APP

AppLovin Corporation

84
Fundamentals94/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

APP has the edge over GOOGL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

GOOGL

Alphabet Inc.

66
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

GOOGL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

APP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

APP's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

GOOGL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure
Healthy

GOOGL's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

APP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE187x374x561x749x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE187x374x561x749x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward20x$394—
Current26x$394—
Cheap42x$618+57%
Fair66x$978+148%
Expensive137x$2,040+418%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

APP's PE is in its cheap range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings.

GOOGL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current16x$299—
Cheap20x$378+27%
Forward22x$299—
Fair26x$497+66%
Expensive31x$586+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GOOGL has the edge over APP in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

APP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

APP has the edge over GOOGL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.

GOOGL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for GOOGL, but weaker profitability.

APP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+110%$826.40
Downside-28%$284.33

Calculated from the latest close: $393.68 on Nov 12.

APP has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GOOGL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GOOGL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$405.17
Downside-13%$260.15

Calculated from the latest close: $298.70 on Nov 12.

GOOGL trails APP on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

APP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.98Q1 2024: $1.66Q2 2024: $2.33Q3 2024: $3.28Q4 2024: $4.53Q1 2025: $5.53Q2 2025: $7.03Q3 2025: $8.23Q4 2025: $9.75Q1 2026: $11.64Q2 2026: $13.01Q3 2026: $14.86Forward: $19.62
Q4 2023: $0.98Q1 2024: $1.66Q2 2024: $2.33Q3 2024: $3.28Q4 2024: $4.53Q1 2025: $5.53Q2 2025: $7.03Q3 2025: $8.23Q4 2025: $9.75Q1 2026: $11.64Q2 2026: $13.01Q3 2026: $14.86Forward: $19.62
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$19.62+32%
Q3 2026$14.86+81%
Q2 2026$13.01+85%
Q1 2026$11.64+110%
Q4 2025$9.75+115%
Q3 2025$8.23+151%
Q2 2025$7.03+202%
Q1 2025$5.53+233%
Q4 2024$4.53+362%

APP has the edge over GOOGL on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

GOOGL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.89-28%
Q3 2026$19.16+89%
Q2 2026$19.91+112%
Q1 2026$13.11+46%
Q4 2025$10.81+34%
Q3 2025$10.13+34%
Q2 2025$9.38+35%
Q1 2025$8.96+37%
Q4 2024$8.04+39%

GOOGL's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.16 over the past year, up 89% from the year before, and higher year over year for 13 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

APP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $953MQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $953MQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+55%
Q2 2026$1.9B+53%
Q1 2026$1.8B+24%
Q4 2025$1.7B+21%
Q3 2025$1.4B+17%
Q2 2025$1.3B+17%
Q1 2025$1.5B+40%
Q4 2024$1.4B+44%

APP has the edge over GOOGL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

GOOGL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$127.6B+25%
Q2 2026$119.8B+24%
Q1 2026$109.9B+22%
Q4 2025$113.8B+18%
Q3 2025$102.3B+16%
Q2 2025$96.4B+14%
Q1 2025$90.2B+12%
Q4 2024$96.5B+12%

GOOGL's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $128B last quarter, up 25% from the same quarter a year ago.

APP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $344MQ1 2024: $393MQ2 2024: $455MQ3 2024: $551MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $832MQ2 2025: $772MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $869MQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $344MQ1 2024: $393MQ2 2024: $455MQ3 2024: $551MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $832MQ2 2025: $772MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $869MQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+36%
Q2 2026$869M+13%
Q1 2026$1.3B+55%
Q3 2025$1.1B+91%
Q2 2025$772.2M+70%
Q1 2025$831.7M+112%
Q3 2024$550.7M+177%
Q2 2024$454.5M+101%

APP has the edge over GOOGL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GOOGL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$9.1B-137%
Q2 2026-$5.9B-210%
Q1 2026$10.1B-47%
Q4 2025$24.6B-1.2%
Q3 2025$24.5B+39%
Q2 2025$5.3B-61%
Q1 2025$19B+13%
Q4 2024$24.8B+215%

GOOGL usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$9.1B, but it generated $19.7B over the past year.

APP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 363MQ1 2024: 349MQ2 2024: 348MQ3 2024: 348MQ4 2024: 348MQ1 2025: 345MQ2 2025: 342MQ3 2025: 341MQ4 2025: 342MQ1 2026: 339MQ2 2026: 337MQ3 2026: 335M
Q4 2023: 363MQ1 2024: 349MQ2 2024: 348MQ3 2024: 348MQ4 2024: 348MQ1 2025: 345MQ2 2025: 342MQ3 2025: 341MQ4 2025: 342MQ1 2026: 339MQ2 2026: 337MQ3 2026: 335M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-2.3M shares
1 year-1.8%-6.2M shares
3 years-6.2%-22.1M shares
5 years-13%-49.6M shares
Available history+67%+134M shares

APP has the edge over GOOGL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GOOGL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+59M shares
1 year+1.4%+165M shares
3 years-1.2%-148M shares
5 years-6.8%-907M shares
Available history-10%-1.4B shares

GOOGL has 12.4B diluted shares, up 1.4% from a year ago.

APP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.5xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.5xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20251.2xHealthy
Q4 20241.2xHealthy

APP has the edge over GOOGL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

GOOGL Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash

GOOGL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

APP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.4Neutral
Stochastic56.4Neutral

APP's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).

GOOGL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.2Neutral
Stochastic11.7Oversold

GOOGL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

APP PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAPPSector medianRelative
PE26x28x4.9% below
PE %74235 pts below

APP is trading at 26x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

GOOGL PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricGOOGLSector medianRelative
PE16x16x6% below
PE %12625 pts below

GOOGL has the edge over APP on valuation relative to its sector.

APP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$299.531% above
20 week MA$344.014% above
50 week MA$443.511% below
100 week MA$429.48.3% below
200 week MA$250.057% above

APP has the edge over GOOGL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GOOGL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$320.46.8% below
20 week MA$336.111% below
50 week MA$334.511% below
100 week MA$267.812% above
200 week MA$204.746% above

GOOGL has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 46% above its 200-week average.

APP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$61.0$93.8+54%
2022$93.8$9.84-90%
2023$9.84$39.9+305%
2024$39.9$335.2+741%
2025$335.2$714.2+113%
2026 YTD$714.2$393.7-45%

APP's yearly returns have swung widely, from +741% in 2024 to −90% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

GOOGL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$67.7$86.7+28%
2021$86.7$146.9+69%
2022$146.9$89.2-39%
2023$89.2$139.7+57%
2024$139.7$192.8+38%
2025$192.8$313.5+63%
2026 YTD$313.5$298.7-4.7%

GOOGL has the edge over APP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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