APP

AppLovin Corporation

84
Fundamentals94/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

APP's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 26x earnings, less than half its usual 66x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

MSTR

Strategy Inc

There isn't enough reported data to score MSTR yet.

APP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

APP's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

MSTR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Under pressure
Strong

MSTR's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

APP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE187x374x561x749x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE187x374x561x749x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward20x$394โ€”
Current26x$394โ€”
Cheap42x$618+57%
Fair66x$978+148%
Expensive137x$2,040+418%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

APP's PE is in its cheap range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings.

MSTR PE Valuation

MSTR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

APP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for APP, with profitability improving.

MSTR Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for MSTR to show an outlook.

APP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+110%$826.40
Downside-28%$284.33

Calculated from the latest close: $393.68 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare APP and MSTR's risk to reward.

MSTR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $114.41 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare APP and MSTR's risk to reward.

APP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.98Q1 2024: $1.66Q2 2024: $2.33Q3 2024: $3.28Q4 2024: $4.53Q1 2025: $5.53Q2 2025: $7.03Q3 2025: $8.23Q4 2025: $9.75Q1 2026: $11.64Q2 2026: $13.01Q3 2026: $14.86Forward: $19.62
Q4 2023: $0.98Q1 2024: $1.66Q2 2024: $2.33Q3 2024: $3.28Q4 2024: $4.53Q1 2025: $5.53Q2 2025: $7.03Q3 2025: $8.23Q4 2025: $9.75Q1 2026: $11.64Q2 2026: $13.01Q3 2026: $14.86Forward: $19.62
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$19.62+32%
Q3 2026$14.86+81%
Q2 2026$13.01+85%
Q1 2026$11.64+110%
Q4 2025$9.75+115%
Q3 2025$8.23+151%
Q2 2025$7.03+202%
Q1 2025$5.53+233%
Q4 2024$4.53+362%

APP has the edge over MSTR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

MSTR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.64Q1 2024: $-0.85Q2 2024: $-1.57Q3 2024: $-2.28Q4 2024: $-6.06Q1 2025: $-22.24Q2 2025: $10.93Q3 2025: $21.07Q4 2025: $-15.23Q1 2026: $-36.99Q2 2026: $-94.04Q3 2026: $-57.71
Q4 2023: $2.64Q1 2024: $-0.85Q2 2024: $-1.57Q3 2024: $-2.28Q4 2024: $-6.06Q1 2025: $-22.24Q2 2025: $10.93Q3 2025: $21.07Q4 2025: $-15.23Q1 2026: $-36.99Q2 2026: $-94.04Q3 2026: $-57.71
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$57.71-374%
Q2 2026-$94.04-960%
Q1 2026-$36.99-$14.75
Q4 2025-$15.23-$9.17
Q3 2025$21.07+$23.35
Q2 2025$10.93+$12.50
Q1 2025-$22.24-$21.39
Q4 2024-$6.06-330%

MSTR has swung to a loss: it lost $57.71 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

APP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $953MQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $953MQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+55%
Q2 2026$1.9B+53%
Q1 2026$1.8B+24%
Q4 2025$1.7B+21%
Q3 2025$1.4B+17%
Q2 2025$1.3B+17%
Q1 2025$1.5B+40%
Q4 2024$1.4B+44%

APP has the edge over MSTR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSTR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $124MQ1 2024: $115MQ2 2024: $111MQ3 2024: $116MQ4 2024: $121MQ1 2025: $111MQ2 2025: $114MQ3 2025: $129MQ4 2025: $123MQ1 2026: $124MQ2 2026: $122MQ3 2026: $125M
Q4 2023: $124MQ1 2024: $115MQ2 2024: $111MQ3 2024: $116MQ4 2024: $121MQ1 2025: $111MQ2 2025: $114MQ3 2025: $129MQ4 2025: $123MQ1 2026: $124MQ2 2026: $122MQ3 2026: $125M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$125.4M-2.5%
Q2 2026$122.4M+6.9%
Q1 2026$124.3M+12%
Q4 2025$123M+1.9%
Q3 2025$128.7M+11%
Q2 2025$114.5M+2.7%
Q1 2025$111.1M-3.6%
Q4 2024$120.7M-3%

MSTR's revenue has picked up after five years of holding roughly level: $125M last quarter, down 2.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

APP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $344MQ1 2024: $393MQ2 2024: $455MQ3 2024: $551MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $832MQ2 2025: $772MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $869MQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $344MQ1 2024: $393MQ2 2024: $455MQ3 2024: $551MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $832MQ2 2025: $772MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $869MQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+36%
Q2 2026$869M+13%
Q1 2026$1.3B+55%
Q3 2025$1.1B+91%
Q2 2025$772.2M+70%
Q1 2025$831.7M+112%
Q3 2024$550.7M+177%
Q2 2024$454.5M+101%

APP has the edge over MSTR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MSTR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $837,000Q1 2024: $27MQ2 2024: โˆ’$24MQ3 2024: โˆ’$41MQ4 2024: โˆ’$18MQ1 2025: โˆ’$5MQ2 2025: โˆ’$37MQ3 2025: โˆ’$11MQ4 2025: โˆ’$22MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: โˆ’$6MQ3 2026: $4M
Q4 2023: $837,000Q1 2024: $27MQ2 2024: โˆ’$24MQ3 2024: โˆ’$41MQ4 2024: โˆ’$18MQ1 2025: โˆ’$5MQ2 2025: โˆ’$37MQ3 2025: โˆ’$11MQ4 2025: โˆ’$22MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: โˆ’$6MQ3 2026: $4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4M+$15.1M
Q2 2026-$5.9M+$31.1M
Q1 2026$13M+$18.2M
Q4 2025-$22.2M-$4.6M
Q3 2025-$11.1M+$30.3M
Q2 2025-$37M-$13M
Q1 2025-$5.1M-119%
Q4 2024-$17.6M-2204%

MSTR has burned cash in six of the last eight quarters: โˆ’$11M over the past year, against โˆ’$71M the year before.

APP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 363MQ1 2024: 349MQ2 2024: 348MQ3 2024: 348MQ4 2024: 348MQ1 2025: 345MQ2 2025: 342MQ3 2025: 341MQ4 2025: 342MQ1 2026: 339MQ2 2026: 337MQ3 2026: 335M
Q4 2023: 363MQ1 2024: 349MQ2 2024: 348MQ3 2024: 348MQ4 2024: 348MQ1 2025: 345MQ2 2025: 342MQ3 2025: 341MQ4 2025: 342MQ1 2026: 339MQ2 2026: 337MQ3 2026: 335M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-2.3M shares
1 year-1.8%-6.2M shares
3 years-6.2%-22.1M shares
5 years-13%-49.6M shares
Available history+67%+134M shares

APP has the edge over MSTR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSTR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 166MQ1 2024: 172MQ2 2024: 179MQ3 2024: 197MQ4 2024: 193MQ1 2025: 256MQ2 2025: 307MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 278MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 353MQ3 2026: 428M
Q4 2023: 166MQ1 2024: 172MQ2 2024: 179MQ3 2024: 197MQ4 2024: 193MQ1 2025: 256MQ2 2025: 307MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 278MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 353MQ3 2026: 428M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+21%+75.5M shares
1 year+36%+113M shares
3 years+201%+286M shares
5 years+328%+328M shares
Available history+314%+325M shares

MSTR has 428M diluted shares, up 36% from a year ago.

APP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.5xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.5xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20251.2xHealthy
Q4 20241.2xHealthy

APP's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

MSTR Net Leverage

Q2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 0.7x
Q2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20250.7xVery low
Q2 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 2020-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2020-11.9xNet Cash
Q1 2020-17.1xNet Cash
Q4 2019-29.1xNet Cash

MSTR's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

APP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.4Neutral
Stochastic56.4Neutral

APP's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).

MSTR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.4Neutral
Stochastic42.1Neutral

MSTR's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

APP PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAPPSector medianRelative
PE26x28x4.9% below
PE %74235 pts below

APP is trading at 26x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MSTR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSTRSector medianRelative
PEN/A28xโ€”

MSTR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

APP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$299.531% above
20 week MA$344.014% above
50 week MA$443.511% below
100 week MA$429.48.3% below
200 week MA$250.057% above

APP has the edge over MSTR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MSTR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$141.219% below
20 week MA$123.67.4% below
50 week MA$138.117% below
100 week MA$235.952% below
200 week MA$168.232% below

MSTR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 32% below its 200-week average.

APP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$61.0$93.8+54%
2022$93.8$9.84-90%
2023$9.84$39.9+305%
2024$39.9$335.2+741%
2025$335.2$714.2+113%
2026 YTD$714.2$393.7-45%

APP's yearly returns have swung widely, from +741% in 2024 to โˆ’90% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

MSTR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.5$32.3+123%
2021$32.3$59.7+85%
2022$59.7$16.3-73%
2023$16.3$63.2+288%
2024$63.2$330.0+422%
2025$330.0$158.8-52%
2026 YTD$158.8$114.4-28%

MSTR has the edge over APP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key