APP

AppLovin Corporation

84
Fundamentals94/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

APP has the edge over ZETA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

ZETA

Zeta Global Holdings Corp.

73
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

ZETA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

APP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

APP's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

ZETA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Healthy

ZETA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

APP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE187x374x561x749x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE187x374x561x749x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward20x$394—
Current26x$394—
Cheap42x$618+57%
Fair66x$978+148%
Expensive137x$2,040+418%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

APP's PE is in its cheap range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings.

ZETA PE Valuation

LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward29x$37.27—
Current248x$37.27—
CheapN/AN/AN/A
FairN/AN/AN/A
ExpensiveN/AN/AN/A

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ZETA has the edge over APP in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

APP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for APP, with profitability improving.

ZETA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ZETA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

APP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+110%$826.40
Downside-28%$284.33

Calculated from the latest close: $393.68 on Nov 12.

APP has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ZETA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ZETA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+60%$59.54
Downside-36%$23.87

Calculated from the latest close: $37.27 on Nov 12.

ZETA trails APP on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

APP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.98Q1 2024: $1.66Q2 2024: $2.33Q3 2024: $3.28Q4 2024: $4.53Q1 2025: $5.53Q2 2025: $7.03Q3 2025: $8.23Q4 2025: $9.75Q1 2026: $11.64Q2 2026: $13.01Q3 2026: $14.86Forward: $19.62
Q4 2023: $0.98Q1 2024: $1.66Q2 2024: $2.33Q3 2024: $3.28Q4 2024: $4.53Q1 2025: $5.53Q2 2025: $7.03Q3 2025: $8.23Q4 2025: $9.75Q1 2026: $11.64Q2 2026: $13.01Q3 2026: $14.86Forward: $19.62
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$19.62+32%
Q3 2026$14.86+81%
Q2 2026$13.01+85%
Q1 2026$11.64+110%
Q4 2025$9.75+115%
Q3 2025$8.23+151%
Q2 2025$7.03+202%
Q1 2025$5.53+233%
Q4 2024$4.53+362%

APP's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $14.86 over the past year, up 81% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

ZETA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.20Q1 2024: $-1.05Q2 2024: $-0.87Q3 2024: $-0.69Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.25Q2 2025: $-0.15Q3 2025: $-0.08Q4 2025: $-0.14Q1 2026: $-0.10Q2 2026: $-0.01Q3 2026: $0.15Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $-1.20Q1 2024: $-1.05Q2 2024: $-0.87Q3 2024: $-0.69Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.25Q2 2025: $-0.15Q3 2025: $-0.08Q4 2025: $-0.14Q1 2026: $-0.10Q2 2026: $-0.01Q3 2026: $0.15Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27+748%
Q3 2026$0.15+$0.23
Q2 2026-$0.01+$0.14
Q1 2026-$0.10+$0.15
Q4 2025-$0.14+$0.24
Q3 2025-$0.08+$0.61
Q2 2025-$0.15+$0.72
Q1 2025-$0.25+$0.80
Q4 2024-$0.38+$0.82

ZETA has returned to profit: it earned $0.15 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

APP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $953MQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $953MQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+55%
Q2 2026$1.9B+53%
Q1 2026$1.8B+24%
Q4 2025$1.7B+21%
Q3 2025$1.4B+17%
Q2 2025$1.3B+17%
Q1 2025$1.5B+40%
Q4 2024$1.4B+44%

APP's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $2.2B last quarter, up 55% from the same quarter a year ago.

ZETA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $210MQ1 2024: $195MQ2 2024: $228MQ3 2024: $268MQ4 2024: $315MQ1 2025: $264MQ2 2025: $308MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $395MQ1 2026: $396MQ2 2026: $443MQ3 2026: $493M
Q4 2023: $210MQ1 2024: $195MQ2 2024: $228MQ3 2024: $268MQ4 2024: $315MQ1 2025: $264MQ2 2025: $308MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $395MQ1 2026: $396MQ2 2026: $443MQ3 2026: $493M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$492.7M+46%
Q2 2026$442.8M+44%
Q1 2026$396.3M+50%
Q4 2025$394.6M+25%
Q3 2025$337.2M+26%
Q2 2025$308.4M+35%
Q1 2025$264.4M+36%
Q4 2024$314.7M+50%

ZETA has the edge over APP on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

APP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $344MQ1 2024: $393MQ2 2024: $455MQ3 2024: $551MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $832MQ2 2025: $772MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $869MQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $344MQ1 2024: $393MQ2 2024: $455MQ3 2024: $551MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $832MQ2 2025: $772MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $869MQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+36%
Q2 2026$869M+13%
Q1 2026$1.3B+55%
Q3 2025$1.1B+91%
Q2 2025$772.2M+70%
Q1 2025$831.7M+112%
Q3 2024$550.7M+177%
Q2 2024$454.5M+101%

APP generated $4.9B in free cash flow over the past year, up 53% from the year before.

ZETA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $24MQ3 2024: $30MQ4 2024: $35MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $61MQ1 2026: $47MQ2 2026: $64MQ3 2026: $88M
Q4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $24MQ3 2024: $30MQ4 2024: $35MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $61MQ1 2026: $47MQ2 2026: $64MQ3 2026: $88M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$88.3M+68%
Q2 2026$64.4M+62%
Q1 2026$46.7M+46%
Q4 2025$60.9M+72%
Q3 2025$52.4M+78%
Q2 2025$39.7M+63%
Q1 2025$32.1M+70%
Q4 2024$35.4M+66%

ZETA has the edge over APP on cash flow, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

APP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 363MQ1 2024: 349MQ2 2024: 348MQ3 2024: 348MQ4 2024: 348MQ1 2025: 345MQ2 2025: 342MQ3 2025: 341MQ4 2025: 342MQ1 2026: 339MQ2 2026: 337MQ3 2026: 335M
Q4 2023: 363MQ1 2024: 349MQ2 2024: 348MQ3 2024: 348MQ4 2024: 348MQ1 2025: 345MQ2 2025: 342MQ3 2025: 341MQ4 2025: 342MQ1 2026: 339MQ2 2026: 337MQ3 2026: 335M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-2.3M shares
1 year-1.8%-6.2M shares
3 years-6.2%-22.1M shares
5 years-13%-49.6M shares
Available history+67%+134M shares

APP has the edge over ZETA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ZETA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 157MQ1 2024: 171MQ2 2024: 178MQ3 2024: 188MQ4 2024: 186MQ1 2025: 213MQ2 2025: 217MQ3 2025: 222MQ4 2025: 221MQ1 2026: 239MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 265M
Q4 2023: 157MQ1 2024: 171MQ2 2024: 178MQ3 2024: 188MQ4 2024: 186MQ1 2025: 213MQ2 2025: 217MQ3 2025: 222MQ4 2025: 221MQ1 2026: 239MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 265M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.1%+8M shares
1 year+19%+42.2M shares
3 years+67%+107M shares
5 years+417%+213M shares
Available history+712%+232M shares

ZETA has 265M diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

APP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.5xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.5xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20251.2xHealthy
Q4 20241.2xHealthy

APP's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ZETA Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -14.1xQ2 2025: -4.5xQ3 2025: -3.0xQ4 2025: -1.6xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -0.7x
Q1 2025: -14.1xQ2 2025: -4.5xQ3 2025: -3.0xQ4 2025: -1.6xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-14.1xNet Cash

ZETA has the edge over APP on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

APP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.4Neutral
Stochastic56.4Neutral

APP's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).

ZETA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI70.3Overbought
Stochastic75.8Neutral

ZETA's weekly RSI is 70 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 76 (neutral).

APP PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAPPSector medianRelative
PE26x28x4.9% below
PE %74235 pts below

APP is trading at 26x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ZETA PE vs Technology Sector

APP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$299.531% above
20 week MA$344.014% above
50 week MA$443.511% below
100 week MA$429.48.3% below
200 week MA$250.057% above

APP's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 57% above its 200-week average.

ZETA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$32.615% above
20 week MA$28.630% above
50 week MA$22.665% above
100 week MA$19.789% above
200 week MA$16.7123% above

ZETA has the edge over APP on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

APP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$61.0$93.8+54%
2022$93.8$9.84-90%
2023$9.84$39.9+305%
2024$39.9$335.2+741%
2025$335.2$714.2+113%
2026 YTD$714.2$393.7-45%

APP's yearly returns have swung widely, from +741% in 2024 to −90% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

ZETA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$8.27$8.40+1.6%
2022$8.40$8.21-2.3%
2023$8.21$8.82+7.4%
2024$8.82$17.7+100%
2025$17.7$20.7+17%
2026 YTD$20.7$37.3+80%

ZETA has the edge over APP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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