API

Agora, Inc.

60
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

API's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over API overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

API Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Stable

API's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability and balance sheet are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

API PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x50x75x100x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x50x75x100x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current36x$4.09—
Cheap38x$4.17+1.9%
Fair41x$4.51+10%
Expensive82x$9.03+121%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

API's PE is 36x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA has the edge over API in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

API Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect API's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

API Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$5.64
Downside-27%$2.97

Calculated from the latest close: $4.09 on Nov 12.

API trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than API, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

API Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.15Q4 2023: $-0.86Q1 2024: $-0.80Q2 2024: $-0.46Q3 2024: $-0.49Q4 2024: $-0.46Q1 2025: $-0.35Q2 2025: $-0.24Q3 2025: $0.05Q4 2025: $0.10Q1 2026: $0.11Q2 2026: $0.11
Q3 2023: $-1.15Q4 2023: $-0.86Q1 2024: $-0.80Q2 2024: $-0.46Q3 2024: $-0.49Q4 2024: $-0.46Q1 2025: $-0.35Q2 2025: $-0.24Q3 2025: $0.05Q4 2025: $0.10Q1 2026: $0.11Q2 2026: $0.11
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.11+$0.35
Q1 2026$0.11+$0.46
Q4 2025$0.10+$0.56
Q3 2025$0.05+$0.54
Q2 2025-$0.24+$0.22
Q1 2025-$0.35+$0.45
Q4 2024-$0.46+$0.40
Q3 2024-$0.49+$0.66

API has returned to profit: it earned $0.11 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $7.91 over the past year, up 125% from the year before, and higher year over year for 13 quarters in a row.

API Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $35MQ4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $33MQ2 2024: $34MQ3 2024: $32MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: $34MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: $38MQ2 2026: $40M
Q3 2023: $35MQ4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $33MQ2 2024: $34MQ3 2024: $32MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: $34MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: $38MQ2 2026: $40M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.5M+18%
Q1 2026$37.9M+14%
Q4 2025$38.2M+11%
Q3 2025$35.4M+12%
Q2 2025$34.3M+0.1%
Q1 2025$33.3M+0.8%
Q4 2024$34.5M-4.4%
Q3 2024$31.6M-9.8%

API's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $40M last quarter, up 18% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over API on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

API Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$5MQ4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: −$14MQ2 2024: −$12MQ3 2024: −$17MQ4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: −$4MQ3 2025: −$12MQ4 2025: $5MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: −$8M
Q3 2023: −$5MQ4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: −$14MQ2 2024: −$12MQ3 2024: −$17MQ4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: −$4MQ3 2025: −$12MQ4 2025: $5MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: −$8M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$8.1M-$3.9M
Q1 2026-$3.7M-155%
Q4 2025$4.7M+$11.2M
Q3 2025-$12M+$4.9M
Q2 2025-$4.1M+$8M
Q1 2025$6.7M+$20.6M
Q4 2024-$6.5M-$2.8M
Q3 2024-$16.9M-$11.8M

API has burned cash in most quarters: −$19M over the past year, against −$21M the year before.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over API on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

API Total Shares

Q3 2023: 97MQ4 2023: 95MQ1 2024: 93MQ2 2024: 93MQ3 2024: 93MQ4 2024: 101MQ1 2025: 102MQ2 2025: 98MQ3 2025: 99MQ4 2025: 97MQ1 2026: 95MQ2 2026: 92M
Q3 2023: 97MQ4 2023: 95MQ1 2024: 93MQ2 2024: 93MQ3 2024: 93MQ4 2024: 101MQ1 2025: 102MQ2 2025: 98MQ3 2025: 99MQ4 2025: 97MQ1 2026: 95MQ2 2026: 92M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.3%-2.2M shares
1 year-5.9%-5.8M shares
3 years-8.1%-8.1M shares
5 years-16%-18M shares
Available history-9.3%-9.5M shares

API has the edge over NVDA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has 24.3B diluted shares, down 1% from a year ago, with $55.3B in buybacks over the past year.

API Net Leverage

Q3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: 2.1x
Q3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.1xModerate
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2020-111.5xNet Cash
Q2 2020-114.0xNet Cash

API's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA has the edge over API on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

API Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.5Neutral
Stochastic35.3Neutral

API's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

API PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAPISector medianRelative
PE36x28x28% above
PE %23634 pts below

API is trading at 36x earnings, a 28% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA has the edge over API on valuation relative to its sector.

API Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.233.3% below
20 week MA$4.192.4% below
50 week MA$4.131% below
100 week MA$4.080.2% above
200 week MA$3.5416% above

API has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

API Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$50.5$42.4-16%
2021$42.4$16.7-61%
2022$16.7$4.02-76%
2023$4.02$2.63-35%
2024$2.63$4.40+67%
2025$4.40$3.93-11%
2026 YTD$3.93$4.09+4.1%

API has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

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