AOSL

Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited

52
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

AOSL has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AOSL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Strong

AOSL's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AOSL PE Valuation

AOSL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AOSL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AOSL's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AOSL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+61%$49.15
Downside-38%$19.02

Calculated from the latest close: $30.53 on Nov 12.

AOSL trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AOSL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AOSL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.58Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.39Q3 2024: $-0.67Q4 2024: $-0.80Q1 2025: $-0.78Q2 2025: $-3.30Q3 2025: $-3.28Q4 2025: $-3.50Q1 2026: $-3.59Q2 2026: $-1.41Q3 2026: $-1.54
Q4 2023: $-0.58Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.39Q3 2024: $-0.67Q4 2024: $-0.80Q1 2025: $-0.78Q2 2025: $-3.30Q3 2025: $-3.28Q4 2025: $-3.50Q1 2026: $-3.59Q2 2026: $-1.41Q3 2026: $-1.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.54+$1.74
Q2 2026-$1.41+$1.89
Q1 2026-$3.59-$2.81
Q4 2025-$3.50-$2.70
Q3 2025-$3.28-$2.61
Q2 2025-$3.30-$2.91
Q1 2025-$0.78-$0.49
Q4 2024-$0.80-$0.22

AOSL lost $1.54 per share over the past year, a smaller loss than the year before.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS has the edge over AOSL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AOSL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $165MQ1 2024: $150MQ2 2024: $161MQ3 2024: $182MQ4 2024: $173MQ1 2025: $165MQ2 2025: $176MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $162MQ1 2026: $164MQ2 2026: $170MQ3 2026: $178M
Q4 2023: $165MQ1 2024: $150MQ2 2024: $161MQ3 2024: $182MQ4 2024: $173MQ1 2025: $165MQ2 2025: $176MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $162MQ1 2026: $164MQ2 2026: $170MQ3 2026: $178M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$177.8M-2.6%
Q2 2026$170.4M-3.5%
Q1 2026$163.8M-0.5%
Q4 2025$162.3M-6.3%
Q3 2025$182.5M+0.3%
Q2 2025$176.5M+9.4%
Q1 2025$164.6M+9.7%
Q4 2024$173.2M+4.8%

AOSL's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $178M last quarter, down 2.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over AOSL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AOSL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$33MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: −$210,000Q3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $7MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: −$17MQ3 2025: $420,000Q4 2025: −$23MQ1 2026: −$20MQ2 2026: −$25MQ3 2026: −$4M
Q4 2023: −$33MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: −$210,000Q3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $7MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: −$17MQ3 2025: $420,000Q4 2025: −$23MQ1 2026: −$20MQ2 2026: −$25MQ3 2026: −$4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.6M-955%
Q2 2026-$24.9M-$7.8M
Q1 2026-$20.5M-$19.4M
Q4 2025-$23.1M-450%
Q3 2025$420K-90%
Q2 2025-$17.2M-$17M
Q1 2025-$1.1M-105%
Q4 2024$6.6M+$39.6M

AOSL has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

AOSL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 28MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 29MQ4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 30MQ2 2025: 29MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 30MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 30M
Q4 2023: 28MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 29MQ4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 30MQ2 2025: 29MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 30MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 30M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.1%+335K shares
1 year+0.8%+250K shares
3 years+1.7%+500K shares
5 years+9.6%+2.6M shares
Available history+23%+5.6M shares

AOSL has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

AOSL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.6xQ1 2024: -2.6xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.4xQ4 2024: -4.0xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -3.7xQ3 2025: -7.4xQ4 2025: -8.8xQ1 2026: -12.9xQ2 2026: -12.6xQ3 2026: -17.4x
Q4 2023: -2.6xQ1 2024: -2.6xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.4xQ4 2024: -4.0xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -3.7xQ3 2025: -7.4xQ4 2025: -8.8xQ1 2026: -12.9xQ2 2026: -12.6xQ3 2026: -17.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-17.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-12.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-12.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-8.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-7.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.0xNet Cash

AOSL has more cash than debt.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AOSL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.6Neutral
Stochastic35.8Neutral

AOSL's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 36 (neutral).

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

AOSL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAOSLSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

AOSL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AOSL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$25.918% above
20 week MA$28.57.2% above
50 week MA$28.95.6% above
100 week MA$28.28.2% above
200 week MA$28.95.6% above

AOSL has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

AOSL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.7$23.4+72%
2021$23.4$55.3+136%
2022$55.3$28.7-48%
2023$28.7$26.1-9.3%
2024$26.1$38.4+47%
2025$38.4$20.1-47%
2026 YTD$20.1$30.5+52%

AOSL has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

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