APG
APi Group Corporation
APG has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW has a slight edge over APG overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
APG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure |
APG's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
APG PE Valuation
APG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
APG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for APG, with profitability improving.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
APG Earnings Per Share
APG has the edge over RDW in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
APG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.6B | +22% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $2B | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.1B | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.1B | +14% |
| Q2 2025 | $2B | +15% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | +7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.9B | +5.8% |
APG's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $2.6B last quarter, up 22% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.9% | +0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 7.8% | +0.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.8% | +1.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.8% | 0 points |
| Q2 2025 | 7.2% | -0.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4.9% | -1.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.2% | +2 points |
APG has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
APG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $198M | -1.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $52M | -7.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $67M | +34% |
| Q4 2025 | $356M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $201M | +1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $56M | -36% |
| Q1 2025 | $50M | +$65M |
| Q4 2024 | $265M | -3.6% |
APG has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
APG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.2% | -5.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.6% | +2.4M shares |
| 3 years | +6.6% | +26.8M shares |
| 5 years | +37% | +118M shares |
| Available history | +225% | +299M shares |
APG has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $186M |
| Q2 2026 | $66M |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $75M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
APG spent $252M buying back its own shares over the past year, about three times what it spent the year before.
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
APG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.9x | Moderate |
APG's net debt is about 3.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.7 years a year ago.
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
APG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 56.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.5 | Neutral |
APG's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
APG PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | APG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 24x | — |
APG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
APG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $40.9 | 6.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $40.6 | 7.1% above |
| 50 week MA | $41.6 | 4.5% above |
| 100 week MA | $36.1 | 21% above |
| 200 week MA | $28.3 | 54% above |
APG has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
APG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $6.60 | $12.0 | +81% |
| 2021 | $12.0 | $16.7 | +39% |
| 2022 | $16.7 | $12.4 | -26% |
| 2023 | $12.4 | $23.1 | +86% |
| 2024 | $23.1 | $24.0 | +4% |
| 2025 | $24.0 | $39.6 | +65% |
| 2026 YTD | $39.6 | $43.5 | +9.9% |
APG has finished higher in five of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's up 9.9% so far in 2026.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW has the edge over APG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.