APP

AppLovin Corporation

84
Fundamentals94/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

APP has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

APP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

APP's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

APP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE187x374x561x749x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE187x374x561x749x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward20x$394—
Current26x$394—
Cheap42x$618+57%
Fair66x$978+148%
Expensive137x$2,040+418%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

APP's PE is in its cheap range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

APP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for APP, with profitability improving.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

APP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+110%$826.40
Downside-28%$284.33

Calculated from the latest close: $393.68 on Nov 12.

APP has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails APP on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

APP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.98Q1 2024: $1.66Q2 2024: $2.33Q3 2024: $3.28Q4 2024: $4.53Q1 2025: $5.53Q2 2025: $7.03Q3 2025: $8.23Q4 2025: $9.75Q1 2026: $11.64Q2 2026: $13.01Q3 2026: $14.86Forward: $19.62
Q4 2023: $0.98Q1 2024: $1.66Q2 2024: $2.33Q3 2024: $3.28Q4 2024: $4.53Q1 2025: $5.53Q2 2025: $7.03Q3 2025: $8.23Q4 2025: $9.75Q1 2026: $11.64Q2 2026: $13.01Q3 2026: $14.86Forward: $19.62
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$19.62+32%
Q3 2026$14.86+81%
Q2 2026$13.01+85%
Q1 2026$11.64+110%
Q4 2025$9.75+115%
Q3 2025$8.23+151%
Q2 2025$7.03+202%
Q1 2025$5.53+233%
Q4 2024$4.53+362%

APP has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

APP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $953MQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $953MQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+55%
Q2 2026$1.9B+53%
Q1 2026$1.8B+24%
Q4 2025$1.7B+21%
Q3 2025$1.4B+17%
Q2 2025$1.3B+17%
Q1 2025$1.5B+40%
Q4 2024$1.4B+44%

APP has the edge over RIVN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

APP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $344MQ1 2024: $393MQ2 2024: $455MQ3 2024: $551MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $832MQ2 2025: $772MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $869MQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $344MQ1 2024: $393MQ2 2024: $455MQ3 2024: $551MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $832MQ2 2025: $772MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $869MQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+36%
Q2 2026$869M+13%
Q1 2026$1.3B+55%
Q3 2025$1.1B+91%
Q2 2025$772.2M+70%
Q1 2025$831.7M+112%
Q3 2024$550.7M+177%
Q2 2024$454.5M+101%

APP has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

APP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 363MQ1 2024: 349MQ2 2024: 348MQ3 2024: 348MQ4 2024: 348MQ1 2025: 345MQ2 2025: 342MQ3 2025: 341MQ4 2025: 342MQ1 2026: 339MQ2 2026: 337MQ3 2026: 335M
Q4 2023: 363MQ1 2024: 349MQ2 2024: 348MQ3 2024: 348MQ4 2024: 348MQ1 2025: 345MQ2 2025: 342MQ3 2025: 341MQ4 2025: 342MQ1 2026: 339MQ2 2026: 337MQ3 2026: 335M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-2.3M shares
1 year-1.8%-6.2M shares
3 years-6.2%-22.1M shares
5 years-13%-49.6M shares
Available history+67%+134M shares

APP has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

APP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.5xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.5xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20251.2xHealthy
Q4 20241.2xHealthy

APP's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

APP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.4Neutral
Stochastic56.4Neutral

APP's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

APP PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAPPSector medianRelative
PE26x28x4.9% below
PE %74235 pts below

APP is trading at 26x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

APP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$299.531% above
20 week MA$344.014% above
50 week MA$443.511% below
100 week MA$429.48.3% below
200 week MA$250.057% above

APP has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

APP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$61.0$93.8+54%
2022$93.8$9.84-90%
2023$9.84$39.9+305%
2024$39.9$335.2+741%
2025$335.2$714.2+113%
2026 YTD$714.2$393.7-45%

APP's yearly returns have swung widely, from +741% in 2024 to −90% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has the edge over APP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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