AOSL

Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited

52
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

AOSL's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over AOSL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

AOSL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Strong

AOSL's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AOSL PE Valuation

AOSL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

AOSL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

AOSL has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

AOSL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+61%$49.15
Downside-38%$19.02

Calculated from the latest close: $30.53 on Nov 12.

AOSL trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AOSL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AOSL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.58Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.39Q3 2024: $-0.67Q4 2024: $-0.80Q1 2025: $-0.78Q2 2025: $-3.30Q3 2025: $-3.28Q4 2025: $-3.50Q1 2026: $-3.59Q2 2026: $-1.41Q3 2026: $-1.54
Q4 2023: $-0.58Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.39Q3 2024: $-0.67Q4 2024: $-0.80Q1 2025: $-0.78Q2 2025: $-3.30Q3 2025: $-3.28Q4 2025: $-3.50Q1 2026: $-3.59Q2 2026: $-1.41Q3 2026: $-1.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.54+$1.74
Q2 2026-$1.41+$1.89
Q1 2026-$3.59-$2.81
Q4 2025-$3.50-$2.70
Q3 2025-$3.28-$2.61
Q2 2025-$3.30-$2.91
Q1 2025-$0.78-$0.49
Q4 2024-$0.80-$0.22

AOSL lost $1.54 per share over the past year, a smaller loss than the year before.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over AOSL on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AOSL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $165MQ1 2024: $150MQ2 2024: $161MQ3 2024: $182MQ4 2024: $173MQ1 2025: $165MQ2 2025: $176MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $162MQ1 2026: $164MQ2 2026: $170MQ3 2026: $178M
Q4 2023: $165MQ1 2024: $150MQ2 2024: $161MQ3 2024: $182MQ4 2024: $173MQ1 2025: $165MQ2 2025: $176MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $162MQ1 2026: $164MQ2 2026: $170MQ3 2026: $178M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$177.8M-2.6%
Q2 2026$170.4M-3.5%
Q1 2026$163.8M-0.5%
Q4 2025$162.3M-6.3%
Q3 2025$182.5M+0.3%
Q2 2025$176.5M+9.4%
Q1 2025$164.6M+9.7%
Q4 2024$173.2M+4.8%

AOSL's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $178M last quarter, down 2.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over AOSL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AOSL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$33MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: −$210,000Q3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $7MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: −$17MQ3 2025: $420,000Q4 2025: −$23MQ1 2026: −$20MQ2 2026: −$25MQ3 2026: −$4M
Q4 2023: −$33MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: −$210,000Q3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $7MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: −$17MQ3 2025: $420,000Q4 2025: −$23MQ1 2026: −$20MQ2 2026: −$25MQ3 2026: −$4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.6M-955%
Q2 2026-$24.9M-$7.8M
Q1 2026-$20.5M-$19.4M
Q4 2025-$23.1M-450%
Q3 2025$420K-90%
Q2 2025-$17.2M-$17M
Q1 2025-$1.1M-105%
Q4 2024$6.6M+$39.6M

AOSL has burned cash in six of the last eight quarters: −$72M over the past year, against −$11M the year before.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT has the edge over AOSL on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AOSL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 28MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 29MQ4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 30MQ2 2025: 29MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 30MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 30M
Q4 2023: 28MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 29MQ4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 30MQ2 2025: 29MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 30MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 30M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.1%+335K shares
1 year+0.8%+250K shares
3 years+1.7%+500K shares
5 years+9.6%+2.6M shares
Available history+23%+5.6M shares

AOSL has 30M diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over AOSL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AOSL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.6xQ1 2024: -2.6xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.4xQ4 2024: -4.0xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -3.7xQ3 2025: -7.4xQ4 2025: -8.8xQ1 2026: -12.9xQ2 2026: -12.6xQ3 2026: -17.4x
Q4 2023: -2.6xQ1 2024: -2.6xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.4xQ4 2024: -4.0xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -3.7xQ3 2025: -7.4xQ4 2025: -8.8xQ1 2026: -12.9xQ2 2026: -12.6xQ3 2026: -17.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-17.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-12.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-12.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-8.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-7.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.0xNet Cash

AOSL has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

AOSL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.6Neutral
Stochastic35.8Neutral

AOSL's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 36 (neutral).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

AOSL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAOSLSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

AOSL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AOSL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$25.918% above
20 week MA$28.57.2% above
50 week MA$28.95.6% above
100 week MA$28.28.2% above
200 week MA$28.95.6% above

AOSL has the edge over MSFT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.

AOSL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.7$23.4+72%
2021$23.4$55.3+136%
2022$55.3$28.7-48%
2023$28.7$26.1-9.3%
2024$26.1$38.4+47%
2025$38.4$20.1-47%
2026 YTD$20.1$30.5+52%

AOSL has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

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