APO

Apollo Global Management, Inc.

55
Fundamentals44/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

APO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD has the edge over APO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

APO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

APO's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like APO.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

APO PE Valuation

APO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35—
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35—
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD's PE is in its cheap range at 38x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings.

APO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for APO, with profitability holding steady.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

HOOD has the edge over APO on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

APO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$158.13
Downside-22%$94.93

Calculated from the latest close: $121.35 on Nov 12.

APO trails HOOD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

HOOD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than APO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

APO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.28Q1 2024: $8.90Q2 2024: $9.25Q3 2024: $9.44Q4 2024: $7.33Q1 2025: $5.73Q2 2025: $5.37Q3 2025: $6.86Q4 2025: $5.54Q1 2026: $1.59Q2 2026: $2.75Q3 2026: $-1.81Forward: $10.14
Q4 2023: $8.28Q1 2024: $8.90Q2 2024: $9.25Q3 2024: $9.44Q4 2024: $7.33Q1 2025: $5.73Q2 2025: $5.37Q3 2025: $6.86Q4 2025: $5.54Q1 2026: $1.59Q2 2026: $2.75Q3 2026: $-1.81Forward: $10.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$10.14—
Q3 2026-$1.81-126%
Q2 2026$2.75-49%
Q1 2026$1.59-72%
Q4 2025$5.54-24%
Q3 2025$6.86-27%
Q2 2025$5.37-42%
Q1 2025$5.73-36%
Q4 2024$7.33-11%

APO has swung to a loss: it lost $1.81 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD has the edge over APO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

APO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $7BQ2 2024: $6BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $5.3BQ1 2025: $5.5BQ2 2025: $6.8BQ3 2025: $9.8BQ4 2025: $9.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $11.2BQ3 2026: $4.7B
Q4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $7BQ2 2024: $6BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $5.3BQ1 2025: $5.5BQ2 2025: $6.8BQ3 2025: $9.8BQ4 2025: $9.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $11.2BQ3 2026: $4.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.7B-52%
Q2 2026$11.2B+64%
Q1 2026$5.1B-8.8%
Q4 2025$9.9B+87%
Q3 2025$9.8B+26%
Q2 2025$6.8B+13%
Q1 2025$5.5B-21%
Q4 2024$5.3B-52%

APO's revenue is growing: $4.7B last quarter, down 52% from the same quarter a year ago.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD has the edge over APO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

APO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $70MQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $303MQ4 2025: $4.7BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $2.9BQ3 2026: $136M
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $70MQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $303MQ4 2025: $4.7BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $2.9BQ3 2026: $136M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$136M-55%
Q2 2026$2.9B+128%
Q1 2026$1.6B+60%
Q4 2025$4.7B+$4.7B
Q3 2025$303M-84%
Q2 2025$1.3B-5.3%
Q1 2025$1B+1346%
Q4 2024-$4M-100%

APO's free cash flow was $9.3B over the past year, about four times what it generated the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like APO.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD has the edge over APO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

APO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 589MQ1 2024: 605MQ2 2024: 590MQ3 2024: 589MQ4 2024: 604MQ1 2025: 593MQ2 2025: 590MQ3 2025: 608MQ4 2025: 594MQ1 2026: 595MQ2 2026: 610MQ3 2026: 603M
Q4 2023: 589MQ1 2024: 605MQ2 2024: 590MQ3 2024: 589MQ4 2024: 604MQ1 2025: 593MQ2 2025: 590MQ3 2025: 608MQ4 2025: 594MQ1 2026: 595MQ2 2026: 610MQ3 2026: 603M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-7.6M shares
1 year-0.9%-5.2M shares
3 years+4.1%+23.8M shares
5 years+152%+363M shares
Available history+170%+380M shares

APO has the edge over HOOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.

APO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.5xQ1 2024: -1.5xQ2 2024: -1.1xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ4 2025: -0.9xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -1.6xQ3 2026: -1.7x
Q4 2023: -1.5xQ1 2024: -1.5xQ2 2024: -1.1xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ4 2025: -0.9xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -1.6xQ3 2026: -1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.8xNet Cash

APO has the edge over HOOD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.

APO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.7Neutral
Stochastic23.4Neutral

APO's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

APO PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricAPOSector medianRelative
PE42x13x224% above
PE %856322 pts above

APO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD has the edge over APO on valuation relative to its sector.

APO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.54.2% above
20 week MA$123.21.5% below
50 week MA$126.13.7% below
100 week MA$133.49% below
200 week MA$116.44.2% above

APO has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.

APO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$48.1$49.1+2.1%
2021$49.1$74.3+51%
2022$74.3$64.3-13%
2023$64.3$93.2+45%
2024$93.2$170.3+83%
2025$170.3$148.5-13%
2026 YTD$148.5$121.4-18%

APO has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

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