ANET

Arista Networks, Inc.

70
Fundamentals82/ 100
Valuation39/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

ANET has the edge over MS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

ANET Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

ANET's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

ANET PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x71x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x71x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap31x$115-44%
Forward36x$207—
Fair40x$147-29%
Expensive52x$194-6%
Current56x$207—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ANET's PE is in its expensive range at 56x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 36x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS has the edge over ANET in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ANET Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ANET, with profitability improving.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

ANET Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+59%$327.81
Downside-20%$165.99

Calculated from the latest close: $206.63 on Nov 12.

ANET has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS trails ANET on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ANET Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.65Q1 2024: $1.80Q2 2024: $1.93Q3 2024: $2.08Q4 2024: $2.23Q1 2025: $2.37Q2 2025: $2.55Q3 2025: $2.64Q4 2025: $2.75Q1 2026: $2.91Q2 2026: $3.16Q3 2026: $3.71Forward: $5.67
Q4 2023: $1.65Q1 2024: $1.80Q2 2024: $1.93Q3 2024: $2.08Q4 2024: $2.23Q1 2025: $2.37Q2 2025: $2.55Q3 2025: $2.64Q4 2025: $2.75Q1 2026: $2.91Q2 2026: $3.16Q3 2026: $3.71Forward: $5.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.67+53%
Q3 2026$3.71+41%
Q2 2026$3.16+24%
Q1 2026$2.91+23%
Q4 2025$2.75+23%
Q3 2025$2.64+27%
Q2 2025$2.55+32%
Q1 2025$2.37+32%
Q4 2024$2.23+35%

ANET's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.71 over the past year, up 41% from the year before, and higher year over year for 21 quarters in a row.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over ANET on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ANET Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.2BQ3 2025: $2.3BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.2BQ3 2025: $2.3BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+58%
Q2 2026$3B+38%
Q1 2026$2.7B+35%
Q4 2025$2.5B+29%
Q3 2025$2.3B+27%
Q2 2025$2.2B+30%
Q1 2025$2B+28%
Q4 2024$1.9B+25%

ANET has the edge over MS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

ANET Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $520MQ1 2024: $504MQ2 2024: $986MQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $613MQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $520MQ1 2024: $504MQ2 2024: $986MQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $613MQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B-11%
Q2 2026$1.1B-10%
Q1 2026$1.6B+167%
Q4 2025$1.2B+20%
Q3 2025$1.2B+6.1%
Q2 2025$1.2B+19%
Q1 2025$613.3M+22%
Q4 2024$1B+96%

ANET has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

ANET Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.3B
Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+2.2M shares
1 year+0.1%+1.6M shares
3 years+0.6%+7.7M shares
5 years0%-344K shares
Available history-1.2%-15.9M shares

ANET has 1.3B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over ANET on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ANET Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -0.4x
Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.9xNet Cash

ANET has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

ANET Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.9Neutral
Stochastic40.9Neutral

ANET's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

ANET PE vs Technology Sector

MetricANETSector medianRelative
PE56x28x100% above
PE %913556 pts above

ANET is trading at 56x earnings, a 100% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS has the edge over ANET on valuation relative to its sector.

ANET Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$190.88.3% above
20 week MA$188.09.9% above
50 week MA$160.729% above
100 week MA$136.651% above
200 week MA$99.6107% above

ANET has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

ANET Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$12.8$18.1+41%
2021$18.1$35.5+96%
2022$35.5$29.9-16%
2023$29.9$58.9+97%
2024$58.9$113.0+92%
2025$113.0$131.8+17%
2026 YTD$131.8$206.6+57%

ANET has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

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