AOS
A. O. Smith Corporation
AOS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW has a slight edge over AOS overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
AOS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
AOS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
AOS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 17x | $63.98 | — |
| Cheap | 18x | $63.76 | -0.3% |
| Current | 18x | $63.98 | — |
| Fair | 21x | $75.16 | +17% |
| Expensive | 30x | $107 | +67% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AOS's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 17x.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AOS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect AOS's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
RDW has the edge over AOS on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
AOS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.73 | +4.1% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.58 | -3.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.59 | 0% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.75 | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.85 | +6.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.71 | -2.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.59 | -7.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.58 | -7% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.63 | -1.6% |
AOS has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
AOS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $940.5M | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $1B | -0.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $945.6M | -1.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $912.5M | 0% |
| Q3 2025 | $942.5M | +4.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $1B | -1.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $963.9M | -1.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $912.4M | -7.7% |
AOS's revenue grew through 2021 and has held roughly level since: $941M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | -3.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 17% | -2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | +0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 19% | -0.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 20% | -1.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 19% | -2.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 17% | -2.6 points |
AOS has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW has the edge over AOS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AOS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $162.9M | -32% |
| Q2 2026 | $114.4M | -6.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $118.9M | +583% |
| Q4 2025 | $165.5M | -13% |
| Q3 2025 | $240.6M | +47% |
| Q2 2025 | $122.5M | +255% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.4M | -79% |
| Q4 2024 | $191.3M | -5% |
AOS has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
AOS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.3% | -1.8M shares |
| 1 year | -3.4% | -4.8M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -15.1M shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -24.5M shares |
| Available history | -18% | -30.6M shares |
AOS has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $98.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $111.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $51.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $65.4M |
| Q3 2025 | $84.1M |
| Q2 2025 | $130.7M |
| Q1 2025 | $120.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $68.7M |
AOS spent $326M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 19% from the year before.
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
AOS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
AOS's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
AOS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 56.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 75.5 | Neutral |
AOS's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 76 (neutral).
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
AOS PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | AOS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 24x | 26% below |
| PE % | 18 | 58 | 40 pts below |
AOS is trading at 18x earnings, a 26% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AOS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $60.5 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $60.6 | 5.6% above |
| 50 week MA | $64.2 | 0.3% below |
| 100 week MA | $66.1 | 3.2% below |
| 200 week MA | $71.0 | 9.9% below |
AOS has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
AOS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $47.8 | $55.5 | +16% |
| 2021 | $55.5 | $82.8 | +49% |
| 2022 | $82.8 | $56.9 | -31% |
| 2023 | $56.9 | $82.4 | +45% |
| 2024 | $82.4 | $68.4 | -17% |
| 2025 | $68.4 | $67.8 | -1% |
| 2026 YTD | $67.8 | $64.0 | -5.6% |
AOS has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 5.6% so far in 2026.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW has the edge over AOS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.