ANF
Abercrombie & Fitch Co.
ANF has the edge over NIO overall, supported by stronger valuation.
NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
ANF Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
ANF's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
ANF PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.8x | $89.96 | -40% |
| Forward | 12x | $150 | — |
| Fair | 13x | $155 | +2.9% |
| Current | 13x | $150 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $299 | +98% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ANF's PE is in its fair range at 13x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ANF Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ANF, with profitability improving.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
ANF Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $12.43 | +7.2% |
| Q3 2026 | $11.60 | +10% |
| Q2 2026 | $10.34 | +2% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.46 | -2.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.41 | +3% |
| Q3 2025 | $10.55 | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $10.14 | +26% |
| Q1 2025 | $10.69 | +72% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.11 | +153% |
ANF has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
ANF Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.3B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | +1.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.7B | +5.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | +6.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.2B | +6.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.1B | +7.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.6B | +9.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.2B | +14% |
ANF's revenue has grown year over year for 15 quarters in a row: $1.3B last quarter, up 4.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +2.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 8% | -1.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 14% | -2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | -2.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | +1.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 9.3% | -3.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 16% | +0.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +1.8 points |
ANF has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
ANF Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $201.1M | +297% |
| Q2 2026 | -$17.1M | +$37.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $250.6M | -2.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $131.8M | +43% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.7M | -59% |
| Q2 2025 | -$54.8M | -198% |
| Q1 2025 | $256.8M | -6.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $92.2M | -2.9% |
ANF generated $566M in free cash flow over the past year, up 64% from the year before.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO has the edge over ANF on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ANF Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -3.6% | -1.6M shares |
| 1 year | -9.3% | -4.5M shares |
| 3 years | -15% | -7.5M shares |
| 5 years | -31% | -20.1M shares |
| Available history | -31% | -19.9M shares |
ANF has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $181.4M |
| Q2 2026 | $105M |
| Q1 2026 | $100M |
| Q4 2025 | $100M |
| Q3 2025 | $51.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $200M |
| Q1 2025 | $100M |
| Q4 2024 | $99.8M |
ANF spent $486M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 7.9% from the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
ANF Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
ANF has more cash than debt.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
ANF Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 64.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 78.3 | Neutral |
ANF's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
ANF PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | ANF | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13x | 18x | 28% below |
| PE % | 48 | 47 | 1 pt above |
ANF is trading at 13x earnings, a 28% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ANF Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $148.5 | 1.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $128.5 | 17% above |
| 50 week MA | $108.1 | 39% above |
| 100 week MA | $100.3 | 50% above |
| 200 week MA | $96.1 | 57% above |
ANF has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
ANF Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $17.3 | $20.1 | +16% |
| 2021 | $20.1 | $34.4 | +71% |
| 2022 | $34.4 | $22.3 | -35% |
| 2023 | $22.3 | $88.2 | +296% |
| 2024 | $88.2 | $153.9 | +74% |
| 2025 | $153.9 | $126.8 | -18% |
| 2026 YTD | $126.8 | $150.5 | +19% |
ANF has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.