AOUT
American Outdoor Brands, Inc.
AOUT has a slight edge over NIO overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.
NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AOUT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
AOUT's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability is under pressure.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
AOUT PE Valuation
AOUT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AOUT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AOUT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
AOUT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.60 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.31 | +$0.06 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.73 | -$0.72 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.78 | -$0.44 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.45 | +$0.13 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.37 | +$0.44 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.01 | +$0.93 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.34 | +$0.49 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.58 | +$0.23 |
AOUT is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.31 per share over the past year, against $6.93 at its worst in early 2020.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO has the edge over AOUT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AOUT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $37.3M | +25% |
| Q2 2026 | $47.1M | -24% |
| Q1 2026 | $56.6M | -3.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $57.2M | -5% |
| Q3 2025 | $29.7M | -29% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.9M | +34% |
| Q1 2025 | $58.5M | +9.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $60.2M | +4% |
AOUT's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $37M last quarter, up 25% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -5.7% | +17 points |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | -6.9% | -7.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.7% | -1.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | -23% | -17 points |
| Q2 2025 | -1.5% | +10 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5% | +5.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 5.1% | +5.1 points |
AOUT's operating margin was −5.7% last quarter, up 17 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO has the edge over AOUT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO has the edge over AOUT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AOUT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $12.9M | +$14.9M |
| Q2 2026 | $11.4M | +58% |
| Q1 2026 | $9M | +114% |
| Q4 2025 | -$14.1M | -$6.1M |
| Q3 2025 | -$2M | +$3.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $7.2M | -49% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.2M | -57% |
| Q4 2024 | -$8M | +$763K |
AOUT has the edge over NIO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
AOUT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -37K shares |
| 1 year | -1.3% | -169K shares |
| 3 years | -4.9% | -640K shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -1.8M shares |
| Available history | -9.6% | -1.3M shares |
AOUT has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $508,000 |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $662,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $2.5M |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $1M |
AOUT spent $3M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 57% from the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
AOUT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -4.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -6.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
AOUT has more cash than debt.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
AOUT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 89.4 | Overbought |
AOUT's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 89 (overbought).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
AOUT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | AOUT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
AOUT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AOUT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $17.5 | 8.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $15.0 | 26% above |
| 50 week MA | $11.5 | 65% above |
| 100 week MA | $11.4 | 67% above |
| 200 week MA | $10.2 | 86% above |
AOUT has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
AOUT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $15.5 | $17.5 | +13% |
| 2021 | $17.5 | $19.0 | +8.6% |
| 2022 | $19.0 | $9.67 | -49% |
| 2023 | $9.67 | $8.40 | -13% |
| 2024 | $8.40 | $14.9 | +78% |
| 2025 | $14.9 | $8.28 | -45% |
| 2026 YTD | $8.28 | $19.0 | +129% |
AOUT has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.