ANET
Arista Networks, Inc.
ANET has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SMCI
Super Micro Computer, Inc.
SMCI has the edge over ANET overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
ANET Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
ANET's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
SMCI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Weak | |
| Strong |
SMCI's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently strong, but its cash flow is weak.
ANET PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 31x | $115 | -44% |
| Forward | 36x | $207 | — |
| Fair | 40x | $147 | -29% |
| Expensive | 52x | $194 | -6% |
| Current | 56x | $207 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ANET's PE is in its expensive range at 56x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 36x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
SMCI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 4.3x | $26.99 | — |
| Current | 5.7x | $26.99 | — |
| Cheap | 13x | $61.50 | +128% |
| Fair | 19x | $88.86 | +229% |
| Expensive | 26x | $125 | +363% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SMCI has the edge over ANET in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
ANET Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ANET, with profitability improving.
SMCI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SMCI, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ANET Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.67 | +53% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.71 | +41% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.16 | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.91 | +23% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.75 | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.64 | +27% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.55 | +32% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.37 | +32% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.23 | +35% |
ANET has the edge over SMCI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SMCI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.22 | +31% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.75 | +274% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.26 | +94% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.91 | +4.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.36 | -41% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.27 | -45% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.68 | -13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.83 | +2.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.32 | +81% |
SMCI's earnings per share have jumped to their highest in seven years: $4.75 over the past year, up from $1.27 the year before.
ANET Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +58% |
| Q2 2026 | $3B | +38% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.7B | +35% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.5B | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.3B | +27% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.2B | +30% |
| Q1 2025 | $2B | +28% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.9B | +25% |
ANET's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $3.7B last quarter, up 58% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 45% | +2.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 43% | -0.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 42% | +0.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 42% | -1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +3.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 43% | +0.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 41% | -0.1 points |
ANET has the edge over SMCI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SMCI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $19.9B | +298% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.1B | +93% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.2B | +123% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.7B | +123% |
| Q3 2025 | $5B | -15% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.8B | +7.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.6B | +19% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.7B | +55% |
SMCI's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $19.9B last quarter, up 298% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 10% | +6.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 13% | +9.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 6.1% | +2.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.7% | -2.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.6% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4% | -1.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 3.2% | -6.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.5% | -3.7 points |
SMCI's operating margin was 10% last quarter, up 6.7 points from the same quarter a year ago.
ANET Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | -11% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | -10% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.6B | +167% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.2B | +20% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.2B | +6.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2B | +19% |
| Q1 2025 | $613.3M | +22% |
| Q4 2024 | $1B | +96% |
ANET has the edge over SMCI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SMCI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$475.6M | +$474.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $718.7M | -15% |
| Q1 2026 | -$6.7B | -1227% |
| Q4 2025 | -$45.1M | +$222.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$949.8M | -360% |
| Q2 2025 | $840.9M | +$1.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $594.1M | +$2.2B |
| Q4 2024 | -$267.3M | +$342.5M |
SMCI's free cash flow was −$6.5B over the past year, against $218M the year before.
ANET Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +2.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.1% | +1.6M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +7.7M shares |
| 5 years | 0% | -344K shares |
| Available history | -1.2% | -15.9M shares |
ANET has the edge over SMCI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $620.1M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $195.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $787.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $123.8M |
ANET spent $620M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 44% from the year before.
SMCI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.5% | +52M shares |
| 1 year | +13% | +86.1M shares |
| 3 years | +31% | +178M shares |
| 5 years | +42% | +220M shares |
| Available history | +44% | +229M shares |
SMCI has 749M diluted shares, up 13% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | $12M |
| Q1 2021 | $43.1M |
| Q4 2020 | $46.4M |
ANET Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
ANET has more cash than debt.
SMCI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
SMCI has more cash than debt.
ANET Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 59.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 40.9 | Neutral |
ANET's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
SMCI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.1 | Oversold |
SMCI's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
ANET PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | ANET | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 56x | 28x | 100% above |
| PE % | 91 | 35 | 56 pts above |
ANET is trading at 56x earnings, a 100% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
SMCI PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | SMCI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 5.7x | 28x | 80% below |
| PE % | 0 | 35 | 35 pts below |
SMCI has the edge over ANET on valuation relative to its sector.
ANET Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $190.8 | 8.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $188.0 | 9.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $160.7 | 29% above |
| 100 week MA | $136.6 | 51% above |
| 200 week MA | $99.6 | 107% above |
ANET has the edge over SMCI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SMCI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $35.3 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $34.2 | 21% below |
| 50 week MA | $32.3 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $36.9 | 27% below |
| 200 week MA | $39.8 | 32% below |
SMCI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 32% below its 200-week average.
ANET Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $12.8 | $18.1 | +41% |
| 2021 | $18.1 | $35.5 | +96% |
| 2022 | $35.5 | $29.9 | -16% |
| 2023 | $29.9 | $58.9 | +97% |
| 2024 | $58.9 | $113.0 | +92% |
| 2025 | $113.0 | $131.8 | +17% |
| 2026 YTD | $131.8 | $206.6 | +57% |
ANET has the edge over SMCI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SMCI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.41 | $3.05 | +27% |
| 2021 | $3.05 | $4.27 | +40% |
| 2022 | $4.27 | $8.22 | +93% |
| 2023 | $8.22 | $28.4 | +246% |
| 2024 | $28.4 | $32.0 | +12% |
| 2025 | $32.0 | $30.6 | -4.2% |
| 2026 YTD | $30.6 | $27.0 | -12% |
SMCI has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 12% so far in 2026.