AORT

Artivion, Inc.

46
Fundamentals45/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

AORT's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over AORT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

AORT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Weak

AORT's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AORT PE Valuation

AORT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

AORT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AORT, with profitability holding steady.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over AORT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

AORT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$26.98
Downside-28%$14.02

Calculated from the latest close: $19.40 on Nov 12.

AORT trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AORT, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

AORT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.75Q1 2024: $-0.24Q2 2024: $-0.21Q3 2024: $-0.02Q4 2024: $-0.32Q1 2025: $-0.51Q2 2025: $-0.43Q3 2025: $-0.25Q4 2025: $0.21Q1 2026: $0.25Q2 2026: $-0.06Q3 2026: $-0.35Forward: $0.05
Q4 2023: $-0.75Q1 2024: $-0.24Q2 2024: $-0.21Q3 2024: $-0.02Q4 2024: $-0.32Q1 2025: $-0.51Q2 2025: $-0.43Q3 2025: $-0.25Q4 2025: $0.21Q1 2026: $0.25Q2 2026: $-0.06Q3 2026: $-0.35Forward: $0.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.05—
Q3 2026-$0.35-$0.10
Q2 2026-$0.06+$0.37
Q1 2026$0.25+$0.76
Q4 2025$0.21+$0.53
Q3 2025-$0.25-$0.23
Q2 2025-$0.43-$0.22
Q1 2025-$0.51-$0.27
Q4 2024-$0.32+$0.43

AORT is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.35 per share over the past year, against $1.03 at its worst in late 2022.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over AORT on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AORT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94MQ1 2024: $97MQ2 2024: $98MQ3 2024: $96MQ4 2024: $97MQ1 2025: $99MQ2 2025: $113MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $116MQ1 2026: $116MQ2 2026: $126MQ3 2026: $124M
Q4 2023: $94MQ1 2024: $97MQ2 2024: $98MQ3 2024: $96MQ4 2024: $97MQ1 2025: $99MQ2 2025: $113MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $116MQ1 2026: $116MQ2 2026: $126MQ3 2026: $124M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$123.8M+9.2%
Q2 2026$125.8M+11%
Q1 2026$116.3M+18%
Q4 2025$116M+19%
Q3 2025$113.4M+18%
Q2 2025$113M+15%
Q1 2025$99M+1.6%
Q4 2024$97.3M+3.9%

AORT's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $124M last quarter, up 9.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over AORT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AORT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: −$9MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: −$21MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: −$8MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: −$12MQ3 2026: −$18M
Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: −$9MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: −$21MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: −$8MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: −$12MQ3 2026: −$18M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$17.6M-200%
Q2 2026-$12M-202%
Q1 2026-$6.8M+$13.7M
Q4 2025-$7.9M-191%
Q3 2025$17.7M+126%
Q2 2025$11.7M+224%
Q1 2025-$20.6M-$11.5M
Q4 2024$8.7M-2.2%

AORT's free cash flow was −$44M over the past year, against $18M the year before.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over AORT on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AORT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 48MQ2 2024: 42MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 45MQ3 2025: 49MQ4 2025: 47MQ1 2026: 50MQ2 2026: 49MQ3 2026: 49M
Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 48MQ2 2024: 42MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 45MQ3 2025: 49MQ4 2025: 47MQ1 2026: 50MQ2 2026: 49MQ3 2026: 49M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+177K shares
1 year-0.1%-57K shares
3 years+19%+7.8M shares
5 years+9.6%+4.3M shares
Available history+29%+10.9M shares

AORT has 49M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over AORT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AORT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 8.6xQ1 2024: 4.5xQ2 2024: 4.5xQ3 2024: 4.1xQ4 2024: 4.1xQ1 2025: 7.0xQ2 2025: 4.0xQ3 2025: 2.9xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 6.3xQ3 2026: 8.5x
Q4 2023: 8.6xQ1 2024: 4.5xQ2 2024: 4.5xQ3 2024: 4.1xQ4 2024: 4.1xQ1 2025: 7.0xQ2 2025: 4.0xQ3 2025: 2.9xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 6.3xQ3 2026: 8.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20268.5xHigh
Q2 20266.3xHigh
Q1 20262.6xModerate
Q4 20252.7xModerate
Q3 20252.9xModerate
Q2 20254.0xElevated
Q1 20257.0xHigh
Q4 20244.1xHigh

AORT's net debt is about 8.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.9 years a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY has the edge over AORT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AORT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.0Neutral
Stochastic10.1Oversold

AORT's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

AORT PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricAORTSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

AORT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

AORT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$21.711% below
20 week MA$24.220% below
50 week MA$30.837% below
100 week MA$32.039% below
200 week MA$25.724% below

AORT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 24% below its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over AORT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AORT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$26.7$23.5-12%
2021$23.5$20.4-14%
2022$20.4$11.8-42%
2023$11.8$17.9+51%
2024$17.9$29.0+62%
2025$29.0$46.3+60%
2026 YTD$46.3$19.4-58%

AORT has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 58% so far in 2026.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over AORT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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