APP

AppLovin Corporation

84
Fundamentals94/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

APP has the edge over SNOW overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

SNOW

Snowflake Inc.

71
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

SNOW's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

APP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

APP's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

SNOW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Strong
Unavailable

SNOW's revenue and cash flow are currently strong, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

APP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE187x374x561x749x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE187x374x561x749x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward20x$394—
Current26x$394—
Cheap42x$618+57%
Fair66x$978+148%
Expensive137x$2,040+418%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

APP's PE is in its cheap range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings.

SNOW PE Valuation

SNOW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

APP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for APP, with profitability improving.

SNOW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SNOW, with profitability improving.

APP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+110%$826.40
Downside-28%$284.33

Calculated from the latest close: $393.68 on Nov 12.

APP has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SNOW, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

SNOW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+61%$479.82
Downside-35%$194.51

Calculated from the latest close: $298.70 on Nov 12.

SNOW trails APP on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

APP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.98Q1 2024: $1.66Q2 2024: $2.33Q3 2024: $3.28Q4 2024: $4.53Q1 2025: $5.53Q2 2025: $7.03Q3 2025: $8.23Q4 2025: $9.75Q1 2026: $11.64Q2 2026: $13.01Q3 2026: $14.86Forward: $19.62
Q4 2023: $0.98Q1 2024: $1.66Q2 2024: $2.33Q3 2024: $3.28Q4 2024: $4.53Q1 2025: $5.53Q2 2025: $7.03Q3 2025: $8.23Q4 2025: $9.75Q1 2026: $11.64Q2 2026: $13.01Q3 2026: $14.86Forward: $19.62
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$19.62+32%
Q3 2026$14.86+81%
Q2 2026$13.01+85%
Q1 2026$11.64+110%
Q4 2025$9.75+115%
Q3 2025$8.23+151%
Q2 2025$7.03+202%
Q1 2025$5.53+233%
Q4 2024$4.53+362%

APP has the edge over SNOW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SNOW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.68Q1 2024: $-2.55Q2 2024: $-2.80Q3 2024: $-3.06Q4 2024: $-3.39Q1 2025: $-3.86Q2 2025: $-4.20Q3 2025: $-4.14Q4 2025: $-4.03Q1 2026: $-3.95Q2 2026: $-3.52Q3 2026: $-3.18Forward: $2.74
Q4 2023: $-2.68Q1 2024: $-2.55Q2 2024: $-2.80Q3 2024: $-3.06Q4 2024: $-3.39Q1 2025: $-3.86Q2 2025: $-4.20Q3 2025: $-4.14Q4 2025: $-4.03Q1 2026: $-3.95Q2 2026: $-3.52Q3 2026: $-3.18Forward: $2.74
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.74—
Q3 2026-$3.18+$0.96
Q2 2026-$3.52+$0.68
Q1 2026-$3.95-$0.09
Q4 2025-$4.03-$0.64
Q3 2025-$4.14-$1.08
Q2 2025-$4.20-$1.40
Q1 2025-$3.86-$1.31
Q4 2024-$3.39-$0.71

SNOW is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $3.18 per share over the past year, against $4.20 at its worst in early 2025.

APP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $953MQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $953MQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+55%
Q2 2026$1.9B+53%
Q1 2026$1.8B+24%
Q4 2025$1.7B+21%
Q3 2025$1.4B+17%
Q2 2025$1.3B+17%
Q1 2025$1.5B+40%
Q4 2024$1.4B+44%

APP has the edge over SNOW on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SNOW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $734MQ1 2024: $775MQ2 2024: $829MQ3 2024: $869MQ4 2024: $942MQ1 2025: $987MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $734MQ1 2024: $775MQ2 2024: $829MQ3 2024: $869MQ4 2024: $942MQ1 2025: $987MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B+35%
Q2 2026$1.4B+33%
Q1 2026$1.3B+30%
Q4 2025$1.2B+29%
Q3 2025$1.1B+32%
Q2 2025$1B+26%
Q1 2025$986.8M+27%
Q4 2024$942.1M+28%

SNOW's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $1.5B last quarter, up 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

APP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $344MQ1 2024: $393MQ2 2024: $455MQ3 2024: $551MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $832MQ2 2025: $772MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $869MQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $344MQ1 2024: $393MQ2 2024: $455MQ3 2024: $551MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $832MQ2 2025: $772MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $869MQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+36%
Q2 2026$869M+13%
Q1 2026$1.3B+55%
Q3 2025$1.1B+91%
Q2 2025$772.2M+70%
Q1 2025$831.7M+112%
Q3 2024$550.7M+177%
Q2 2024$454.5M+101%

APP has the edge over SNOW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SNOW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $112MQ1 2024: $332MQ2 2024: $339MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $88MQ1 2025: $421MQ2 2025: $183MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $114MQ1 2026: $765MQ2 2026: $233MQ3 2026: $84M
Q4 2023: $112MQ1 2024: $332MQ2 2024: $339MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $88MQ1 2025: $421MQ2 2025: $183MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $114MQ1 2026: $765MQ2 2026: $233MQ3 2026: $84M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$83.8M+44%
Q2 2026$232.8M+27%
Q1 2026$765.1M+82%
Q4 2025$113.6M+29%
Q3 2025$58.2M-10%
Q2 2025$183.4M-46%
Q1 2025$421.4M+27%
Q4 2024$88.3M-21%

SNOW generated $1.2B in free cash flow over the past year, up 59% from the year before.

APP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 363MQ1 2024: 349MQ2 2024: 348MQ3 2024: 348MQ4 2024: 348MQ1 2025: 345MQ2 2025: 342MQ3 2025: 341MQ4 2025: 342MQ1 2026: 339MQ2 2026: 337MQ3 2026: 335M
Q4 2023: 363MQ1 2024: 349MQ2 2024: 348MQ3 2024: 348MQ4 2024: 348MQ1 2025: 345MQ2 2025: 342MQ3 2025: 341MQ4 2025: 342MQ1 2026: 339MQ2 2026: 337MQ3 2026: 335M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-2.3M shares
1 year-1.8%-6.2M shares
3 years-6.2%-22.1M shares
5 years-13%-49.6M shares
Available history+67%+134M shares

APP has the edge over SNOW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SNOW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 329MQ1 2024: 328MQ2 2024: 335MQ3 2024: 335MQ4 2024: 330MQ1 2025: 333MQ2 2025: 334MQ3 2025: 335MQ4 2025: 340MQ1 2026: 337MQ2 2026: 345MQ3 2026: 349M
Q4 2023: 329MQ1 2024: 328MQ2 2024: 335MQ3 2024: 335MQ4 2024: 330MQ1 2025: 333MQ2 2025: 334MQ3 2025: 335MQ4 2025: 340MQ1 2026: 337MQ2 2026: 345MQ3 2026: 349M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.1%+3.9M shares
1 year+4.2%+14M shares
3 years+6.7%+21.9M shares
5 years+17%+51.5M shares
Available history+47%+111M shares

SNOW has 349M diluted shares, up 4.2% from a year ago.

APP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.5xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.5xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20251.2xHealthy
Q4 20241.2xHealthy

APP's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

SNOW Net Leverage

SNOW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

APP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.4Neutral
Stochastic56.4Neutral

APP's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).

SNOW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.4Neutral
Stochastic25.2Neutral

SNOW's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 25 (neutral).

APP PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAPPSector medianRelative
PE26x28x4.9% below
PE %74235 pts below

APP is trading at 26x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

SNOW PE vs Technology Sector

SNOW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

APP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$299.531% above
20 week MA$344.014% above
50 week MA$443.511% below
100 week MA$429.48.3% below
200 week MA$250.057% above

APP's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 57% above its 200-week average.

SNOW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$319.96.6% below
20 week MA$311.54.1% below
50 week MA$238.625% above
100 week MA$218.837% above
200 week MA$187.559% above

SNOW has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 59% above its 200-week average.

APP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$61.0$93.8+54%
2022$93.8$9.84-90%
2023$9.84$39.9+305%
2024$39.9$335.2+741%
2025$335.2$714.2+113%
2026 YTD$714.2$393.7-45%

APP's yearly returns have swung widely, from +741% in 2024 to −90% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

SNOW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$240.0$323.0+35%
2021$323.0$349.2+8.1%
2022$349.2$138.5-60%
2023$138.5$199.0+44%
2024$199.0$158.7-20%
2025$158.7$223.9+41%
2026 YTD$223.9$298.7+33%

SNOW has the edge over APP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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