APG

APi Group Corporation

61
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

APG has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

APG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure

APG's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

APG PE Valuation

APG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

APG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for APG, with profitability improving.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

APG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$53.35
Downside-17%$35.98

Calculated from the latest close: $43.48 on Nov 12.

APG trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than APG, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

APG Earnings Per Share

Forward: $1.97
Forward: $1.97

APG has the edge over RKLB in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

APG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $2.3BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $2.3BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+22%
Q2 2026$2.3B+13%
Q1 2026$2B+15%
Q4 2025$2.1B+14%
Q3 2025$2.1B+14%
Q2 2025$2B+15%
Q1 2025$1.7B+7.4%
Q4 2024$1.9B+5.8%

APG's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $2.6B last quarter, up 22% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over APG on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

APG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $275MQ1 2024: −$15MQ2 2024: $88MQ3 2024: $198MQ4 2024: $265MQ1 2025: $50MQ2 2025: $56MQ3 2025: $201MQ4 2025: $356MQ1 2026: $67MQ2 2026: $52MQ3 2026: $198M
Q4 2023: $275MQ1 2024: −$15MQ2 2024: $88MQ3 2024: $198MQ4 2024: $265MQ1 2025: $50MQ2 2025: $56MQ3 2025: $201MQ4 2025: $356MQ1 2026: $67MQ2 2026: $52MQ3 2026: $198M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$198M-1.5%
Q2 2026$52M-7.1%
Q1 2026$67M+34%
Q4 2025$356M+34%
Q3 2025$201M+1.5%
Q2 2025$56M-36%
Q1 2025$50M+$65M
Q4 2024$265M-3.6%

APG has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

APG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 353MQ1 2024: 375MQ2 2024: 414MQ3 2024: 414MQ4 2024: 402MQ1 2025: 417MQ2 2025: 428MQ3 2025: 429MQ4 2025: 416MQ1 2026: 435MQ2 2026: 437MQ3 2026: 432M
Q4 2023: 353MQ1 2024: 375MQ2 2024: 414MQ3 2024: 414MQ4 2024: 402MQ1 2025: 417MQ2 2025: 428MQ3 2025: 429MQ4 2025: 416MQ1 2026: 435MQ2 2026: 437MQ3 2026: 432M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-5.1M shares
1 year+0.6%+2.4M shares
3 years+6.6%+26.8M shares
5 years+37%+118M shares
Available history+225%+299M shares

APG has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

APG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 3.6xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 2.9xQ1 2025: 2.9xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 2.7xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 2.3xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 3.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 3.6xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 2.9xQ1 2025: 2.9xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 2.7xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 2.3xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 3.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.2xElevated
Q2 20262.8xModerate
Q1 20262.3xModerate
Q4 20252.1xModerate
Q3 20252.7xModerate
Q2 20252.9xModerate
Q1 20252.9xModerate
Q4 20242.9xModerate

APG's net debt is about 3.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.7 years a year ago.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

APG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.1Neutral
Stochastic68.5Neutral

APG's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

APG PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricAPGSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

APG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

APG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$40.96.2% above
20 week MA$40.67.1% above
50 week MA$41.64.5% above
100 week MA$36.121% above
200 week MA$28.354% above

APG has the edge over RKLB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.

APG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$6.60$12.0+81%
2021$12.0$16.7+39%
2022$16.7$12.4-26%
2023$12.4$23.1+86%
2024$23.1$24.0+4%
2025$24.0$39.6+65%
2026 YTD$39.6$43.5+9.9%

APG has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

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