ANTA

Antalpha Platform Holding Company

There isn't enough reported data to score ANTA yet.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

ANTA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Strong
N/A
N/A

ANTA's profitability is currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ANTA.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

ANTA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x39x58x77x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x39x58x77x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current2.7x$2.00—
Cheap4.7x$3.50+75%
Fair12x$9.34+367%
Expensive52x$39.32+1866%
Forward67x$2.00—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ANTA has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

ANTA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong decline
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ANTA's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

MS has the edge over ANTA on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

ANTA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $2.00 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ANTA and MS's risk to reward.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ANTA and MS's risk to reward.

ANTA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2024: $0.10Q4 2024: $0.24Q4 2025: $0.75Forward: $0.03
Q3 2024: $0.10Q4 2024: $0.24Q4 2025: $0.75Forward: $0.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.03-96%
Q4 2025$0.75+213%

ANTA and MS do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.60 over the past year, up 29% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.

ANTA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: $13MQ4 2025: $80M
Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: $13MQ4 2025: $80M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2025$79.7M+496%
Q4 2024$13.4M+133%

ANTA has the edge over MS in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

ANTA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $829,499Q4 2025: −$4M
Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $829,499Q4 2025: −$4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2025-$4.2M-609%
Q4 2024$829.5K+$3.8M

ANTA and MS do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

ANTA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 23MQ1 2024: 23MQ2 2024: 23MQ3 2024: 23MQ4 2024: 23MQ4 2025: 25M
Q4 2023: 23MQ1 2024: 23MQ2 2024: 23MQ3 2024: 23MQ4 2024: 23MQ4 2025: 25M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.3%+1.7M shares
1 year+7.3%+1.7M shares

ANTA has 25M diluted shares, up 7.3% from a year ago.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over ANTA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ANTA Net Leverage

Q3 2024: 161.1xQ4 2024: 64.7xQ4 2025: 26.3x
Q3 2024: 161.1xQ4 2024: 64.7xQ4 2025: 26.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 202526.3xHigh
Q4 202464.7xHigh
Q3 2024161.1xHigh

ANTA's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like ANTA.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

ANTA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI27.9Oversold
Stochastic7.8Oversold

ANTA's weekly RSI is 28 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

ANTA PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricANTASector medianRelative
PE2.7x13x79% below
PE %51510 pts below

ANTA has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

ANTA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.136.1% below
20 week MA$3.1737% below
50 week MA$6.3468% below

MS has stronger trend alignment. ANTA is above 0 of 3 weekly averages versus MS above 3 of 5.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

ANTA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$12.0$9.50-21%
2026 YTD$9.50$2.00-79%

ANTA has finished every year since 2025 lower, and it's down 79% so far in 2026.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over ANTA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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