APO

Apollo Global Management, Inc.

55
Fundamentals44/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

APO offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over APO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

APO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

APO's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like APO.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

APO PE Valuation

APO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

APO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for APO, with profitability holding steady.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

GS has the edge over APO on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

APO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$158.13
Downside-22%$94.93

Calculated from the latest close: $121.35 on Nov 12.

APO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails APO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

APO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.28Q1 2024: $8.90Q2 2024: $9.25Q3 2024: $9.44Q4 2024: $7.33Q1 2025: $5.73Q2 2025: $5.37Q3 2025: $6.86Q4 2025: $5.54Q1 2026: $1.59Q2 2026: $2.75Q3 2026: $-1.81Forward: $10.14
Q4 2023: $8.28Q1 2024: $8.90Q2 2024: $9.25Q3 2024: $9.44Q4 2024: $7.33Q1 2025: $5.73Q2 2025: $5.37Q3 2025: $6.86Q4 2025: $5.54Q1 2026: $1.59Q2 2026: $2.75Q3 2026: $-1.81Forward: $10.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$10.14—
Q3 2026-$1.81-126%
Q2 2026$2.75-49%
Q1 2026$1.59-72%
Q4 2025$5.54-24%
Q3 2025$6.86-27%
Q2 2025$5.37-42%
Q1 2025$5.73-36%
Q4 2024$7.33-11%

APO has swung to a loss: it lost $1.81 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over APO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

APO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $7BQ2 2024: $6BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $5.3BQ1 2025: $5.5BQ2 2025: $6.8BQ3 2025: $9.8BQ4 2025: $9.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $11.2BQ3 2026: $4.7B
Q4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $7BQ2 2024: $6BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $5.3BQ1 2025: $5.5BQ2 2025: $6.8BQ3 2025: $9.8BQ4 2025: $9.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $11.2BQ3 2026: $4.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.7B-52%
Q2 2026$11.2B+64%
Q1 2026$5.1B-8.8%
Q4 2025$9.9B+87%
Q3 2025$9.8B+26%
Q2 2025$6.8B+13%
Q1 2025$5.5B-21%
Q4 2024$5.3B-52%

APO's revenue is growing: $4.7B last quarter, down 52% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS has the edge over APO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

APO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $70MQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $303MQ4 2025: $4.7BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $2.9BQ3 2026: $136M
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $70MQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $303MQ4 2025: $4.7BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $2.9BQ3 2026: $136M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$136M-55%
Q2 2026$2.9B+128%
Q1 2026$1.6B+60%
Q4 2025$4.7B+$4.7B
Q3 2025$303M-84%
Q2 2025$1.3B-5.3%
Q1 2025$1B+1346%
Q4 2024-$4M-100%

APO has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

APO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 589MQ1 2024: 605MQ2 2024: 590MQ3 2024: 589MQ4 2024: 604MQ1 2025: 593MQ2 2025: 590MQ3 2025: 608MQ4 2025: 594MQ1 2026: 595MQ2 2026: 610MQ3 2026: 603M
Q4 2023: 589MQ1 2024: 605MQ2 2024: 590MQ3 2024: 589MQ4 2024: 604MQ1 2025: 593MQ2 2025: 590MQ3 2025: 608MQ4 2025: 594MQ1 2026: 595MQ2 2026: 610MQ3 2026: 603M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-7.6M shares
1 year-0.9%-5.2M shares
3 years+4.1%+23.8M shares
5 years+152%+363M shares
Available history+170%+380M shares

APO has 603M diluted shares, down 0.9% from a year ago, with $1.1B in buybacks over the past year.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over APO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

APO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.5xQ1 2024: -1.5xQ2 2024: -1.1xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ4 2025: -0.9xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -1.6xQ3 2026: -1.7x
Q4 2023: -1.5xQ1 2024: -1.5xQ2 2024: -1.1xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ4 2025: -0.9xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -1.6xQ3 2026: -1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.8xNet Cash

APO has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like APO.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over APO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

APO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.7Neutral
Stochastic23.4Neutral

APO's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

APO PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricAPOSector medianRelative
PE42x13x224% above
PE %856322 pts above

APO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS has the edge over APO on valuation relative to its sector.

APO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.54.2% above
20 week MA$123.21.5% below
50 week MA$126.13.7% below
100 week MA$133.49% below
200 week MA$116.44.2% above

APO's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 4.2% above its 200-week average.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS has the edge over APO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

APO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$48.1$49.1+2.1%
2021$49.1$74.3+51%
2022$74.3$64.3-13%
2023$64.3$93.2+45%
2024$93.2$170.3+83%
2025$170.3$148.5-13%
2026 YTD$148.5$121.4-18%

APO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 18% so far in 2026.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has the edge over APO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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