AOUT
American Outdoor Brands, Inc.
AOUT has a slight edge over EBAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
EBAY
eBay Inc.
EBAY has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AOUT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
AOUT's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability is under pressure.
EBAY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
AOUT PE Valuation
AOUT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
EBAY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.9x | $31.50 | -74% |
| Fair | 16x | $71.96 | -40% |
| Forward | 18x | $120 | — |
| Expensive | 22x | $99.04 | -18% |
| Current | 26x | $120 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
AOUT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
AOUT has the edge over EBAY on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
EBAY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.
AOUT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.60 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.31 | +$0.06 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.73 | -$0.72 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.78 | -$0.44 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.45 | +$0.13 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.37 | +$0.44 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.01 | +$0.93 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.34 | +$0.49 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.58 | +$0.23 |
AOUT is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.31 per share over the past year, against $6.93 at its worst in early 2020.
EBAY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.63 | +45% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.57 | +0.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.82 | +7.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.40 | +6% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.34 | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.55 | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.49 | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.15 | -17% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.94 | -24% |
EBAY has the edge over AOUT on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
AOUT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $37.3M | +25% |
| Q2 2026 | $47.1M | -24% |
| Q1 2026 | $56.6M | -3.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $57.2M | -5% |
| Q3 2025 | $29.7M | -29% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.9M | +34% |
| Q1 2025 | $58.5M | +9.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $60.2M | +4% |
AOUT's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $37M last quarter, up 25% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -5.7% | +17 points |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | -6.9% | -7.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.7% | -1.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | -23% | -17 points |
| Q2 2025 | -1.5% | +10 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5% | +5.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 5.1% | +5.1 points |
AOUT's operating margin was −5.7% last quarter, up 17 points from the same quarter a year ago.
EBAY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.2B | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.1B | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.1B | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.6B | +1.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.6B | +0.7% |
EBAY has the edge over AOUT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +3.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 20% | -4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 20% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +5.1 points |
EBAY has the edge over AOUT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AOUT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $12.9M | +$14.9M |
| Q2 2026 | $11.4M | +58% |
| Q1 2026 | $9M | +114% |
| Q4 2025 | -$14.1M | -$6.1M |
| Q3 2025 | -$2M | +$3.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $7.2M | -49% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.2M | -57% |
| Q4 2024 | -$8M | +$763K |
AOUT still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2023 peak: $19M over the past year.
EBAY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $749M | -6.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $300M | +$741M |
| Q1 2026 | $897M | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $466M | -17% |
| Q3 2025 | $803M | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | -$441M | -259% |
| Q1 2025 | $644M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $560M | +$564M |
EBAY generated $2.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 54% from the year before.
AOUT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -37K shares |
| 1 year | -1.3% | -169K shares |
| 3 years | -4.9% | -640K shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -1.8M shares |
| Available history | -9.6% | -1.3M shares |
AOUT has 13M diluted shares, down 1.3% from a year ago, with $3M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $508,000 |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $662,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $2.5M |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $1M |
AOUT spent $3M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 57% from the year before.
EBAY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -2M shares |
| 1 year | -3% | -14M shares |
| 3 years | -15% | -79M shares |
| 5 years | -31% | -205M shares |
| Available history | -44% | -359M shares |
EBAY has the edge over AOUT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $664M |
| Q2 2026 | $323M |
| Q1 2026 | $486M |
| Q4 2025 | $635M |
| Q3 2025 | $626M |
| Q2 2025 | $624M |
| Q1 2025 | $615M |
| Q4 2024 | $911M |
EBAY spent $2.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 24% from the year before.
AOUT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -4.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -6.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
AOUT has the edge over EBAY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
EBAY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.9x | Healthy |
EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.
AOUT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 89.4 | Overbought |
AOUT's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 89 (overbought).
EBAY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 61.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 80.0 | Overbought |
EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).
AOUT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | AOUT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
AOUT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | EBAY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26x | 18x | 46% above |
| PE % | 91 | 47 | 44 pts above |
EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
AOUT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $17.5 | 8.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $15.0 | 26% above |
| 50 week MA | $11.5 | 65% above |
| 100 week MA | $11.4 | 67% above |
| 200 week MA | $10.2 | 86% above |
AOUT is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 86% above its 200-week average.
EBAY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $116.5 | 3.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $112.4 | 6.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $102.6 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $89.8 | 34% above |
| 200 week MA | $69.5 | 73% above |
EBAY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 73% above its 200-week average.
AOUT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $15.5 | $17.5 | +13% |
| 2021 | $17.5 | $19.0 | +8.6% |
| 2022 | $19.0 | $9.67 | -49% |
| 2023 | $9.67 | $8.40 | -13% |
| 2024 | $8.40 | $14.9 | +78% |
| 2025 | $14.9 | $8.28 | -45% |
| 2026 YTD | $8.28 | $19.0 | +129% |
AOUT has the edge over EBAY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
EBAY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $36.1 | $50.1 | +39% |
| 2021 | $50.1 | $64.9 | +29% |
| 2022 | $64.9 | $40.2 | -38% |
| 2023 | $40.2 | $43.6 | +8.6% |
| 2024 | $43.6 | $62.8 | +44% |
| 2025 | $62.8 | $85.2 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $85.2 | $120.1 | +41% |
EBAY has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 41% so far in 2026.