APLD

Applied Digital Corporation

54
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential43/ 100

APLD offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC has the edge over APLD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

APLD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
Weak
Weak

APLD's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are weak.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

APLD PE Valuation

APLD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

APLD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect APLD's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

INTC has the edge over APLD on the outlook, with more favorable earnings expectations.

APLD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$30.42
Downside-43%$9.61

Calculated from the latest close: $16.95 on Nov 12.

APLD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than INTC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC trails APLD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

APLD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.37Q1 2024: $-0.81Q2 2024: $-1.31Q3 2024: $-1.22Q4 2024: $-1.78Q1 2025: $-1.42Q2 2025: $-1.09Q3 2025: $-1.13Q4 2025: $-0.54Q1 2026: $-0.74Q2 2026: $-0.91Q3 2026: $-1.66
Q4 2023: $-0.37Q1 2024: $-0.81Q2 2024: $-1.31Q3 2024: $-1.22Q4 2024: $-1.78Q1 2025: $-1.42Q2 2025: $-1.09Q3 2025: $-1.13Q4 2025: $-0.54Q1 2026: $-0.74Q2 2026: $-0.91Q3 2026: $-1.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.66-$0.53
Q2 2026-$0.91+$0.18
Q1 2026-$0.74+$0.68
Q4 2025-$0.54+$1.24
Q3 2025-$1.13+$0.09
Q2 2025-$1.09+$0.22
Q1 2025-$1.42-$0.61
Q4 2024-$1.78-$1.41

APLD has the edge over INTC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

APLD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $43MQ2 2024: $44MQ3 2024: $61MQ4 2024: $64MQ1 2025: $53MQ2 2025: $51MQ3 2025: $64MQ4 2025: $127MQ1 2026: $127MQ2 2026: $259MQ3 2026: $342M
Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $43MQ2 2024: $44MQ3 2024: $61MQ4 2024: $64MQ1 2025: $53MQ2 2025: $51MQ3 2025: $64MQ4 2025: $127MQ1 2026: $127MQ2 2026: $259MQ3 2026: $342M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$341.9M+432%
Q2 2026$258.7M+407%
Q1 2026$126.6M+139%
Q4 2025$126.6M+98%
Q3 2025$64.2M+5.8%
Q2 2025$51.1M+17%
Q1 2025$52.9M+22%
Q4 2024$63.9M+51%

APLD has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

APLD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$9MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: −$89MQ3 2024: −$131MQ4 2024: −$223MQ1 2025: −$252MQ2 2025: −$191MQ3 2025: −$331MQ4 2025: −$568MQ1 2026: −$720MQ2 2026: −$1.2BQ3 2026: −$2B
Q4 2023: −$9MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: −$89MQ3 2024: −$131MQ4 2024: −$223MQ1 2025: −$252MQ2 2025: −$191MQ3 2025: −$331MQ4 2025: −$568MQ1 2026: −$720MQ2 2026: −$1.2BQ3 2026: −$2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$2B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$1.2B-$965.1M
Q1 2026-$720.2M-$468.6M
Q4 2025-$567.9M-$344.6M
Q3 2025-$331.4M-$200.8M
Q2 2025-$191.4M-$102.5M
Q1 2025-$251.6M-$249.3M
Q4 2024-$223.3M-$214.6M

APLD has burned cash in most quarters: −$4.5B over the past year, against −$998M the year before.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over APLD on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

APLD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 110MQ1 2024: 121MQ3 2024: 149MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 222MQ2 2025: 201MQ3 2025: 256MQ4 2025: 277MQ1 2026: 282MQ2 2026: 275MQ3 2026: 292M
Q4 2023: 110MQ1 2024: 121MQ3 2024: 149MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 222MQ2 2025: 201MQ3 2025: 256MQ4 2025: 277MQ1 2026: 282MQ2 2026: 275MQ3 2026: 292M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+5.9%+16.4M shares
1 year+14%+35.7M shares
3 years+210%+198M shares
5 years+19195%+290M shares

APLD has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

APLD Net Leverage

Q3 2024: -2.2xQ4 2024: -10.7xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: 25.6x
Q3 2024: -2.2xQ4 2024: -10.7xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: 25.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202525.6xHigh
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-10.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-2.2xNet Cash

APLD's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

APLD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.9Neutral
Stochastic11.8Oversold

APLD's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

APLD PE vs Technology Sector

APLD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

APLD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.216% below
20 week MA$25.032% below
50 week MA$30.244% below
100 week MA$21.822% below
200 week MA$13.624% above

APLD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 24% above its 200-week average.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has the edge over APLD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

APLD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2022$4.78$1.92-60%
2023$1.92$6.74+251%
2024$6.74$8.39+24%
2025$8.39$24.1+187%
2026 YTD$24.1$17.0-30%

APLD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +251% in 2023 to −60% in 2022. It's down 30% so far in 2026.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over APLD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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