AOUT

American Outdoor Brands, Inc.

57
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

AOUT has the edge over RIVN overall on the model score.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AOUT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy
Strong

AOUT's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability is under pressure.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AOUT PE Valuation

AOUT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AOUT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AOUT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AOUT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+48%$28.11
Downside-32%$12.86

Calculated from the latest close: $18.98 on Nov 12.

AOUT trails RIVN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AOUT, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

AOUT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.81Q1 2024: $-0.83Q2 2024: $-0.94Q3 2024: $-0.81Q4 2024: $-0.58Q1 2025: $-0.34Q2 2025: $-0.01Q3 2025: $-0.37Q4 2025: $-0.45Q1 2026: $-0.78Q2 2026: $-0.73Q3 2026: $-0.31Forward: $0.60
Q4 2023: $-0.81Q1 2024: $-0.83Q2 2024: $-0.94Q3 2024: $-0.81Q4 2024: $-0.58Q1 2025: $-0.34Q2 2025: $-0.01Q3 2025: $-0.37Q4 2025: $-0.45Q1 2026: $-0.78Q2 2026: $-0.73Q3 2026: $-0.31Forward: $0.60
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.60—
Q3 2026-$0.31+$0.06
Q2 2026-$0.73-$0.72
Q1 2026-$0.78-$0.44
Q4 2025-$0.45+$0.13
Q3 2025-$0.37+$0.44
Q2 2025-$0.01+$0.93
Q1 2025-$0.34+$0.49
Q4 2024-$0.58+$0.23

AOUT is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.31 per share over the past year, against $6.93 at its worst in early 2020.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN has the edge over AOUT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AOUT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $58MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $46MQ3 2024: $42MQ4 2024: $60MQ1 2025: $59MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $57MQ1 2026: $57MQ2 2026: $47MQ3 2026: $37M
Q4 2023: $58MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $46MQ3 2024: $42MQ4 2024: $60MQ1 2025: $59MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $57MQ1 2026: $57MQ2 2026: $47MQ3 2026: $37M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$37.3M+25%
Q2 2026$47.1M-24%
Q1 2026$56.6M-3.3%
Q4 2025$57.2M-5%
Q3 2025$29.7M-29%
Q2 2025$61.9M+34%
Q1 2025$58.5M+9.5%
Q4 2024$60.2M+4%

AOUT's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $37M last quarter, up 25% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over AOUT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AOUT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$9MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $14MQ3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$8MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: −$14MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $11MQ3 2026: $13M
Q4 2023: −$9MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $14MQ3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$8MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: −$14MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $11MQ3 2026: $13M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$12.9M+$14.9M
Q2 2026$11.4M+58%
Q1 2026$9M+114%
Q4 2025-$14.1M-$6.1M
Q3 2025-$2M+$3.2M
Q2 2025$7.2M-49%
Q1 2025$4.2M-57%
Q4 2024-$8M+$763K

AOUT has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

AOUT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 13MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
Q4 2023: 13MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-37K shares
1 year-1.3%-169K shares
3 years-4.9%-640K shares
5 years-12%-1.8M shares
Available history-9.6%-1.3M shares

AOUT has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

AOUT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.7xQ1 2024: -3.3xQ2 2024: -8.2xQ3 2024: -5.3xQ4 2024: -2.1xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -1.8xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -3.1xQ2 2026: -6.2xQ3 2026: -4.5x
Q4 2023: -1.7xQ1 2024: -3.3xQ2 2024: -8.2xQ3 2024: -5.3xQ4 2024: -2.1xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -1.8xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -3.1xQ2 2026: -6.2xQ3 2026: -4.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.1xNet Cash

AOUT has more cash than debt.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AOUT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic89.4Overbought

AOUT's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 89 (overbought).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

AOUT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAOUTSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

AOUT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AOUT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$17.58.3% above
20 week MA$15.026% above
50 week MA$11.565% above
100 week MA$11.467% above
200 week MA$10.286% above

AOUT has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

AOUT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$15.5$17.5+13%
2021$17.5$19.0+8.6%
2022$19.0$9.67-49%
2023$9.67$8.40-13%
2024$8.40$14.9+78%
2025$14.9$8.28-45%
2026 YTD$8.28$19.0+129%

AOUT has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

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