AOUT

American Outdoor Brands, Inc.

57
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

AOUT has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AOUT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy
Strong

AOUT's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability is under pressure.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

AOUT PE Valuation

AOUT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AOUT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

AOUT has the edge over F on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AOUT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+48%$28.11
Downside-32%$12.86

Calculated from the latest close: $18.98 on Nov 12.

AOUT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than F, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F trails AOUT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AOUT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.81Q1 2024: $-0.83Q2 2024: $-0.94Q3 2024: $-0.81Q4 2024: $-0.58Q1 2025: $-0.34Q2 2025: $-0.01Q3 2025: $-0.37Q4 2025: $-0.45Q1 2026: $-0.78Q2 2026: $-0.73Q3 2026: $-0.31Forward: $0.60
Q4 2023: $-0.81Q1 2024: $-0.83Q2 2024: $-0.94Q3 2024: $-0.81Q4 2024: $-0.58Q1 2025: $-0.34Q2 2025: $-0.01Q3 2025: $-0.37Q4 2025: $-0.45Q1 2026: $-0.78Q2 2026: $-0.73Q3 2026: $-0.31Forward: $0.60
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.60—
Q3 2026-$0.31+$0.06
Q2 2026-$0.73-$0.72
Q1 2026-$0.78-$0.44
Q4 2025-$0.45+$0.13
Q3 2025-$0.37+$0.44
Q2 2025-$0.01+$0.93
Q1 2025-$0.34+$0.49
Q4 2024-$0.58+$0.23

AOUT has the edge over F on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

AOUT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $58MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $46MQ3 2024: $42MQ4 2024: $60MQ1 2025: $59MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $57MQ1 2026: $57MQ2 2026: $47MQ3 2026: $37M
Q4 2023: $58MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $46MQ3 2024: $42MQ4 2024: $60MQ1 2025: $59MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $57MQ1 2026: $57MQ2 2026: $47MQ3 2026: $37M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$37.3M+25%
Q2 2026$47.1M-24%
Q1 2026$56.6M-3.3%
Q4 2025$57.2M-5%
Q3 2025$29.7M-29%
Q2 2025$61.9M+34%
Q1 2025$58.5M+9.5%
Q4 2024$60.2M+4%

AOUT's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $37M last quarter, up 25% from the same quarter a year ago.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F has the edge over AOUT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AOUT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$9MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $14MQ3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$8MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: −$14MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $11MQ3 2026: $13M
Q4 2023: −$9MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $14MQ3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$8MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: −$14MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $11MQ3 2026: $13M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$12.9M+$14.9M
Q2 2026$11.4M+58%
Q1 2026$9M+114%
Q4 2025-$14.1M-$6.1M
Q3 2025-$2M+$3.2M
Q2 2025$7.2M-49%
Q1 2025$4.2M-57%
Q4 2024-$8M+$763K

AOUT still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2023 peak: $19M over the past year.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.

AOUT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 13MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
Q4 2023: 13MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-37K shares
1 year-1.3%-169K shares
3 years-4.9%-640K shares
5 years-12%-1.8M shares
Available history-9.6%-1.3M shares

AOUT has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

AOUT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.7xQ1 2024: -3.3xQ2 2024: -8.2xQ3 2024: -5.3xQ4 2024: -2.1xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -1.8xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -3.1xQ2 2026: -6.2xQ3 2026: -4.5x
Q4 2023: -1.7xQ1 2024: -3.3xQ2 2024: -8.2xQ3 2024: -5.3xQ4 2024: -2.1xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -1.8xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -3.1xQ2 2026: -6.2xQ3 2026: -4.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.1xNet Cash

AOUT has the edge over F on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has more cash than debt.

AOUT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic89.4Overbought

AOUT's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 89 (overbought).

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

AOUT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAOUTSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

AOUT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AOUT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$17.58.3% above
20 week MA$15.026% above
50 week MA$11.565% above
100 week MA$11.467% above
200 week MA$10.286% above

AOUT has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

AOUT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$15.5$17.5+13%
2021$17.5$19.0+8.6%
2022$19.0$9.67-49%
2023$9.67$8.40-13%
2024$8.40$14.9+78%
2025$14.9$8.28-45%
2026 YTD$8.28$19.0+129%

AOUT has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

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