APP

AppLovin Corporation

84
Fundamentals94/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

APP has the edge over NET overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

NET

Cloudflare, Inc.

62
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

NET's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

APP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

APP's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

NET Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
Strong
Unavailable

NET's revenue and cash flow are currently strong, but its profitability is weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

APP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE187x374x561x749x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE187x374x561x749x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward20x$394—
Current26x$394—
Cheap42x$618+57%
Fair66x$978+148%
Expensive137x$2,040+418%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

APP's PE is in its cheap range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings.

NET PE Valuation

NET has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

APP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for APP, with profitability improving.

NET Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NET, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

APP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+110%$826.40
Downside-28%$284.33

Calculated from the latest close: $393.68 on Nov 12.

APP has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NET, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NET Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+54%$489.89
Downside-32%$215.91

Calculated from the latest close: $318.50 on Nov 12.

NET trails APP on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

APP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.98Q1 2024: $1.66Q2 2024: $2.33Q3 2024: $3.28Q4 2024: $4.53Q1 2025: $5.53Q2 2025: $7.03Q3 2025: $8.23Q4 2025: $9.75Q1 2026: $11.64Q2 2026: $13.01Q3 2026: $14.86Forward: $19.62
Q4 2023: $0.98Q1 2024: $1.66Q2 2024: $2.33Q3 2024: $3.28Q4 2024: $4.53Q1 2025: $5.53Q2 2025: $7.03Q3 2025: $8.23Q4 2025: $9.75Q1 2026: $11.64Q2 2026: $13.01Q3 2026: $14.86Forward: $19.62
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$19.62+32%
Q3 2026$14.86+81%
Q2 2026$13.01+85%
Q1 2026$11.64+110%
Q4 2025$9.75+115%
Q3 2025$8.23+151%
Q2 2025$7.03+202%
Q1 2025$5.53+233%
Q4 2024$4.53+362%

APP has the edge over NET on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NET Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.55Q1 2024: $-0.53Q2 2024: $-0.29Q3 2024: $-0.26Q4 2024: $-0.23Q1 2025: $-0.24Q2 2025: $-0.35Q3 2025: $-0.31Q4 2025: $-0.29Q1 2026: $-0.25Q2 2026: $-0.58Q3 2026: $-0.68Forward: $1.75
Q4 2023: $-0.55Q1 2024: $-0.53Q2 2024: $-0.29Q3 2024: $-0.26Q4 2024: $-0.23Q1 2025: $-0.24Q2 2025: $-0.35Q3 2025: $-0.31Q4 2025: $-0.29Q1 2026: $-0.25Q2 2026: $-0.58Q3 2026: $-0.68Forward: $1.75
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.75—
Q3 2026-$0.68-$0.37
Q2 2026-$0.58-$0.23
Q1 2026-$0.25-$0.01
Q4 2025-$0.29-$0.06
Q3 2025-$0.31-$0.05
Q2 2025-$0.35-$0.06
Q1 2025-$0.24+$0.29
Q4 2024-$0.23+$0.32

NET is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.68 per share over the past year, against $0.91 at its worst in mid-2022.

APP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $953MQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $953MQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+55%
Q2 2026$1.9B+53%
Q1 2026$1.8B+24%
Q4 2025$1.7B+21%
Q3 2025$1.4B+17%
Q2 2025$1.3B+17%
Q1 2025$1.5B+40%
Q4 2024$1.4B+44%

APP has the edge over NET on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NET Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $362MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $401MQ3 2024: $430MQ4 2024: $460MQ1 2025: $479MQ2 2025: $512MQ3 2025: $562MQ4 2025: $615MQ1 2026: $640MQ2 2026: $696MQ3 2026: $783M
Q4 2023: $362MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $401MQ3 2024: $430MQ4 2024: $460MQ1 2025: $479MQ2 2025: $512MQ3 2025: $562MQ4 2025: $615MQ1 2026: $640MQ2 2026: $696MQ3 2026: $783M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$782.5M+39%
Q2 2026$696.1M+36%
Q1 2026$639.8M+34%
Q4 2025$614.5M+34%
Q3 2025$562M+31%
Q2 2025$512.3M+28%
Q1 2025$479.1M+27%
Q4 2024$459.9M+27%

NET's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $783M last quarter, up 39% from the same quarter a year ago.

APP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $344MQ1 2024: $393MQ2 2024: $455MQ3 2024: $551MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $832MQ2 2025: $772MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $869MQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $344MQ1 2024: $393MQ2 2024: $455MQ3 2024: $551MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $832MQ2 2025: $772MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $869MQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+36%
Q2 2026$869M+13%
Q1 2026$1.3B+55%
Q3 2025$1.1B+91%
Q2 2025$772.2M+70%
Q1 2025$831.7M+112%
Q3 2024$550.7M+177%
Q2 2024$454.5M+101%

APP generated $4.9B in free cash flow over the past year, up 53% from the year before.

NET Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $55MQ1 2024: $42MQ2 2024: $45MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: $54MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: $82MQ4 2025: $105MQ1 2026: $93MQ2 2026: $68MQ3 2026: $94M
Q4 2023: $55MQ1 2024: $42MQ2 2024: $45MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: $54MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: $82MQ4 2025: $105MQ1 2026: $93MQ2 2026: $68MQ3 2026: $94M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$93.6M+13%
Q2 2026$67.6M+69%
Q1 2026$93.1M+55%
Q4 2025$105.2M+94%
Q3 2025$82.5M+51%
Q2 2025$39.9M-12%
Q1 2025$59.9M+44%
Q4 2024$54.2M-0.9%

NET generated $359M in free cash flow over the past year, up 52% from the year before.

APP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 363MQ1 2024: 349MQ2 2024: 348MQ3 2024: 348MQ4 2024: 348MQ1 2025: 345MQ2 2025: 342MQ3 2025: 341MQ4 2025: 342MQ1 2026: 339MQ2 2026: 337MQ3 2026: 335M
Q4 2023: 363MQ1 2024: 349MQ2 2024: 348MQ3 2024: 348MQ4 2024: 348MQ1 2025: 345MQ2 2025: 342MQ3 2025: 341MQ4 2025: 342MQ1 2026: 339MQ2 2026: 337MQ3 2026: 335M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-2.3M shares
1 year-1.8%-6.2M shares
3 years-6.2%-22.1M shares
5 years-13%-49.6M shares
Available history+67%+134M shares

APP has the edge over NET on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NET Total Shares

Q4 2023: 334MQ1 2024: 339MQ2 2024: 341MQ3 2024: 342MQ4 2024: 341MQ1 2025: 346MQ2 2025: 347MQ3 2025: 349MQ4 2025: 348MQ1 2026: 353MQ2 2026: 354MQ3 2026: 357M
Q4 2023: 334MQ1 2024: 339MQ2 2024: 341MQ3 2024: 342MQ4 2024: 341MQ1 2025: 346MQ2 2025: 347MQ3 2025: 349MQ4 2025: 348MQ1 2026: 353MQ2 2026: 354MQ3 2026: 357M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.8%+2.8M shares
1 year+2.2%+7.8M shares
3 years+6.7%+22.5M shares
5 years+14%+42.6M shares
Available history+144%+211M shares

NET has 357M diluted shares, up 2.2% from a year ago.

APP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.5xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.5xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20251.2xHealthy
Q4 20241.2xHealthy

APP's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

NET Net Leverage

NET's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

APP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.4Neutral
Stochastic56.4Neutral

APP's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).

NET Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.9Neutral
Stochastic37.6Neutral

NET's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 38 (neutral).

APP PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAPPSector medianRelative
PE26x28x4.9% below
PE %74235 pts below

APP is trading at 26x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NET PE vs Technology Sector

NET has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

APP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$299.531% above
20 week MA$344.014% above
50 week MA$443.511% below
100 week MA$429.48.3% below
200 week MA$250.057% above

APP's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 57% above its 200-week average.

NET Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$318.60% below
20 week MA$299.86.2% above
50 week MA$241.032% above
100 week MA$204.955% above
200 week MA$139.8128% above

NET has the edge over APP on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

APP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$61.0$93.8+54%
2022$93.8$9.84-90%
2023$9.84$39.9+305%
2024$39.9$335.2+741%
2025$335.2$714.2+113%
2026 YTD$714.2$393.7-45%

APP's yearly returns have swung widely, from +741% in 2024 to −90% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

NET Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$16.7$85.0+409%
2021$85.0$137.3+62%
2022$137.3$43.8-68%
2023$43.8$83.3+90%
2024$83.3$110.6+33%
2025$110.6$202.4+83%
2026 YTD$202.4$318.5+57%

NET has the edge over APP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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