AON

Aon plc

50
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

AON offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has the edge over AON overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

AON Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

AON's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AON.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

AON PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x42x63x84x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x42x63x84x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$333—
Current18x$333—
Cheap23x$423+27%
Fair27x$500+50%
Expensive34x$616+85%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AON has the edge over JPM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.

AON Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Strongly weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AON, but weaker profitability.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

JPM has the edge over AON on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

AON Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$402.26
Downside-16%$280.23

Calculated from the latest close: $333.42 on Nov 12.

AON trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AON, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AON Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $12.51Q1 2024: $12.79Q2 2024: $12.54Q3 2024: $11.88Q4 2024: $12.49Q1 2025: $11.57Q2 2025: $11.77Q3 2025: $12.31Q4 2025: $17.02Q1 2026: $18.22Q2 2026: $18.14Q3 2026: $18.26Forward: $19.21
Q4 2023: $12.51Q1 2024: $12.79Q2 2024: $12.54Q3 2024: $11.88Q4 2024: $12.49Q1 2025: $11.57Q2 2025: $11.77Q3 2025: $12.31Q4 2025: $17.02Q1 2026: $18.22Q2 2026: $18.14Q3 2026: $18.26Forward: $19.21
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$19.21+5.2%
Q3 2026$18.26+48%
Q2 2026$18.14+54%
Q1 2026$18.22+57%
Q4 2025$17.02+36%
Q3 2025$12.31+3.6%
Q2 2025$11.77-6.1%
Q1 2025$11.57-9.5%
Q4 2024$12.49-0.2%

AON earned $18.26 per share over the past year, up 48% from the year before. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $23.85 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.

AON Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.4BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $3.8BQ3 2024: $3.7BQ4 2024: $4.1BQ1 2025: $4.7BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $4.3BQ1 2026: $5BQ2 2026: $4.2BQ3 2026: $4.1B
Q4 2023: $3.4BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $3.8BQ3 2024: $3.7BQ4 2024: $4.1BQ1 2025: $4.7BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $4.3BQ1 2026: $5BQ2 2026: $4.2BQ3 2026: $4.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.1B+2.6%
Q2 2026$4.2B+2.2%
Q1 2026$5B+6.4%
Q4 2025$4.3B+3.7%
Q3 2025$4B+7.4%
Q2 2025$4.2B+11%
Q1 2025$4.7B+16%
Q4 2024$4.1B+23%

AON's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $4.1B last quarter, up 2.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

AON Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $261MQ2 2024: $460MQ3 2024: $951MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $84MQ2 2025: $732MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $363MQ2 2026: $483MQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $261MQ2 2024: $460MQ3 2024: $951MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $84MQ2 2025: $732MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $363MQ2 2026: $483MQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+1.7%
Q2 2026$483M-34%
Q1 2026$363M+332%
Q4 2025$1.3B+16%
Q3 2025$1.1B+13%
Q2 2025$732M+59%
Q1 2025$84M-68%
Q4 2024$1.1B-5.5%

AON has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

AON Total Shares

Q4 2023: 205MQ1 2024: 200MQ2 2024: 213MQ3 2024: 218MQ4 2024: 213MQ1 2025: 218MQ2 2025: 217MQ3 2025: 217MQ4 2025: 217MQ1 2026: 215MQ2 2026: 214MQ3 2026: 213M
Q4 2023: 205MQ1 2024: 200MQ2 2024: 213MQ3 2024: 218MQ4 2024: 213MQ1 2025: 218MQ2 2025: 217MQ3 2025: 217MQ4 2025: 217MQ1 2026: 215MQ2 2026: 214MQ3 2026: 213M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-900K shares
1 year-1.7%-3.7M shares
3 years+4.1%+8.4M shares
5 years-5.5%-12.4M shares
Available history-11%-27.6M shares

AON has 213M diluted shares, down 1.7% from a year ago, with $1.4B in buybacks over the past year.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over AON on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AON Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 3.9xQ2 2024: 4.4xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.0xQ1 2025: 4.2xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 3.6xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 2.9xQ3 2026: 5.4x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 3.9xQ2 2024: 4.4xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.0xQ1 2025: 4.2xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 3.6xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 2.9xQ3 2026: 5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.4xHigh
Q2 20262.9xModerate
Q1 20262.8xModerate
Q4 20253.1xElevated
Q3 20253.6xElevated
Q2 20253.9xElevated
Q1 20254.2xHigh
Q4 20244.0xElevated

AON's net debt is about 5.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.6 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like AON.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM has the edge over AON on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AON Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.2Neutral
Stochastic62.2Neutral

AON's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

AON PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricAONSector medianRelative
PE18x13x40% above
PE %56358 pts below

AON is trading at 18x earnings, a 40% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM has the edge over AON on valuation relative to its sector.

AON Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$300.911% above
20 week MA$327.81.7% above
50 week MA$329.91.1% above
100 week MA$347.44% below
200 week MA$335.20.5% below

AON has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 0.5% below its 200-week average.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM has the edge over AON on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AON Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$207.5$210.6+1.5%
2021$210.6$292.4+39%
2022$292.4$300.6+2.8%
2023$300.6$291.0-3.2%
2024$291.0$360.4+24%
2025$360.4$356.7-1%
2026 YTD$356.7$333.4-6.5%

AON has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 6.5% so far in 2026.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has the edge over AON on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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