APP

AppLovin Corporation

84
Fundamentals94/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

APP has the edge over NOK overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

NOK

Nokia Oyj

65
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

NOK's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

APP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

APP's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

NOK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong

NOK's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

APP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE187x374x561x749x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE187x374x561x749x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward20x$394—
Current26x$394—
Cheap42x$618+57%
Fair66x$978+148%
Expensive137x$2,040+418%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

APP's PE is in its cheap range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings.

NOK PE Valuation

NOK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

APP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for APP, with profitability improving.

NOK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NOK, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

APP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+110%$826.40
Downside-28%$284.33

Calculated from the latest close: $393.68 on Nov 12.

APP has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NOK, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NOK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+47%$12.15
Downside-31%$5.71

Calculated from the latest close: $8.28 on Nov 12.

NOK trails APP on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

APP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.98Q1 2024: $1.66Q2 2024: $2.33Q3 2024: $3.28Q4 2024: $4.53Q1 2025: $5.53Q2 2025: $7.03Q3 2025: $8.23Q4 2025: $9.75Q1 2026: $11.64Q2 2026: $13.01Q3 2026: $14.86Forward: $19.62
Q4 2023: $0.98Q1 2024: $1.66Q2 2024: $2.33Q3 2024: $3.28Q4 2024: $4.53Q1 2025: $5.53Q2 2025: $7.03Q3 2025: $8.23Q4 2025: $9.75Q1 2026: $11.64Q2 2026: $13.01Q3 2026: $14.86Forward: $19.62
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$19.62+32%
Q3 2026$14.86+81%
Q2 2026$13.01+85%
Q1 2026$11.64+110%
Q4 2025$9.75+115%
Q3 2025$8.23+151%
Q2 2025$7.03+202%
Q1 2025$5.53+233%
Q4 2024$4.53+362%

APP has the edge over NOK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NOK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.13Q1 2024: $0.16Q2 2024: $0.07Q3 2024: $0.08Q4 2024: $0.15Q1 2025: $0.05Q2 2025: $0.11Q3 2025: $0.09Q4 2025: $0.13Q1 2026: $0.16Q2 2026: $0.14Q3 2026: $0.15
Q4 2023: $0.13Q1 2024: $0.16Q2 2024: $0.07Q3 2024: $0.08Q4 2024: $0.15Q1 2025: $0.05Q2 2025: $0.11Q3 2025: $0.09Q4 2025: $0.13Q1 2026: $0.16Q2 2026: $0.14Q3 2026: $0.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.15+67%
Q2 2026$0.14+27%
Q1 2026$0.16+220%
Q4 2025$0.13-13%
Q3 2025$0.09+13%
Q2 2025$0.11+57%
Q1 2025$0.05-69%
Q4 2024$0.15+15%

NOK's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.15 over the past year, against $0.85 in early 2023.

APP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $953MQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $953MQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+55%
Q2 2026$1.9B+53%
Q1 2026$1.8B+24%
Q4 2025$1.7B+21%
Q3 2025$1.4B+17%
Q2 2025$1.3B+17%
Q1 2025$1.5B+40%
Q4 2024$1.4B+44%

APP has the edge over NOK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NOK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.3BQ1 2024: $4.9BQ2 2024: $5BQ3 2024: $4.8BQ4 2024: $6.6BQ1 2025: $4.9BQ2 2025: $5.1BQ3 2025: $5.4BQ4 2025: $6.8BQ1 2026: $5BQ2 2026: $5.3BQ3 2026: $5.7B
Q4 2023: $6.3BQ1 2024: $4.9BQ2 2024: $5BQ3 2024: $4.8BQ4 2024: $6.6BQ1 2025: $4.9BQ2 2025: $5.1BQ3 2025: $5.4BQ4 2025: $6.8BQ1 2026: $5BQ2 2026: $5.3BQ3 2026: $5.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.7B+6.1%
Q2 2026$5.3B+5.9%
Q1 2026$5B+2.4%
Q4 2025$6.8B+2.4%
Q3 2025$5.4B+12%
Q2 2025$5.1B+1.8%
Q1 2025$4.9B-1.2%
Q4 2024$6.6B+4.9%

NOK's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $5.7B last quarter, up 6.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

APP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $344MQ1 2024: $393MQ2 2024: $455MQ3 2024: $551MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $832MQ2 2025: $772MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $869MQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $344MQ1 2024: $393MQ2 2024: $455MQ3 2024: $551MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $832MQ2 2025: $772MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $869MQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+36%
Q2 2026$869M+13%
Q1 2026$1.3B+55%
Q3 2025$1.1B+91%
Q2 2025$772.2M+70%
Q1 2025$831.7M+112%
Q3 2024$550.7M+177%
Q2 2024$454.5M+101%

APP has the edge over NOK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NOK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $438MQ3 2024: $754MQ4 2024: $56MQ1 2025: $801MQ2 2025: $98MQ3 2025: $477MQ4 2025: $252MQ1 2026: $699MQ2 2026: −$832MQ3 2026: −$112M
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $438MQ3 2024: $754MQ4 2024: $56MQ1 2025: $801MQ2 2025: $98MQ3 2025: $477MQ4 2025: $252MQ1 2026: $699MQ2 2026: −$832MQ3 2026: −$112M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$112M-123%
Q2 2026-$832.1M-951%
Q1 2026$698.8M-13%
Q4 2025$252.2M+354%
Q3 2025$476.6M-37%
Q2 2025$97.8M-78%
Q1 2025$801M-25%
Q4 2024$55.5M-97%

NOK usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$112M, but it generated $7M over the past year.

APP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 363MQ1 2024: 349MQ2 2024: 348MQ3 2024: 348MQ4 2024: 348MQ1 2025: 345MQ2 2025: 342MQ3 2025: 341MQ4 2025: 342MQ1 2026: 339MQ2 2026: 337MQ3 2026: 335M
Q4 2023: 363MQ1 2024: 349MQ2 2024: 348MQ3 2024: 348MQ4 2024: 348MQ1 2025: 345MQ2 2025: 342MQ3 2025: 341MQ4 2025: 342MQ1 2026: 339MQ2 2026: 337MQ3 2026: 335M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-2.3M shares
1 year-1.8%-6.2M shares
3 years-6.2%-22.1M shares
5 years-13%-49.6M shares
Available history+67%+134M shares

APP has the edge over NOK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NOK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 5.5BQ1 2024: 5.6BQ2 2024: 5.5BQ3 2024: 5.5BQ4 2024: 5.5BQ1 2025: 5.4BQ2 2025: 5.5BQ3 2025: 5.5BQ4 2025: 5.5BQ1 2026: 5.7BQ2 2026: 5.8BQ3 2026: 5.7B
Q4 2023: 5.5BQ1 2024: 5.6BQ2 2024: 5.5BQ3 2024: 5.5BQ4 2024: 5.5BQ1 2025: 5.4BQ2 2025: 5.5BQ3 2025: 5.5BQ4 2025: 5.5BQ1 2026: 5.7BQ2 2026: 5.8BQ3 2026: 5.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-56.5M shares
1 year+4.7%+257M shares
3 years+2.6%+148M shares
5 years+0.9%+54M shares
Available history+2.2%+123M shares

NOK has 5.7B diluted shares, up 4.7% from a year ago.

APP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.5xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.5xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20251.2xHealthy
Q4 20241.2xHealthy

APP's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

NOK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.5xNet Cash

NOK has the edge over APP on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

APP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.4Neutral
Stochastic56.4Neutral

APP's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).

NOK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic18.3Oversold

NOK's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

APP PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAPPSector medianRelative
PE26x28x4.9% below
PE %74235 pts below

APP is trading at 26x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NOK PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNOKSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

NOK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

APP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$299.531% above
20 week MA$344.014% above
50 week MA$443.511% below
100 week MA$429.48.3% below
200 week MA$250.057% above

APP has the edge over NOK on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NOK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.149.4% below
20 week MA$9.9217% below
50 week MA$9.6614% below
100 week MA$7.3513% above
200 week MA$5.6746% above

NOK has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 46% above its 200-week average.

APP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$61.0$93.8+54%
2022$93.8$9.84-90%
2023$9.84$39.9+305%
2024$39.9$335.2+741%
2025$335.2$714.2+113%
2026 YTD$714.2$393.7-45%

APP's yearly returns have swung widely, from +741% in 2024 to −90% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

NOK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$3.63$3.89+7.2%
2021$3.89$6.19+59%
2022$6.19$4.64-25%
2023$4.64$3.42-26%
2024$3.42$4.48+31%
2025$4.48$6.62+48%
2026 YTD$6.62$8.28+25%

NOK has the edge over APP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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