APP

AppLovin Corporation

84
Fundamentals94/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

APP has the edge over V overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

V

Visa Inc.

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

V has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

APP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

APP's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

V Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

V's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like V.

APP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE187x374x561x749x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE187x374x561x749x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward20x$394—
Current26x$394—
Cheap42x$618+57%
Fair66x$978+148%
Expensive137x$2,040+418%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

APP's PE is in its cheap range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings.

V PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x27x40x54x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x27x40x54x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward28x$420—
Cheap30x$371-12%
Fair33x$402-4.4%
Current34x$420—
Expensive38x$474+13%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

V has the edge over APP in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

APP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for APP, with profitability improving.

V Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for V, with profitability improving.

APP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+110%$826.40
Downside-28%$284.33

Calculated from the latest close: $393.68 on Nov 12.

APP has a better modeled risk to reward balance than V, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

V Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$482.78
Downside-10%$377.72

Calculated from the latest close: $420.31 on Nov 12.

V trails APP on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

APP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.98Q1 2024: $1.66Q2 2024: $2.33Q3 2024: $3.28Q4 2024: $4.53Q1 2025: $5.53Q2 2025: $7.03Q3 2025: $8.23Q4 2025: $9.75Q1 2026: $11.64Q2 2026: $13.01Q3 2026: $14.86Forward: $19.62
Q4 2023: $0.98Q1 2024: $1.66Q2 2024: $2.33Q3 2024: $3.28Q4 2024: $4.53Q1 2025: $5.53Q2 2025: $7.03Q3 2025: $8.23Q4 2025: $9.75Q1 2026: $11.64Q2 2026: $13.01Q3 2026: $14.86Forward: $19.62
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$19.62+32%
Q3 2026$14.86+81%
Q2 2026$13.01+85%
Q1 2026$11.64+110%
Q4 2025$9.75+115%
Q3 2025$8.23+151%
Q2 2025$7.03+202%
Q1 2025$5.53+233%
Q4 2024$4.53+362%

APP has the edge over V on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

V Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.69Q1 2024: $8.95Q2 2024: $9.35Q3 2024: $9.73Q4 2024: $9.92Q1 2025: $9.95Q2 2025: $10.24Q3 2025: $10.21Q4 2025: $10.66Q1 2026: $11.48Q2 2026: $11.76Q3 2026: $12.32Forward: $15.01
Q4 2023: $8.69Q1 2024: $8.95Q2 2024: $9.35Q3 2024: $9.73Q4 2024: $9.92Q1 2025: $9.95Q2 2025: $10.24Q3 2025: $10.21Q4 2025: $10.66Q1 2026: $11.48Q2 2026: $11.76Q3 2026: $12.32Forward: $15.01
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$15.01+22%
Q3 2026$12.32+21%
Q2 2026$11.76+15%
Q1 2026$11.48+15%
Q4 2025$10.66+7.5%
Q3 2025$10.21+4.9%
Q2 2025$10.24+9.5%
Q1 2025$9.95+11%
Q4 2024$9.92+14%

V's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.32 over the past year, up 21% from the year before, and higher year over year for 21 quarters in a row.

APP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $953MQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $953MQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+55%
Q2 2026$1.9B+53%
Q1 2026$1.8B+24%
Q4 2025$1.7B+21%
Q3 2025$1.4B+17%
Q2 2025$1.3B+17%
Q1 2025$1.5B+40%
Q4 2024$1.4B+44%

APP has the edge over V on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

V Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8.6BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $8.9BQ3 2024: $9.6BQ4 2024: $9.5BQ1 2025: $9.6BQ2 2025: $10.2BQ3 2025: $10.7BQ4 2025: $10.9BQ1 2026: $11.2BQ2 2026: $11.6BQ3 2026: $12.1B
Q4 2023: $8.6BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $8.9BQ3 2024: $9.6BQ4 2024: $9.5BQ1 2025: $9.6BQ2 2025: $10.2BQ3 2025: $10.7BQ4 2025: $10.9BQ1 2026: $11.2BQ2 2026: $11.6BQ3 2026: $12.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.1B+13%
Q2 2026$11.6B+14%
Q1 2026$11.2B+17%
Q4 2025$10.9B+15%
Q3 2025$10.7B+12%
Q2 2025$10.2B+14%
Q1 2025$9.6B+9.3%
Q4 2024$9.5B+10%

V's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $12.1B last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

APP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $344MQ1 2024: $393MQ2 2024: $455MQ3 2024: $551MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $832MQ2 2025: $772MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $869MQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $344MQ1 2024: $393MQ2 2024: $455MQ3 2024: $551MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $832MQ2 2025: $772MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $869MQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+36%
Q2 2026$869M+13%
Q1 2026$1.3B+55%
Q3 2025$1.1B+91%
Q2 2025$772.2M+70%
Q1 2025$831.7M+112%
Q3 2024$550.7M+177%
Q2 2024$454.5M+101%

APP has the edge over V on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

V Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $4.3BQ2 2024: $4.7BQ3 2024: $6.4BQ4 2024: $5.1BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.8BQ4 2025: $6.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $6.1BQ3 2026: $6.9B
Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $4.3BQ2 2024: $4.7BQ3 2024: $6.4BQ4 2024: $5.1BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.8BQ4 2025: $6.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $6.1BQ3 2026: $6.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$6.9B+18%
Q2 2026$6.1B-2.7%
Q1 2026$2.6B-40%
Q4 2025$6.4B+27%
Q3 2025$5.8B-8%
Q2 2025$6.3B+33%
Q1 2025$4.4B+2.6%
Q4 2024$5.1B+51%

V's free cash flow was $22.1B over the past year, up 2.2% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like V.

APP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 363MQ1 2024: 349MQ2 2024: 348MQ3 2024: 348MQ4 2024: 348MQ1 2025: 345MQ2 2025: 342MQ3 2025: 341MQ4 2025: 342MQ1 2026: 339MQ2 2026: 337MQ3 2026: 335M
Q4 2023: 363MQ1 2024: 349MQ2 2024: 348MQ3 2024: 348MQ4 2024: 348MQ1 2025: 345MQ2 2025: 342MQ3 2025: 341MQ4 2025: 342MQ1 2026: 339MQ2 2026: 337MQ3 2026: 335M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-2.3M shares
1 year-1.8%-6.2M shares
3 years-6.2%-22.1M shares
5 years-13%-49.6M shares
Available history+67%+134M shares

APP has 335M diluted shares, down 1.8% from a year ago, with $3.2B in buybacks over the past year.

V Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2BQ4 2024: 2BQ1 2025: 2BQ2 2025: 2BQ3 2025: 1.9BQ4 2025: 1.9BQ1 2026: 1.9BQ2 2026: 1.9BQ3 2026: 1.8B
Q4 2023: 2BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2BQ4 2024: 2BQ1 2025: 2BQ2 2025: 2BQ3 2025: 1.9BQ4 2025: 1.9BQ1 2026: 1.9BQ2 2026: 1.9BQ3 2026: 1.8B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-7%-136M shares
1 year-7.6%-148M shares
3 years-13%-268M shares
5 years-17%-378M shares
Available history-20%-443M shares

V has the edge over APP on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

APP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.5xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.5xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20251.2xHealthy
Q4 20241.2xHealthy

APP has the edge over V on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

V Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.4xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 20250.4xVery low
Q4 20240.3xVery low

V's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like V.

APP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.4Neutral
Stochastic56.4Neutral

APP's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).

V Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI73.7Overbought
Stochastic82.0Overbought

V's weekly RSI is 74 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 82 (overbought).

APP PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAPPSector medianRelative
PE26x28x4.9% below
PE %74235 pts below

APP has the edge over V on valuation relative to its sector.

V PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricVSector medianRelative
PE34x13x162% above
PE %62631 pt below

V is trading at 34x earnings, a 162% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

APP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$299.531% above
20 week MA$344.014% above
50 week MA$443.511% below
100 week MA$429.48.3% below
200 week MA$250.057% above

APP's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 57% above its 200-week average.

V Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$397.65.7% above
20 week MA$378.311% above
50 week MA$346.021% above
100 week MA$343.722% above
200 week MA$300.640% above

V has the edge over APP on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

APP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$61.0$93.8+54%
2022$93.8$9.84-90%
2023$9.84$39.9+305%
2024$39.9$335.2+741%
2025$335.2$714.2+113%
2026 YTD$714.2$393.7-45%

APP's yearly returns have swung widely, from +741% in 2024 to −90% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

V Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$189.4$208.7+10%
2021$208.7$216.6+3.8%
2022$216.6$205.8-5%
2023$205.8$260.4+26%
2024$260.4$318.7+22%
2025$318.7$355.0+11%
2026 YTD$355.0$420.3+18%

V has the edge over APP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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