AOS
A. O. Smith Corporation
AOS has a slight edge over BA overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
BA
The Boeing Company
BA offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
AOS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
AOS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
BA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure |
BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
AOS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 17x | $63.98 | — |
| Cheap | 18x | $63.76 | -0.3% |
| Current | 18x | $63.98 | — |
| Fair | 21x | $75.16 | +17% |
| Expensive | 30x | $107 | +67% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AOS's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 17x.
BA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $172 | — |
| Cheap | 51x | $496 | +189% |
| Fair | 82x | $790 | +360% |
| Expensive | 91x | $876 | +411% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BA has the edge over AOS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
AOS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect AOS's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline.
BA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BA has the edge over AOS on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
AOS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.73 | +4.1% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.58 | -3.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.59 | 0% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.75 | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.85 | +6.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.71 | -2.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.59 | -7.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.58 | -7% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.63 | -1.6% |
AOS earned $3.58 per share over the past year, down 3.5% from the year before.
BA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $9.66 | +$23.38 |
| Q2 2026 | $2.78 | +$19.33 |
| Q1 2026 | $2.53 | +$20.49 |
| Q4 2025 | $2.48 | +$20.84 |
| Q3 2025 | -$13.72 | -$0.83 |
| Q2 2025 | -$16.55 | -$10.93 |
| Q1 2025 | -$17.96 | -$14.42 |
| Q4 2024 | -$18.36 | -$14.69 |
BA has the edge over AOS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AOS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $940.5M | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $1B | -0.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $945.6M | -1.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $912.5M | 0% |
| Q3 2025 | $942.5M | +4.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $1B | -1.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $963.9M | -1.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $912.4M | -7.7% |
AOS's revenue grew through 2021 and has held roughly level since: $941M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | -3.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 17% | -2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | +0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 19% | -0.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 20% | -1.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 19% | -2.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 17% | -2.6 points |
AOS has the edge over BA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.2B | +3.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $24.6B | +8% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.2B | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $23.9B | +57% |
| Q3 2025 | $23.3B | +30% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.7B | +35% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.5B | +18% |
| Q4 2024 | $15.2B | -31% |
BA has the edge over AOS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.5% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | 0.6% | +1.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 2% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | +61 points |
| Q3 2025 | -21% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -0.8% | +5.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.4% | +2.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | -25% | -26 points |
BA's operating margin was 1.5% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AOS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $162.9M | -32% |
| Q2 2026 | $114.4M | -6.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $118.9M | +583% |
| Q4 2025 | $165.5M | -13% |
| Q3 2025 | $240.6M | +47% |
| Q2 2025 | $122.5M | +255% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.4M | -79% |
| Q4 2024 | $191.3M | -5% |
AOS's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $562M over the past year, down 1.8% from the year before.
BA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $464M | +95% |
| Q2 2026 | $631M | +$831M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.5B | +$836M |
| Q4 2025 | $375M | +$4.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $238M | +$2.2B |
| Q2 2025 | -$200M | +$4.1B |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.3B | +$1.6B |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.1B | -239% |
BA has the edge over AOS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AOS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.3% | -1.8M shares |
| 1 year | -3.4% | -4.8M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -15.1M shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -24.5M shares |
| Available history | -18% | -30.6M shares |
AOS has the edge over BA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $98.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $111.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $51.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $65.4M |
| Q3 2025 | $84.1M |
| Q2 2025 | $130.7M |
| Q1 2025 | $120.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $68.7M |
AOS spent $326M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 19% from the year before.
BA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +2.1M shares |
| 1 year | +4.3% | +32.8M shares |
| 3 years | +31% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +35% | +204M shares |
| Available history | +40% | +227M shares |
BA has 793M diluted shares, up 4.3% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2019 | — |
AOS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
AOS has the edge over BA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 5.7x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 6.0x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 6.9x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 361.8x | High |
| Q1 2024 | 36.1x | High |
| Q4 2023 | 36.4x | High |
| Q3 2023 | 96.1x | High |
BA's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.
AOS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 56.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 75.5 | Neutral |
AOS's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 76 (neutral).
BA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 31.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.6 | Oversold |
BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
AOS PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | AOS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 24x | 26% below |
| PE % | 18 | 58 | 40 pts below |
AOS is trading at 18x earnings, a 26% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
BA PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | BA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 24x | 26% below |
| PE % | 0 | 58 | 58 pts below |
BA has the edge over AOS on valuation relative to its sector.
AOS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $60.5 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $60.6 | 5.6% above |
| 50 week MA | $64.2 | 0.3% below |
| 100 week MA | $66.1 | 3.2% below |
| 200 week MA | $71.0 | 9.9% below |
AOS has the edge over BA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $184.6 | 7.1% below |
| 20 week MA | $203.8 | 16% below |
| 50 week MA | $215.5 | 20% below |
| 100 week MA | $205.9 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $200.6 | 14% below |
BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.
AOS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $47.8 | $55.5 | +16% |
| 2021 | $55.5 | $82.8 | +49% |
| 2022 | $82.8 | $56.9 | -31% |
| 2023 | $56.9 | $82.4 | +45% |
| 2024 | $82.4 | $68.4 | -17% |
| 2025 | $68.4 | $67.8 | -1% |
| 2026 YTD | $67.8 | $64.0 | -5.6% |
AOS has the edge over BA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
BA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $330.1 | $217.2 | -34% |
| 2021 | $217.2 | $204.2 | -6% |
| 2022 | $204.2 | $189.1 | -7.4% |
| 2023 | $189.1 | $260.7 | +38% |
| 2024 | $260.7 | $180.7 | -31% |
| 2025 | $180.7 | $216.4 | +20% |
| 2026 YTD | $216.4 | $171.6 | -21% |
BA has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.