ANF

Abercrombie & Fitch Co.

63
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

ANF has the edge over NKE overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

ANF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

ANF's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

ANF PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE144x289x433x577x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE144x289x433x577x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.8x$89.96-40%
Forward12x$150—
Fair13x$155+2.9%
Current13x$150—
Expensive26x$299+98%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ANF's PE is in its fair range at 13x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over ANF in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ANF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

ANF has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ANF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$204.32
Downside-29%$106.43

Calculated from the latest close: $150.49 on Nov 12.

ANF trails NKE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ANF, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ANF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.99Q1 2024: $6.22Q2 2024: $8.04Q3 2024: $9.44Q4 2024: $10.11Q1 2025: $10.69Q2 2025: $10.14Q3 2025: $10.55Q4 2025: $10.41Q1 2026: $10.46Q2 2026: $10.34Q3 2026: $11.60Forward: $12.43
Q4 2023: $3.99Q1 2024: $6.22Q2 2024: $8.04Q3 2024: $9.44Q4 2024: $10.11Q1 2025: $10.69Q2 2025: $10.14Q3 2025: $10.55Q4 2025: $10.41Q1 2026: $10.46Q2 2026: $10.34Q3 2026: $11.60Forward: $12.43
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$12.43+7.2%
Q3 2026$11.60+10%
Q2 2026$10.34+2%
Q1 2026$10.46-2.2%
Q4 2025$10.41+3%
Q3 2025$10.55+12%
Q2 2025$10.14+26%
Q1 2025$10.69+72%
Q4 2024$10.11+153%

ANF has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

ANF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+4.8%
Q2 2026$1.1B+1.5%
Q1 2026$1.7B+5.4%
Q4 2025$1.3B+6.8%
Q3 2025$1.2B+6.6%
Q2 2025$1.1B+7.5%
Q1 2025$1.6B+9.1%
Q4 2024$1.2B+14%

ANF has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

ANF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $95MQ1 2024: $274MQ2 2024: $56MQ3 2024: $122MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $257MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: $51MQ4 2025: $132MQ1 2026: $251MQ2 2026: −$17MQ3 2026: $201M
Q4 2023: $95MQ1 2024: $274MQ2 2024: $56MQ3 2024: $122MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $257MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: $51MQ4 2025: $132MQ1 2026: $251MQ2 2026: −$17MQ3 2026: $201M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$201.1M+297%
Q2 2026-$17.1M+$37.7M
Q1 2026$250.6M-2.4%
Q4 2025$131.8M+43%
Q3 2025$50.7M-59%
Q2 2025-$54.8M-198%
Q1 2025$256.8M-6.3%
Q4 2024$92.2M-2.9%

ANF has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

ANF Total Shares

Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 53MQ2 2024: 53MQ3 2024: 53MQ4 2024: 53MQ1 2025: 53MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 49MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 48MQ2 2026: 46MQ3 2026: 44M
Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 53MQ2 2024: 53MQ3 2024: 53MQ4 2024: 53MQ1 2025: 53MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 49MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 48MQ2 2026: 46MQ3 2026: 44M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.6%-1.6M shares
1 year-9.3%-4.5M shares
3 years-15%-7.5M shares
5 years-31%-20.1M shares
Available history-31%-19.9M shares

ANF has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

ANF Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -1.1xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -1.1xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.8xNet Cash

ANF has the edge over NKE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ANF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.7Neutral
Stochastic78.3Neutral

ANF's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

ANF PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricANFSector medianRelative
PE13x18x28% below
PE %48471 pt above

ANF has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

ANF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$148.51.4% above
20 week MA$128.517% above
50 week MA$108.139% above
100 week MA$100.350% above
200 week MA$96.157% above

ANF has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

ANF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.3$20.1+16%
2021$20.1$34.4+71%
2022$34.4$22.3-35%
2023$22.3$88.2+296%
2024$88.2$153.9+74%
2025$153.9$126.8-18%
2026 YTD$126.8$150.5+19%

ANF has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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