ANF
Abercrombie & Fitch Co.
ANF has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
ANF Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
ANF's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
ANF PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.8x | $89.96 | -40% |
| Forward | 12x | $150 | — |
| Fair | 13x | $155 | +2.9% |
| Current | 13x | $150 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $299 | +98% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ANF's PE is in its fair range at 13x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over ANF in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
ANF Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ANF, with profitability improving.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ANF Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $12.43 | +7.2% |
| Q3 2026 | $11.60 | +10% |
| Q2 2026 | $10.34 | +2% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.46 | -2.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.41 | +3% |
| Q3 2025 | $10.55 | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $10.14 | +26% |
| Q1 2025 | $10.69 | +72% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.11 | +153% |
ANF has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
ANF Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.3B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | +1.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.7B | +5.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | +6.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.2B | +6.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.1B | +7.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.6B | +9.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.2B | +14% |
ANF has the edge over BABA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +2.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 8% | -1.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 14% | -2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | -2.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | +1.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 9.3% | -3.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 16% | +0.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +1.8 points |
ANF has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
ANF Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $201.1M | +297% |
| Q2 2026 | -$17.1M | +$37.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $250.6M | -2.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $131.8M | +43% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.7M | -59% |
| Q2 2025 | -$54.8M | -198% |
| Q1 2025 | $256.8M | -6.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $92.2M | -2.9% |
ANF has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
ANF Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -3.6% | -1.6M shares |
| 1 year | -9.3% | -4.5M shares |
| 3 years | -15% | -7.5M shares |
| 5 years | -31% | -20.1M shares |
| Available history | -31% | -19.9M shares |
ANF has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $181.4M |
| Q2 2026 | $105M |
| Q1 2026 | $100M |
| Q4 2025 | $100M |
| Q3 2025 | $51.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $200M |
| Q1 2025 | $100M |
| Q4 2024 | $99.8M |
ANF spent $486M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 7.9% from the year before.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
ANF Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
ANF has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
ANF Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 64.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 78.3 | Neutral |
ANF's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
ANF PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | ANF | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13x | 18x | 28% below |
| PE % | 48 | 47 | 1 pt above |
ANF has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
ANF Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $148.5 | 1.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $128.5 | 17% above |
| 50 week MA | $108.1 | 39% above |
| 100 week MA | $100.3 | 50% above |
| 200 week MA | $96.1 | 57% above |
ANF has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
ANF Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $17.3 | $20.1 | +16% |
| 2021 | $20.1 | $34.4 | +71% |
| 2022 | $34.4 | $22.3 | -35% |
| 2023 | $22.3 | $88.2 | +296% |
| 2024 | $88.2 | $153.9 | +74% |
| 2025 | $153.9 | $126.8 | -18% |
| 2026 YTD | $126.8 | $150.5 | +19% |
ANF has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.