APLD

Applied Digital Corporation

54
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential43/ 100

APLD has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

APLD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
Weak
Weak

APLD's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are weak.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

APLD PE Valuation

APLD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

APLD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect APLD's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

APLD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$30.42
Downside-43%$9.61

Calculated from the latest close: $16.95 on Nov 12.

APLD trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than APLD, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

APLD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.37Q1 2024: $-0.81Q2 2024: $-1.31Q3 2024: $-1.22Q4 2024: $-1.78Q1 2025: $-1.42Q2 2025: $-1.09Q3 2025: $-1.13Q4 2025: $-0.54Q1 2026: $-0.74Q2 2026: $-0.91Q3 2026: $-1.66
Q4 2023: $-0.37Q1 2024: $-0.81Q2 2024: $-1.31Q3 2024: $-1.22Q4 2024: $-1.78Q1 2025: $-1.42Q2 2025: $-1.09Q3 2025: $-1.13Q4 2025: $-0.54Q1 2026: $-0.74Q2 2026: $-0.91Q3 2026: $-1.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.66-$0.53
Q2 2026-$0.91+$0.18
Q1 2026-$0.74+$0.68
Q4 2025-$0.54+$1.24
Q3 2025-$1.13+$0.09
Q2 2025-$1.09+$0.22
Q1 2025-$1.42-$0.61
Q4 2024-$1.78-$1.41

APLD has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

APLD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $43MQ2 2024: $44MQ3 2024: $61MQ4 2024: $64MQ1 2025: $53MQ2 2025: $51MQ3 2025: $64MQ4 2025: $127MQ1 2026: $127MQ2 2026: $259MQ3 2026: $342M
Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $43MQ2 2024: $44MQ3 2024: $61MQ4 2024: $64MQ1 2025: $53MQ2 2025: $51MQ3 2025: $64MQ4 2025: $127MQ1 2026: $127MQ2 2026: $259MQ3 2026: $342M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$341.9M+432%
Q2 2026$258.7M+407%
Q1 2026$126.6M+139%
Q4 2025$126.6M+98%
Q3 2025$64.2M+5.8%
Q2 2025$51.1M+17%
Q1 2025$52.9M+22%
Q4 2024$63.9M+51%

APLD's revenue has grown year over year for 19 quarters in a row: $342M last quarter, up 432% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

APLD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$9MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: −$89MQ3 2024: −$131MQ4 2024: −$223MQ1 2025: −$252MQ2 2025: −$191MQ3 2025: −$331MQ4 2025: −$568MQ1 2026: −$720MQ2 2026: −$1.2BQ3 2026: −$2B
Q4 2023: −$9MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: −$89MQ3 2024: −$131MQ4 2024: −$223MQ1 2025: −$252MQ2 2025: −$191MQ3 2025: −$331MQ4 2025: −$568MQ1 2026: −$720MQ2 2026: −$1.2BQ3 2026: −$2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$2B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$1.2B-$965.1M
Q1 2026-$720.2M-$468.6M
Q4 2025-$567.9M-$344.6M
Q3 2025-$331.4M-$200.8M
Q2 2025-$191.4M-$102.5M
Q1 2025-$251.6M-$249.3M
Q4 2024-$223.3M-$214.6M

APLD has burned cash in most quarters: −$4.5B over the past year, against −$998M the year before.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

APLD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 110MQ1 2024: 121MQ3 2024: 149MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 222MQ2 2025: 201MQ3 2025: 256MQ4 2025: 277MQ1 2026: 282MQ2 2026: 275MQ3 2026: 292M
Q4 2023: 110MQ1 2024: 121MQ3 2024: 149MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 222MQ2 2025: 201MQ3 2025: 256MQ4 2025: 277MQ1 2026: 282MQ2 2026: 275MQ3 2026: 292M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+5.9%+16.4M shares
1 year+14%+35.7M shares
3 years+210%+198M shares
5 years+19195%+290M shares

APLD has 292M diluted shares, up 14% from a year ago.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has the edge over APLD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

APLD Net Leverage

Q3 2024: -2.2xQ4 2024: -10.7xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: 25.6x
Q3 2024: -2.2xQ4 2024: -10.7xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: 25.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202525.6xHigh
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-10.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-2.2xNet Cash

APLD's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

APLD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.9Neutral
Stochastic11.8Oversold

APLD's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

APLD PE vs Technology Sector

APLD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

APLD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.216% below
20 week MA$25.032% below
50 week MA$30.244% below
100 week MA$21.822% below
200 week MA$13.624% above

APLD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 24% above its 200-week average.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

APLD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2022$4.78$1.92-60%
2023$1.92$6.74+251%
2024$6.74$8.39+24%
2025$8.39$24.1+187%
2026 YTD$24.1$17.0-30%

APLD has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

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