APPF

AppFolio, Inc.

70
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

APPF has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

APPF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

APPF's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

APPF PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1938x3877x5815x7754x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1938x3877x5815x7754x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward28x$223—
Cheap36x$170-24%
Current47x$223—
Fair50x$235+5.4%
Expensive178x$844+279%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

APPF's PE is in its fair range at 47x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 28x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

APPF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for APPF, with profitability improving.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

APPF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+35%$300.75
Downside-19%$180.68

Calculated from the latest close: $222.80 on Nov 12.

APPF trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than APPF, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

APPF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.07Q1 2024: $2.11Q2 2024: $3.45Q3 2024: $3.63Q4 2024: $5.55Q1 2025: $5.36Q2 2025: $5.54Q3 2025: $5.57Q4 2025: $3.88Q1 2026: $4.20Q2 2026: $4.38Q3 2026: $4.74Forward: $7.98
Q4 2023: $0.07Q1 2024: $2.11Q2 2024: $3.45Q3 2024: $3.63Q4 2024: $5.55Q1 2025: $5.36Q2 2025: $5.54Q3 2025: $5.57Q4 2025: $3.88Q1 2026: $4.20Q2 2026: $4.38Q3 2026: $4.74Forward: $7.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.98+68%
Q3 2026$4.74-15%
Q2 2026$4.38-21%
Q1 2026$4.20-22%
Q4 2025$3.88-30%
Q3 2025$5.57+53%
Q2 2025$5.54+61%
Q1 2025$5.36+154%
Q4 2024$5.55+7829%

APPF has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

APPF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $172MQ1 2024: $187MQ2 2024: $197MQ3 2024: $206MQ4 2024: $204MQ1 2025: $218MQ2 2025: $236MQ3 2025: $249MQ4 2025: $248MQ1 2026: $262MQ2 2026: $281MQ3 2026: $296M
Q4 2023: $172MQ1 2024: $187MQ2 2024: $197MQ3 2024: $206MQ4 2024: $204MQ1 2025: $218MQ2 2025: $236MQ3 2025: $249MQ4 2025: $248MQ1 2026: $262MQ2 2026: $281MQ3 2026: $296M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$295.7M+19%
Q2 2026$281.1M+19%
Q1 2026$262.2M+20%
Q4 2025$248.2M+22%
Q3 2025$249.4M+21%
Q2 2025$235.6M+19%
Q1 2025$217.7M+16%
Q4 2024$203.7M+19%

APPF's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $296M last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

APPF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: $42MQ2 2024: $51MQ3 2024: $57MQ4 2024: $36MQ1 2025: $38MQ2 2025: $52MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $64MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $88MQ3 2026: $97M
Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: $42MQ2 2024: $51MQ3 2024: $57MQ4 2024: $36MQ1 2025: $38MQ2 2025: $52MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $64MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $88MQ3 2026: $97M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$96.8M+14%
Q2 2026$87.6M+67%
Q1 2026$34.1M-11%
Q4 2025$63.7M+75%
Q3 2025$84.7M+47%
Q2 2025$52.4M+3%
Q1 2025$38.2M-7.9%
Q4 2024$36.4M+30%

APPF has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

APPF Total Shares

Q4 2023: 36MQ1 2024: 37MQ2 2024: 37MQ3 2024: 37MQ4 2024: 37MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 36MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 36MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 36M
Q4 2023: 36MQ1 2024: 37MQ2 2024: 37MQ3 2024: 37MQ4 2024: 37MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 36MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 36MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 36M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+117K shares
1 year-1.9%-681K shares
3 years-2.5%-904K shares
5 years+2.8%+964K shares
Available history0%+11K shares

APPF has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

APPF Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.8xQ1 2024: -0.7xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.8xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -1.2x
Q4 2023: -1.8xQ1 2024: -0.7xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.8xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.3xNet Cash

APPF has more cash than debt.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

APPF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.2Neutral
Stochastic70.3Neutral

APPF's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 70 (neutral).

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

APPF PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAPPFSector medianRelative
PE47x28x69% above
PE %463511 pts above

APPF is trading at 47x earnings, a 69% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

APPF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$212.44.9% above
20 week MA$203.59.5% above
50 week MA$191.316% above
100 week MA$215.43.4% above
200 week MA$205.28.6% above

APPF has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

APPF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$111.1$180.6+63%
2021$180.6$127.4-29%
2022$127.4$104.6-18%
2023$104.6$173.2+66%
2024$173.2$249.9+44%
2025$249.9$237.3-5%
2026 YTD$237.3$222.8-6.1%

APPF has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

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