APP

AppLovin Corporation

84
Fundamentals94/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

APP has the edge over DELL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

DELL

Dell Technologies Inc.

73
Fundamentals80/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

DELL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

APP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

APP's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

DELL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

DELL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

APP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE187x374x561x749x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE187x374x561x749x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward20x$394—
Current26x$394—
Cheap42x$618+57%
Fair66x$978+148%
Expensive137x$2,040+418%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

APP has the edge over DELL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

DELL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x31x41x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x31x41x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$187-50%
Forward12x$371—
Fair18x$313-16%
Current22x$371—
Expensive26x$444+20%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DELL's PE is in its expensive range at 22x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

APP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for APP, with profitability improving.

DELL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for DELL, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

APP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+110%$826.40
Downside-28%$284.33

Calculated from the latest close: $393.68 on Nov 12.

APP trails DELL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DELL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+92%$712.12
Downside-20%$297.69

Calculated from the latest close: $371.17 on Nov 12.

DELL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than APP, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

APP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.98Q1 2024: $1.66Q2 2024: $2.33Q3 2024: $3.28Q4 2024: $4.53Q1 2025: $5.53Q2 2025: $7.03Q3 2025: $8.23Q4 2025: $9.75Q1 2026: $11.64Q2 2026: $13.01Q3 2026: $14.86Forward: $19.62
Q4 2023: $0.98Q1 2024: $1.66Q2 2024: $2.33Q3 2024: $3.28Q4 2024: $4.53Q1 2025: $5.53Q2 2025: $7.03Q3 2025: $8.23Q4 2025: $9.75Q1 2026: $11.64Q2 2026: $13.01Q3 2026: $14.86Forward: $19.62
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$19.62+32%
Q3 2026$14.86+81%
Q2 2026$13.01+85%
Q1 2026$11.64+110%
Q4 2025$9.75+115%
Q3 2025$8.23+151%
Q2 2025$7.03+202%
Q1 2025$5.53+233%
Q4 2024$4.53+362%

APP has the edge over DELL on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

DELL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.64Q1 2024: $4.36Q2 2024: $4.89Q3 2024: $5.43Q4 2024: $5.65Q1 2025: $6.22Q2 2025: $6.27Q3 2025: $6.80Q4 2025: $7.50Q1 2026: $8.68Q2 2026: $12.55Q3 2026: $17.19Forward: $29.83
Q4 2023: $3.64Q1 2024: $4.36Q2 2024: $4.89Q3 2024: $5.43Q4 2024: $5.65Q1 2025: $6.22Q2 2025: $6.27Q3 2025: $6.80Q4 2025: $7.50Q1 2026: $8.68Q2 2026: $12.55Q3 2026: $17.19Forward: $29.83
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$29.83+74%
Q3 2026$17.19+153%
Q2 2026$12.55+100%
Q1 2026$8.68+40%
Q4 2025$7.50+33%
Q3 2025$6.80+25%
Q2 2025$6.27+28%
Q1 2025$6.22+43%
Q4 2024$5.65+55%

DELL's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $17.19 over the past year, up 153% from the year before, and higher year over year for 12 quarters in a row.

APP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $953MQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $953MQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+55%
Q2 2026$1.9B+53%
Q1 2026$1.8B+24%
Q4 2025$1.7B+21%
Q3 2025$1.4B+17%
Q2 2025$1.3B+17%
Q1 2025$1.5B+40%
Q4 2024$1.4B+44%

APP has the edge over DELL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

DELL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22.3BQ1 2024: $22.3BQ2 2024: $22.2BQ3 2024: $25BQ4 2024: $24.4BQ1 2025: $23.9BQ2 2025: $23.4BQ3 2025: $29.8BQ4 2025: $27BQ1 2026: $33.4BQ2 2026: $43.8BQ3 2026: $47B
Q4 2023: $22.3BQ1 2024: $22.3BQ2 2024: $22.2BQ3 2024: $25BQ4 2024: $24.4BQ1 2025: $23.9BQ2 2025: $23.4BQ3 2025: $29.8BQ4 2025: $27BQ1 2026: $33.4BQ2 2026: $43.8BQ3 2026: $47B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$47B+58%
Q2 2026$43.8B+88%
Q1 2026$33.4B+39%
Q4 2025$27B+11%
Q3 2025$29.8B+19%
Q2 2025$23.4B+5.1%
Q1 2025$23.9B+7.2%
Q4 2024$24.4B+9.5%

DELL's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $47B last quarter, up 58% from the same quarter a year ago.

APP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $344MQ1 2024: $393MQ2 2024: $455MQ3 2024: $551MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $832MQ2 2025: $772MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $869MQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $344MQ1 2024: $393MQ2 2024: $455MQ3 2024: $551MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $832MQ2 2025: $772MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $869MQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+36%
Q2 2026$869M+13%
Q1 2026$1.3B+55%
Q3 2025$1.1B+91%
Q2 2025$772.2M+70%
Q1 2025$831.7M+112%
Q3 2024$550.7M+177%
Q2 2024$454.5M+101%

APP has the edge over DELL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DELL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $806MQ2 2024: $447MQ3 2024: $658MQ4 2024: $914MQ1 2025: −$150MQ2 2025: $2.2BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $503MQ1 2026: $4BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $986M
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $806MQ2 2024: $447MQ3 2024: $658MQ4 2024: $914MQ1 2025: −$150MQ2 2025: $2.2BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $503MQ1 2026: $4BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $986M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$986M-47%
Q2 2026$3.1B+40%
Q1 2026$4B+$4.1B
Q4 2025$503M-45%
Q3 2025$1.9B+184%
Q2 2025$2.2B+398%
Q1 2025-$150M-119%
Q4 2024$914M-37%

DELL still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2021 peak: $8.6B over the past year.

APP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 363MQ1 2024: 349MQ2 2024: 348MQ3 2024: 348MQ4 2024: 348MQ1 2025: 345MQ2 2025: 342MQ3 2025: 341MQ4 2025: 342MQ1 2026: 339MQ2 2026: 337MQ3 2026: 335M
Q4 2023: 363MQ1 2024: 349MQ2 2024: 348MQ3 2024: 348MQ4 2024: 348MQ1 2025: 345MQ2 2025: 342MQ3 2025: 341MQ4 2025: 342MQ1 2026: 339MQ2 2026: 337MQ3 2026: 335M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-2.3M shares
1 year-1.8%-6.2M shares
3 years-6.2%-22.1M shares
5 years-13%-49.6M shares
Available history+67%+134M shares

APP has 335M diluted shares, down 1.8% from a year ago, with $3.2B in buybacks over the past year.

DELL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 740MQ1 2024: 736MQ2 2024: 727MQ3 2024: 724MQ4 2024: 717MQ1 2025: 720MQ2 2025: 702MQ3 2025: 686MQ4 2025: 680MQ1 2026: 684MQ2 2026: 656MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 740MQ1 2024: 736MQ2 2024: 727MQ3 2024: 724MQ4 2024: 717MQ1 2025: 720MQ2 2025: 702MQ3 2025: 686MQ4 2025: 680MQ1 2026: 684MQ2 2026: 656MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-4M shares
1 year-5%-34M shares
3 years-12%-86M shares
5 years-58%-899M shares
Available history-56%-828M shares

DELL has the edge over APP on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

APP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.5xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.5xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20251.2xHealthy
Q4 20241.2xHealthy

APP has the edge over DELL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

DELL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.3xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.2xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 1.3x
Q4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.3xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.2xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.4xHealthy
Q1 20261.8xHealthy
Q4 20252.1xModerate
Q3 20252.1xModerate
Q2 20252.2xModerate
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.3xModerate

DELL's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.1 years a year ago.

APP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.4Neutral
Stochastic56.4Neutral

APP's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).

DELL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.4Neutral
Stochastic17.5Oversold

DELL's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

APP PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAPPSector medianRelative
PE26x28x4.9% below
PE %74235 pts below

APP is trading at 26x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

DELL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricDELLSector medianRelative
PE22x28x23% below
PE %663531 pts above

DELL has the edge over APP on valuation relative to its sector.

APP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$299.531% above
20 week MA$344.014% above
50 week MA$443.511% below
100 week MA$429.48.3% below
200 week MA$250.057% above

APP's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 57% above its 200-week average.

DELL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$468.021% below
20 week MA$465.720% below
50 week MA$307.321% above
100 week MA$212.974% above
200 week MA$149.7148% above

DELL has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 148% above its 200-week average.

APP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$61.0$93.8+54%
2022$93.8$9.84-90%
2023$9.84$39.9+305%
2024$39.9$335.2+741%
2025$335.2$714.2+113%
2026 YTD$714.2$393.7-45%

APP's yearly returns have swung widely, from +741% in 2024 to −90% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

DELL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$25.8$37.0+43%
2021$37.0$55.9+51%
2022$55.9$39.1-30%
2023$39.1$76.5+96%
2024$76.5$117.3+53%
2025$117.3$129.2+10%
2026 YTD$129.2$371.2+187%

DELL has the edge over APP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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