47x earnings, a 69% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT has the edge over APPF on valuation relative to its sector.

APPF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$212.44.9% above
20 week MA$203.59.5% above
50 week MA$191.316% above
100 week MA$215.43.4% above
200 week MA$205.28.6% above

APPF has the edge over MSFT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.

APPF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$111.1$180.6+63%
2021$180.6$127.4-29%
2022$127.4$104.6-18%
2023$104.6$173.2+66%
2024$173.2$249.9+44%
2025$249.9$237.3-5%
2026 YTD$237.3$222.8-6.1%

APPF has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 6.1% so far in 2026.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over APPF on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key