AOS

A. O. Smith Corporation

59
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential44/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

AOS has a slight edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AOS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

AOS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AOS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x25x37x50x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x25x37x50x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$63.98—
Cheap18x$63.76-0.3%
Current18x$63.98—
Fair21x$75.16+17%
Expensive30x$107+67%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AOS's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 17x.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AOS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Stable
Decline
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect AOS's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RKLB has the edge over AOS on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

AOS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$73.04
Downside-18%$52.36

Calculated from the latest close: $63.98 on Nov 12.

AOS trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AOS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AOS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.69Q1 2024: $3.85Q2 2024: $3.87Q3 2024: $3.79Q4 2024: $3.63Q1 2025: $3.58Q2 2025: $3.59Q3 2025: $3.71Q4 2025: $3.85Q1 2026: $3.75Q2 2026: $3.59Q3 2026: $3.58Forward: $3.73
Q4 2023: $3.69Q1 2024: $3.85Q2 2024: $3.87Q3 2024: $3.79Q4 2024: $3.63Q1 2025: $3.58Q2 2025: $3.59Q3 2025: $3.71Q4 2025: $3.85Q1 2026: $3.75Q2 2026: $3.59Q3 2026: $3.58Forward: $3.73
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.73+4.1%
Q3 2026$3.58-3.5%
Q2 2026$3.590%
Q1 2026$3.75+4.7%
Q4 2025$3.85+6.1%
Q3 2025$3.71-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.59-7.2%
Q1 2025$3.58-7%
Q4 2024$3.63-1.6%

AOS has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

AOS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $988MQ1 2024: $979MQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $903MQ4 2024: $912MQ1 2025: $964MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $943MQ4 2025: $913MQ1 2026: $946MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $941M
Q4 2023: $988MQ1 2024: $979MQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $903MQ4 2024: $912MQ1 2025: $964MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $943MQ4 2025: $913MQ1 2026: $946MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $941M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$940.5M-0.2%
Q2 2026$1B-0.7%
Q1 2026$945.6M-1.9%
Q4 2025$912.5M0%
Q3 2025$942.5M+4.4%
Q2 2025$1B-1.3%
Q1 2025$963.9M-1.5%
Q4 2024$912.4M-7.7%

AOS's revenue grew through 2021 and has held roughly level since: $941M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over AOS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AOS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $201MQ1 2024: $85MQ2 2024: $35MQ3 2024: $163MQ4 2024: $191MQ1 2025: $17MQ2 2025: $123MQ3 2025: $241MQ4 2025: $166MQ1 2026: $119MQ2 2026: $114MQ3 2026: $163M
Q4 2023: $201MQ1 2024: $85MQ2 2024: $35MQ3 2024: $163MQ4 2024: $191MQ1 2025: $17MQ2 2025: $123MQ3 2025: $241MQ4 2025: $166MQ1 2026: $119MQ2 2026: $114MQ3 2026: $163M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$162.9M-32%
Q2 2026$114.4M-6.6%
Q1 2026$118.9M+583%
Q4 2025$165.5M-13%
Q3 2025$240.6M+47%
Q2 2025$122.5M+255%
Q1 2025$17.4M-79%
Q4 2024$191.3M-5%

AOS has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

AOS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 151MQ1 2024: 148MQ2 2024: 148MQ3 2024: 147MQ4 2024: 146MQ1 2025: 144MQ2 2025: 142MQ3 2025: 141MQ4 2025: 142MQ1 2026: 139MQ2 2026: 138MQ3 2026: 136M
Q4 2023: 151MQ1 2024: 148MQ2 2024: 148MQ3 2024: 147MQ4 2024: 146MQ1 2025: 144MQ2 2025: 142MQ3 2025: 141MQ4 2025: 142MQ1 2026: 139MQ2 2026: 138MQ3 2026: 136M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-1.8M shares
1 year-3.4%-4.8M shares
3 years-10%-15.1M shares
5 years-15%-24.5M shares
Available history-18%-30.6M shares

AOS has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

AOS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.6x
Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.6xVery low
Q2 20260.6xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

AOS's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AOS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.0Neutral
Stochastic75.5Neutral

AOS's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 76 (neutral).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

AOS PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricAOSSector medianRelative
PE18x24x26% below
PE %185840 pts below

AOS is trading at 18x earnings, a 26% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AOS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$60.55.7% above
20 week MA$60.65.6% above
50 week MA$64.20.3% below
100 week MA$66.13.2% below
200 week MA$71.09.9% below

AOS has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 9.9% below its 200-week average.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB has the edge over AOS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AOS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$47.8$55.5+16%
2021$55.5$82.8+49%
2022$82.8$56.9-31%
2023$56.9$82.4+45%
2024$82.4$68.4-17%
2025$68.4$67.8-1%
2026 YTD$67.8$64.0-5.6%

AOS has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

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