APLD

Applied Digital Corporation

54
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential43/ 100

APLD trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over APLD overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

APLD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
Weak
Weak

APLD's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are weak.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

APLD PE Valuation

APLD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

APLD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect APLD's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

APLD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$30.42
Downside-43%$9.61

Calculated from the latest close: $16.95 on Nov 12.

APLD trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than APLD, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

APLD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.37Q1 2024: $-0.81Q2 2024: $-1.31Q3 2024: $-1.22Q4 2024: $-1.78Q1 2025: $-1.42Q2 2025: $-1.09Q3 2025: $-1.13Q4 2025: $-0.54Q1 2026: $-0.74Q2 2026: $-0.91Q3 2026: $-1.66
Q4 2023: $-0.37Q1 2024: $-0.81Q2 2024: $-1.31Q3 2024: $-1.22Q4 2024: $-1.78Q1 2025: $-1.42Q2 2025: $-1.09Q3 2025: $-1.13Q4 2025: $-0.54Q1 2026: $-0.74Q2 2026: $-0.91Q3 2026: $-1.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.66-$0.53
Q2 2026-$0.91+$0.18
Q1 2026-$0.74+$0.68
Q4 2025-$0.54+$1.24
Q3 2025-$1.13+$0.09
Q2 2025-$1.09+$0.22
Q1 2025-$1.42-$0.61
Q4 2024-$1.78-$1.41

APLD lost $1.66 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last three quarters.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over APLD on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

APLD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $43MQ2 2024: $44MQ3 2024: $61MQ4 2024: $64MQ1 2025: $53MQ2 2025: $51MQ3 2025: $64MQ4 2025: $127MQ1 2026: $127MQ2 2026: $259MQ3 2026: $342M
Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $43MQ2 2024: $44MQ3 2024: $61MQ4 2024: $64MQ1 2025: $53MQ2 2025: $51MQ3 2025: $64MQ4 2025: $127MQ1 2026: $127MQ2 2026: $259MQ3 2026: $342M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$341.9M+432%
Q2 2026$258.7M+407%
Q1 2026$126.6M+139%
Q4 2025$126.6M+98%
Q3 2025$64.2M+5.8%
Q2 2025$51.1M+17%
Q1 2025$52.9M+22%
Q4 2024$63.9M+51%

APLD has the edge over MSFT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

APLD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$9MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: −$89MQ3 2024: −$131MQ4 2024: −$223MQ1 2025: −$252MQ2 2025: −$191MQ3 2025: −$331MQ4 2025: −$568MQ1 2026: −$720MQ2 2026: −$1.2BQ3 2026: −$2B
Q4 2023: −$9MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: −$89MQ3 2024: −$131MQ4 2024: −$223MQ1 2025: −$252MQ2 2025: −$191MQ3 2025: −$331MQ4 2025: −$568MQ1 2026: −$720MQ2 2026: −$1.2BQ3 2026: −$2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$2B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$1.2B-$965.1M
Q1 2026-$720.2M-$468.6M
Q4 2025-$567.9M-$344.6M
Q3 2025-$331.4M-$200.8M
Q2 2025-$191.4M-$102.5M
Q1 2025-$251.6M-$249.3M
Q4 2024-$223.3M-$214.6M

APLD has burned cash in most quarters: −$4.5B over the past year, against −$998M the year before.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT has the edge over APLD on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

APLD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 110MQ1 2024: 121MQ3 2024: 149MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 222MQ2 2025: 201MQ3 2025: 256MQ4 2025: 277MQ1 2026: 282MQ2 2026: 275MQ3 2026: 292M
Q4 2023: 110MQ1 2024: 121MQ3 2024: 149MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 222MQ2 2025: 201MQ3 2025: 256MQ4 2025: 277MQ1 2026: 282MQ2 2026: 275MQ3 2026: 292M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+5.9%+16.4M shares
1 year+14%+35.7M shares
3 years+210%+198M shares
5 years+19195%+290M shares

APLD has 292M diluted shares, up 14% from a year ago.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over APLD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

APLD Net Leverage

Q3 2024: -2.2xQ4 2024: -10.7xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: 25.6x
Q3 2024: -2.2xQ4 2024: -10.7xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: 25.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202525.6xHigh
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-10.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-2.2xNet Cash

APLD's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

APLD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.9Neutral
Stochastic11.8Oversold

APLD's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

APLD PE vs Technology Sector

APLD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

APLD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.216% below
20 week MA$25.032% below
50 week MA$30.244% below
100 week MA$21.822% below
200 week MA$13.624% above

APLD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 24% above its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over APLD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

APLD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2022$4.78$1.92-60%
2023$1.92$6.74+251%
2024$6.74$8.39+24%
2025$8.39$24.1+187%
2026 YTD$24.1$17.0-30%

APLD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +251% in 2023 to −60% in 2022. It's down 30% so far in 2026.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over APLD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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