APLD

Applied Digital Corporation

54
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential43/ 100

APLD trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over APLD overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

APLD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
Weak
Weak

APLD's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are weak.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

APLD PE Valuation

APLD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

APLD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect APLD's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

APLD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$30.42
Downside-43%$9.61

Calculated from the latest close: $16.95 on Nov 12.

APLD trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than APLD, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

APLD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.37Q1 2024: $-0.81Q2 2024: $-1.31Q3 2024: $-1.22Q4 2024: $-1.78Q1 2025: $-1.42Q2 2025: $-1.09Q3 2025: $-1.13Q4 2025: $-0.54Q1 2026: $-0.74Q2 2026: $-0.91Q3 2026: $-1.66
Q4 2023: $-0.37Q1 2024: $-0.81Q2 2024: $-1.31Q3 2024: $-1.22Q4 2024: $-1.78Q1 2025: $-1.42Q2 2025: $-1.09Q3 2025: $-1.13Q4 2025: $-0.54Q1 2026: $-0.74Q2 2026: $-0.91Q3 2026: $-1.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.66-$0.53
Q2 2026-$0.91+$0.18
Q1 2026-$0.74+$0.68
Q4 2025-$0.54+$1.24
Q3 2025-$1.13+$0.09
Q2 2025-$1.09+$0.22
Q1 2025-$1.42-$0.61
Q4 2024-$1.78-$1.41

APLD lost $1.66 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last three quarters.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over APLD on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

APLD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $43MQ2 2024: $44MQ3 2024: $61MQ4 2024: $64MQ1 2025: $53MQ2 2025: $51MQ3 2025: $64MQ4 2025: $127MQ1 2026: $127MQ2 2026: $259MQ3 2026: $342M
Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $43MQ2 2024: $44MQ3 2024: $61MQ4 2024: $64MQ1 2025: $53MQ2 2025: $51MQ3 2025: $64MQ4 2025: $127MQ1 2026: $127MQ2 2026: $259MQ3 2026: $342M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$341.9M+432%
Q2 2026$258.7M+407%
Q1 2026$126.6M+139%
Q4 2025$126.6M+98%
Q3 2025$64.2M+5.8%
Q2 2025$51.1M+17%
Q1 2025$52.9M+22%
Q4 2024$63.9M+51%

APLD's revenue has grown year over year for 19 quarters in a row: $342M last quarter, up 432% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over APLD on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

APLD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$9MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: −$89MQ3 2024: −$131MQ4 2024: −$223MQ1 2025: −$252MQ2 2025: −$191MQ3 2025: −$331MQ4 2025: −$568MQ1 2026: −$720MQ2 2026: −$1.2BQ3 2026: −$2B
Q4 2023: −$9MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: −$89MQ3 2024: −$131MQ4 2024: −$223MQ1 2025: −$252MQ2 2025: −$191MQ3 2025: −$331MQ4 2025: −$568MQ1 2026: −$720MQ2 2026: −$1.2BQ3 2026: −$2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$2B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$1.2B-$965.1M
Q1 2026-$720.2M-$468.6M
Q4 2025-$567.9M-$344.6M
Q3 2025-$331.4M-$200.8M
Q2 2025-$191.4M-$102.5M
Q1 2025-$251.6M-$249.3M
Q4 2024-$223.3M-$214.6M

APLD has burned cash in most quarters: −$4.5B over the past year, against −$998M the year before.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over APLD on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

APLD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 110MQ1 2024: 121MQ3 2024: 149MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 222MQ2 2025: 201MQ3 2025: 256MQ4 2025: 277MQ1 2026: 282MQ2 2026: 275MQ3 2026: 292M
Q4 2023: 110MQ1 2024: 121MQ3 2024: 149MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 222MQ2 2025: 201MQ3 2025: 256MQ4 2025: 277MQ1 2026: 282MQ2 2026: 275MQ3 2026: 292M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+5.9%+16.4M shares
1 year+14%+35.7M shares
3 years+210%+198M shares
5 years+19195%+290M shares

APLD has 292M diluted shares, up 14% from a year ago.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over APLD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

APLD Net Leverage

Q3 2024: -2.2xQ4 2024: -10.7xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: 25.6x
Q3 2024: -2.2xQ4 2024: -10.7xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: 25.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202525.6xHigh
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-10.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-2.2xNet Cash

APLD's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

APLD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.9Neutral
Stochastic11.8Oversold

APLD's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

APLD PE vs Technology Sector

APLD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

APLD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.216% below
20 week MA$25.032% below
50 week MA$30.244% below
100 week MA$21.822% below
200 week MA$13.624% above

APLD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 24% above its 200-week average.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

APLD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2022$4.78$1.92-60%
2023$1.92$6.74+251%
2024$6.74$8.39+24%
2025$8.39$24.1+187%
2026 YTD$24.1$17.0-30%

APLD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +251% in 2023 to −60% in 2022. It's down 30% so far in 2026.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA has the edge over APLD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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