AON

Aon plc

50
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

AON trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over AON overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

AON Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

AON's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AON.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

AON PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x42x63x84x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x42x63x84x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$333—
Current18x$333—
Cheap23x$423+27%
Fair27x$500+50%
Expensive34x$616+85%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AON has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

AON Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Strongly weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AON, but weaker profitability.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

GS has the edge over AON on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

AON Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$402.26
Downside-16%$280.23

Calculated from the latest close: $333.42 on Nov 12.

AON trails GS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AON, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AON Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $12.51Q1 2024: $12.79Q2 2024: $12.54Q3 2024: $11.88Q4 2024: $12.49Q1 2025: $11.57Q2 2025: $11.77Q3 2025: $12.31Q4 2025: $17.02Q1 2026: $18.22Q2 2026: $18.14Q3 2026: $18.26Forward: $19.21
Q4 2023: $12.51Q1 2024: $12.79Q2 2024: $12.54Q3 2024: $11.88Q4 2024: $12.49Q1 2025: $11.57Q2 2025: $11.77Q3 2025: $12.31Q4 2025: $17.02Q1 2026: $18.22Q2 2026: $18.14Q3 2026: $18.26Forward: $19.21
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$19.21+5.2%
Q3 2026$18.26+48%
Q2 2026$18.14+54%
Q1 2026$18.22+57%
Q4 2025$17.02+36%
Q3 2025$12.31+3.6%
Q2 2025$11.77-6.1%
Q1 2025$11.57-9.5%
Q4 2024$12.49-0.2%

AON earned $18.26 per share over the past year, up 48% from the year before. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over AON on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AON Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.4BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $3.8BQ3 2024: $3.7BQ4 2024: $4.1BQ1 2025: $4.7BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $4.3BQ1 2026: $5BQ2 2026: $4.2BQ3 2026: $4.1B
Q4 2023: $3.4BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $3.8BQ3 2024: $3.7BQ4 2024: $4.1BQ1 2025: $4.7BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $4.3BQ1 2026: $5BQ2 2026: $4.2BQ3 2026: $4.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.1B+2.6%
Q2 2026$4.2B+2.2%
Q1 2026$5B+6.4%
Q4 2025$4.3B+3.7%
Q3 2025$4B+7.4%
Q2 2025$4.2B+11%
Q1 2025$4.7B+16%
Q4 2024$4.1B+23%

AON's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $4.1B last quarter, up 2.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

AON Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $261MQ2 2024: $460MQ3 2024: $951MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $84MQ2 2025: $732MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $363MQ2 2026: $483MQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $261MQ2 2024: $460MQ3 2024: $951MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $84MQ2 2025: $732MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $363MQ2 2026: $483MQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+1.7%
Q2 2026$483M-34%
Q1 2026$363M+332%
Q4 2025$1.3B+16%
Q3 2025$1.1B+13%
Q2 2025$732M+59%
Q1 2025$84M-68%
Q4 2024$1.1B-5.5%

AON has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

AON Total Shares

Q4 2023: 205MQ1 2024: 200MQ2 2024: 213MQ3 2024: 218MQ4 2024: 213MQ1 2025: 218MQ2 2025: 217MQ3 2025: 217MQ4 2025: 217MQ1 2026: 215MQ2 2026: 214MQ3 2026: 213M
Q4 2023: 205MQ1 2024: 200MQ2 2024: 213MQ3 2024: 218MQ4 2024: 213MQ1 2025: 218MQ2 2025: 217MQ3 2025: 217MQ4 2025: 217MQ1 2026: 215MQ2 2026: 214MQ3 2026: 213M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-900K shares
1 year-1.7%-3.7M shares
3 years+4.1%+8.4M shares
5 years-5.5%-12.4M shares
Available history-11%-27.6M shares

AON has 213M diluted shares, down 1.7% from a year ago, with $1.4B in buybacks over the past year.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over AON on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AON Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 3.9xQ2 2024: 4.4xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.0xQ1 2025: 4.2xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 3.6xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 2.9xQ3 2026: 5.4x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 3.9xQ2 2024: 4.4xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.0xQ1 2025: 4.2xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 3.6xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 2.9xQ3 2026: 5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.4xHigh
Q2 20262.9xModerate
Q1 20262.8xModerate
Q4 20253.1xElevated
Q3 20253.6xElevated
Q2 20253.9xElevated
Q1 20254.2xHigh
Q4 20244.0xElevated

AON's net debt is about 5.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.6 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like AON.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over AON on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AON Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.2Neutral
Stochastic62.2Neutral

AON's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

AON PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricAONSector medianRelative
PE18x13x40% above
PE %56358 pts below

AON is trading at 18x earnings, a 40% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS has the edge over AON on valuation relative to its sector.

AON Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$300.911% above
20 week MA$327.81.7% above
50 week MA$329.91.1% above
100 week MA$347.44% below
200 week MA$335.20.5% below

AON has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 0.5% below its 200-week average.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

AON Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$207.5$210.6+1.5%
2021$210.6$292.4+39%
2022$292.4$300.6+2.8%
2023$300.6$291.0-3.2%
2024$291.0$360.4+24%
2025$360.4$356.7-1%
2026 YTD$356.7$333.4-6.5%

AON has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 6.5% so far in 2026.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has the edge over AON on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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