API
Agora, Inc.
API has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
API Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable |
API's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability and balance sheet are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
API PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 36x | $4.09 | — |
| Cheap | 38x | $4.17 | +1.9% |
| Fair | 41x | $4.51 | +10% |
| Expensive | 82x | $9.03 | +121% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
API's PE is 36x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
API Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect API's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
API Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0.11 | +$0.35 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.11 | +$0.46 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.10 | +$0.56 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.05 | +$0.54 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.24 | +$0.22 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.35 | +$0.45 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.46 | +$0.40 |
| Q3 2024 | -$0.49 | +$0.66 |
API has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
API Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.5M | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $37.9M | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $38.2M | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $35.4M | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $34.3M | +0.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $33.3M | +0.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $34.5M | -4.4% |
| Q3 2024 | $31.6M | -9.8% |
API's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $40M last quarter, up 18% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -3.8% | +5.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | -6.5% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -2.6% | +12 points |
| Q3 2025 | -4.5% | +74 points |
| Q2 2025 | -9.1% | +23 points |
| Q1 2025 | -11% | +27 points |
| Q4 2024 | -14% | +9 points |
| Q3 2024 | -78% | -39 points |
API has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS has the edge over API on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
API Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$8.1M | -$3.9M |
| Q1 2026 | -$3.7M | -155% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.7M | +$11.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$12M | +$4.9M |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.1M | +$8M |
| Q1 2025 | $6.7M | +$20.6M |
| Q4 2024 | -$6.5M | -$2.8M |
| Q3 2024 | -$16.9M | -$11.8M |
API has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
API Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.3% | -2.2M shares |
| 1 year | -5.9% | -5.8M shares |
| 3 years | -8.1% | -8.1M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -18M shares |
| Available history | -9.3% | -9.5M shares |
API has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $3.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $13.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $10.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $4.7M |
| Q2 2025 | $10.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.4M |
| Q3 2024 | $3.9M |
API spent $33M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 88% from the year before.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
API Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2020 | -111.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2020 | -114.0x | Net Cash |
API's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
API Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 35.3 | Neutral |
API's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
API PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | API | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 36x | 28x | 28% above |
| PE % | 2 | 36 | 34 pts below |
API is trading at 36x earnings, a 28% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
API Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $4.23 | 3.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.19 | 2.4% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.13 | 1% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.08 | 0.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $3.54 | 16% above |
API has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.
API Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $50.5 | $42.4 | -16% |
| 2021 | $42.4 | $16.7 | -61% |
| 2022 | $16.7 | $4.02 | -76% |
| 2023 | $4.02 | $2.63 | -35% |
| 2024 | $2.63 | $4.40 | +67% |
| 2025 | $4.40 | $3.93 | -11% |
| 2026 YTD | $3.93 | $4.09 | +4.1% |
API has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.