ANET

Arista Networks, Inc.

70
Fundamentals82/ 100
Valuation39/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

ANET offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over ANET overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

ANET Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

ANET's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ANET PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x71x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x71x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap31x$115-44%
Forward36x$207—
Fair40x$147-29%
Expensive52x$194-6%
Current56x$207—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ANET's PE is in its expensive range at 56x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 36x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over ANET in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ANET Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

ANET has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

ANET Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+59%$327.81
Downside-20%$165.99

Calculated from the latest close: $206.63 on Nov 12.

ANET has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MSFT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT trails ANET on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ANET Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.65Q1 2024: $1.80Q2 2024: $1.93Q3 2024: $2.08Q4 2024: $2.23Q1 2025: $2.37Q2 2025: $2.55Q3 2025: $2.64Q4 2025: $2.75Q1 2026: $2.91Q2 2026: $3.16Q3 2026: $3.71Forward: $5.67
Q4 2023: $1.65Q1 2024: $1.80Q2 2024: $1.93Q3 2024: $2.08Q4 2024: $2.23Q1 2025: $2.37Q2 2025: $2.55Q3 2025: $2.64Q4 2025: $2.75Q1 2026: $2.91Q2 2026: $3.16Q3 2026: $3.71Forward: $5.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.67+53%
Q3 2026$3.71+41%
Q2 2026$3.16+24%
Q1 2026$2.91+23%
Q4 2025$2.75+23%
Q3 2025$2.64+27%
Q2 2025$2.55+32%
Q1 2025$2.37+32%
Q4 2024$2.23+35%

ANET has the edge over MSFT on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.15 over the past year, up 36% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

ANET Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.2BQ3 2025: $2.3BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.2BQ3 2025: $2.3BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+58%
Q2 2026$3B+38%
Q1 2026$2.7B+35%
Q4 2025$2.5B+29%
Q3 2025$2.3B+27%
Q2 2025$2.2B+30%
Q1 2025$2B+28%
Q4 2024$1.9B+25%

ANET has the edge over MSFT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

ANET Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $520MQ1 2024: $504MQ2 2024: $986MQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $613MQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $520MQ1 2024: $504MQ2 2024: $986MQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $613MQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B-11%
Q2 2026$1.1B-10%
Q1 2026$1.6B+167%
Q4 2025$1.2B+20%
Q3 2025$1.2B+6.1%
Q2 2025$1.2B+19%
Q1 2025$613.3M+22%
Q4 2024$1B+96%

ANET has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

ANET Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.3B
Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+2.2M shares
1 year+0.1%+1.6M shares
3 years+0.6%+7.7M shares
5 years0%-344K shares
Available history-1.2%-15.9M shares

ANET has 1.3B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over ANET on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ANET Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -0.4x
Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.9xNet Cash

ANET has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ANET Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.9Neutral
Stochastic40.9Neutral

ANET's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

ANET PE vs Technology Sector

MetricANETSector medianRelative
PE56x28x100% above
PE %913556 pts above

ANET is trading at 56x earnings, a 100% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT has the edge over ANET on valuation relative to its sector.

ANET Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$190.88.3% above
20 week MA$188.09.9% above
50 week MA$160.729% above
100 week MA$136.651% above
200 week MA$99.6107% above

ANET has the edge over MSFT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.

ANET Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$12.8$18.1+41%
2021$18.1$35.5+96%
2022$35.5$29.9-16%
2023$29.9$58.9+97%
2024$58.9$113.0+92%
2025$113.0$131.8+17%
2026 YTD$131.8$206.6+57%

ANET has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

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