APOG

Apogee Enterprises, Inc.

61
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation49/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

APOG offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CAT

Caterpillar Inc.

66
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CAT has the edge over APOG overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

APOG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

APOG's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

CAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

APOG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE109x218x326x435x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE109x218x326x435x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$33.73-29%
Forward14x$47.41—
Fair15x$46.28-2.4%
Current15x$47.41—
Expensive44x$139+193%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

APOG has the edge over CAT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$380-37%
Fair18x$461-24%
Forward20x$605—
Current24x$605—
Expensive33x$840+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

APOG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for APOG, with profitability holding steady.

CAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

CAT has the edge over APOG on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

APOG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$59.86
Downside-22%$37.11

Calculated from the latest close: $47.41 on Nov 12.

APOG trails CAT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$918.83
Downside-11%$541.24

Calculated from the latest close: $605.28 on Nov 12.

CAT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than APOG, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

APOG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.69Q1 2024: $4.51Q2 2024: $4.87Q3 2024: $4.75Q4 2024: $4.48Q1 2025: $3.89Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.05Q4 2025: $1.86Q1 2026: $2.52Q2 2026: $3.19Q3 2026: $3.16Forward: $3.37
Q4 2023: $4.69Q1 2024: $4.51Q2 2024: $4.87Q3 2024: $4.75Q4 2024: $4.48Q1 2025: $3.89Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.05Q4 2025: $1.86Q1 2026: $2.52Q2 2026: $3.19Q3 2026: $3.16Forward: $3.37
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.37+6.6%
Q3 2026$3.16+54%
Q2 2026$3.19+36%
Q1 2026$2.52-35%
Q4 2025$1.86-58%
Q3 2025$2.05-57%
Q2 2025$2.35-52%
Q1 2025$3.89-14%
Q4 2024$4.48-4.5%

APOG's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.16 over the past year, against $4.87 in mid-2024.

CAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$30.32+19%
Q3 2026$25.48+31%
Q2 2026$23.23+18%
Q1 2026$20.08-2%
Q4 2025$18.81-15%
Q3 2025$19.46-9.7%
Q2 2025$19.64-10%
Q1 2025$20.50-7.4%
Q4 2024$22.05+9.6%

CAT has the edge over APOG on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

APOG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $340MQ1 2024: $362MQ2 2024: $332MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $341MQ1 2025: $346MQ2 2025: $347MQ3 2025: $358MQ4 2025: $349MQ1 2026: $351MQ2 2026: $343MQ3 2026: $391M
Q4 2023: $340MQ1 2024: $362MQ2 2024: $332MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $341MQ1 2025: $346MQ2 2025: $347MQ3 2025: $358MQ4 2025: $349MQ1 2026: $351MQ2 2026: $343MQ3 2026: $391M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$391.1M+9.2%
Q2 2026$342.7M-1.1%
Q1 2026$351.4M+1.6%
Q4 2025$348.6M+2.1%
Q3 2025$358.2M+4.6%
Q2 2025$346.6M+4.6%
Q1 2025$345.7M-4.5%
Q4 2024$341.3M+0.5%

APOG's revenue grew through 2022 and has held roughly level since: $391M last quarter, up 9.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

CAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.7B+17%
Q2 2026$20.5B+24%
Q1 2026$17.4B+22%
Q4 2025$19.1B+18%
Q3 2025$17.6B+9.5%
Q2 2025$16.6B-0.7%
Q1 2025$14.2B-9.8%
Q4 2024$16.2B-5%

CAT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $20.7B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

APOG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $55MQ1 2024: $59MQ2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: $50MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: −$27MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $47MQ2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $24M
Q4 2023: $55MQ1 2024: $59MQ2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: $50MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: −$27MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $47MQ2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$24.3M-54%
Q2 2026$1.1M+$28.1M
Q1 2026$46.9M+145%
Q4 2025$22.9M+4.1%
Q3 2025$52.4M+4.3%
Q2 2025-$26.9M-$25.2M
Q1 2025$19.1M-67%
Q4 2024$22M-60%

APOG still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2024 peak: $95M over the past year.

CAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+19%
Q2 2026$3.8B+47%
Q1 2026$1.1B+97%
Q4 2025$2.7B+0.1%
Q3 2025$3.1B-1.5%
Q2 2025$2.6B-4.2%
Q1 2025$579M-63%
Q4 2024$2.7B-22%

CAT generated $11.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 26% from the year before.

APOG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 22MQ2 2024: 22MQ3 2024: 22MQ4 2024: 22MQ1 2025: 22MQ2 2025: 21MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 22MQ1 2026: 22MQ2 2026: 21MQ3 2026: 21M
Q4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 22MQ2 2024: 22MQ3 2024: 22MQ4 2024: 22MQ1 2025: 22MQ2 2025: 21MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 22MQ1 2026: 22MQ2 2026: 21MQ3 2026: 21M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.9%-411K shares
1 year-3.2%-689K shares
3 years-4.8%-1.1M shares
5 years-17%-4.2M shares
Available history-22%-5.8M shares

APOG has the edge over CAT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-2.1%-9.9M shares
3 years-10%-51.7M shares
5 years-16%-86.7M shares
Available history-19%-107M shares

CAT has 461M diluted shares, down 2.1% from a year ago, with $8.1B in buybacks over the past year.

APOG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.5xQ2 2025: 2.1xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.5xQ2 2025: 2.1xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.4xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20252.0xHealthy
Q2 20252.1xModerate
Q1 20251.5xHealthy
Q4 20241.3xHealthy

APOG's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

CAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CAT has the edge over APOG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

APOG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.6Neutral
Stochastic85.8Overbought

APOG's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 86 (overbought).

CAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic6.7Oversold

CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

APOG PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricAPOGSector medianRelative
PE15x24x38% below
PE %52586 pts below

APOG has the edge over CAT on valuation relative to its sector.

CAT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCATSector medianRelative
PE24x24x1.3% below
PE %695811 pts above

CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

APOG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$42.113% above
20 week MA$41.016% above
50 week MA$39.022% above
100 week MA$42.013% above
200 week MA$48.72.6% below

APOG has the edge over CAT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$709.015% below
20 week MA$797.024% below
50 week MA$771.322% below
100 week MA$586.73.2% above
200 week MA$443.137% above

CAT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.

APOG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.5$32.7+0.5%
2021$32.7$47.2+44%
2022$47.2$43.9-7%
2023$43.9$53.4+22%
2024$53.4$72.3+35%
2025$72.3$38.0-48%
2026 YTD$38.0$47.4+25%

APOG has the edge over CAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.3$179.6+21%
2021$179.6$206.2+15%
2022$206.2$239.9+16%
2023$239.9$295.7+23%
2024$295.7$364.9+23%
2025$364.9$583.0+60%
2026 YTD$583.0$605.3+3.8%

CAT has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 3.8% so far in 2026.

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