ANET

Arista Networks, Inc.

70
Fundamentals82/ 100
Valuation39/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

ANET has the edge over IBM overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

IBM

International Business Machines Corporation

65
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

IBM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

ANET Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

ANET's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

IBM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Under pressure

IBM's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

ANET PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x71x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x71x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap31x$115-44%
Forward36x$207—
Fair40x$147-29%
Expensive52x$194-6%
Current56x$207—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ANET's PE is in its expensive range at 56x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 36x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

IBM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x56x85x113x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x56x85x113x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$194-21%
Forward19x$245—
Current21x$245—
Fair23x$274+12%
Expensive46x$538+120%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

IBM has the edge over ANET in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ANET Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

ANET has the edge over IBM on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

IBM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect IBM's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

ANET Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+59%$327.81
Downside-20%$165.99

Calculated from the latest close: $206.63 on Nov 12.

ANET has a better modeled risk to reward balance than IBM, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

IBM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$307.43
Downside-15%$206.85

Calculated from the latest close: $244.67 on Nov 12.

IBM trails ANET on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ANET Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.65Q1 2024: $1.80Q2 2024: $1.93Q3 2024: $2.08Q4 2024: $2.23Q1 2025: $2.37Q2 2025: $2.55Q3 2025: $2.64Q4 2025: $2.75Q1 2026: $2.91Q2 2026: $3.16Q3 2026: $3.71Forward: $5.67
Q4 2023: $1.65Q1 2024: $1.80Q2 2024: $1.93Q3 2024: $2.08Q4 2024: $2.23Q1 2025: $2.37Q2 2025: $2.55Q3 2025: $2.64Q4 2025: $2.75Q1 2026: $2.91Q2 2026: $3.16Q3 2026: $3.71Forward: $5.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.67+53%
Q3 2026$3.71+41%
Q2 2026$3.16+24%
Q1 2026$2.91+23%
Q4 2025$2.75+23%
Q3 2025$2.64+27%
Q2 2025$2.55+32%
Q1 2025$2.37+32%
Q4 2024$2.23+35%

ANET's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.71 over the past year, up 41% from the year before, and higher year over year for 21 quarters in a row.

IBM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.14Q1 2024: $8.85Q2 2024: $9.09Q3 2024: $6.89Q4 2024: $6.43Q1 2025: $5.83Q2 2025: $6.18Q3 2025: $8.38Q4 2025: $11.17Q1 2026: $11.33Q2 2026: $11.29Q3 2026: $11.75Forward: $13.06
Q4 2023: $8.14Q1 2024: $8.85Q2 2024: $9.09Q3 2024: $6.89Q4 2024: $6.43Q1 2025: $5.83Q2 2025: $6.18Q3 2025: $8.38Q4 2025: $11.17Q1 2026: $11.33Q2 2026: $11.29Q3 2026: $11.75Forward: $13.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.06+11%
Q3 2026$11.75+40%
Q2 2026$11.29+83%
Q1 2026$11.33+94%
Q4 2025$11.17+74%
Q3 2025$8.38+22%
Q2 2025$6.18-32%
Q1 2025$5.83-34%
Q4 2024$6.43-21%

IBM earned $11.75 per share over the past year, up 40% from the year before.

ANET Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.2BQ3 2025: $2.3BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.2BQ3 2025: $2.3BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+58%
Q2 2026$3B+38%
Q1 2026$2.7B+35%
Q4 2025$2.5B+29%
Q3 2025$2.3B+27%
Q2 2025$2.2B+30%
Q1 2025$2B+28%
Q4 2024$1.9B+25%

ANET has the edge over IBM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

IBM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.4BQ1 2024: $14.5BQ2 2024: $15.8BQ3 2024: $15BQ4 2024: $17.6BQ1 2025: $14.5BQ2 2025: $17BQ3 2025: $16.3BQ4 2025: $19.7BQ1 2026: $15.9BQ2 2026: $17.2BQ3 2026: $17.1B
Q4 2023: $17.4BQ1 2024: $14.5BQ2 2024: $15.8BQ3 2024: $15BQ4 2024: $17.6BQ1 2025: $14.5BQ2 2025: $17BQ3 2025: $16.3BQ4 2025: $19.7BQ1 2026: $15.9BQ2 2026: $17.2BQ3 2026: $17.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$17.1B+4.7%
Q2 2026$17.2B+1.1%
Q1 2026$15.9B+9.5%
Q4 2025$19.7B+12%
Q3 2025$16.3B+9.1%
Q2 2025$17B+7.7%
Q1 2025$14.5B+0.5%
Q4 2024$17.6B+1%

IBM's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $17.1B last quarter, up 4.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

ANET Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $520MQ1 2024: $504MQ2 2024: $986MQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $613MQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $520MQ1 2024: $504MQ2 2024: $986MQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $613MQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B-11%
Q2 2026$1.1B-10%
Q1 2026$1.6B+167%
Q4 2025$1.2B+20%
Q3 2025$1.2B+6.1%
Q2 2025$1.2B+19%
Q1 2025$613.3M+22%
Q4 2024$1B+96%

ANET has the edge over IBM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IBM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $4.2BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $4BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $4.9BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $4.2BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $4BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $4.9BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+31%
Q2 2026$2.4B+59%
Q1 2026$4.9B+20%
Q4 2025$3.7B-9.2%
Q3 2025$2.8B+8.9%
Q2 2025$1.5B-19%
Q1 2025$4.1B+5%
Q4 2024$4B-3.3%

IBM's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $14.7B over the past year, up 18% from the year before.

ANET Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.3B
Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+2.2M shares
1 year+0.1%+1.6M shares
3 years+0.6%+7.7M shares
5 years0%-344K shares
Available history-1.2%-15.9M shares

ANET has the edge over IBM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

IBM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 922MQ1 2024: 933MQ2 2024: 934MQ3 2024: 924MQ4 2024: 937MQ1 2025: 945MQ2 2025: 948MQ3 2025: 949MQ4 2025: 949MQ1 2026: 952MQ2 2026: 953MQ3 2026: 954M
Q4 2023: 922MQ1 2024: 933MQ2 2024: 934MQ3 2024: 924MQ4 2024: 937MQ1 2025: 945MQ2 2025: 948MQ3 2025: 949MQ4 2025: 949MQ1 2026: 952MQ2 2026: 953MQ3 2026: 954M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+260K shares
1 year+0.5%+4.6M shares
3 years+3.2%+29.9M shares
5 years+5.3%+47.6M shares
Available history+2.1%+19.6M shares

IBM has 954M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

ANET Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -0.4x
Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.9xNet Cash

ANET has the edge over IBM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

IBM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 3.8xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.4xQ1 2025: 5.6xQ2 2025: 5.5xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 3.9x
Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 3.8xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.4xQ1 2025: 5.6xQ2 2025: 5.5xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 3.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.9xElevated
Q2 20263.9xElevated
Q1 20264.0xHigh
Q4 20253.5xElevated
Q3 20254.2xHigh
Q2 20255.5xHigh
Q1 20255.6xHigh
Q4 20244.4xHigh

IBM's net debt is about 3.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.2 years a year ago.

ANET Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.9Neutral
Stochastic40.9Neutral

ANET's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

IBM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.1Neutral
Stochastic74.8Neutral

IBM's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).

ANET PE vs Technology Sector

MetricANETSector medianRelative
PE56x28x100% above
PE %913556 pts above

ANET is trading at 56x earnings, a 100% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

IBM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricIBMSector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %31354 pts below

IBM has the edge over ANET on valuation relative to its sector.

ANET Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$190.88.3% above
20 week MA$188.09.9% above
50 week MA$160.729% above
100 week MA$136.651% above
200 week MA$99.6107% above

ANET has the edge over IBM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

IBM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$238.62.6% above
20 week MA$239.32.2% above
50 week MA$256.64.6% below
100 week MA$258.55.3% below
200 week MA$212.315% above

IBM's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 15% above its 200-week average.

ANET Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$12.8$18.1+41%
2021$18.1$35.5+96%
2022$35.5$29.9-16%
2023$29.9$58.9+97%
2024$58.9$113.0+92%
2025$113.0$131.8+17%
2026 YTD$131.8$206.6+57%

ANET has the edge over IBM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

IBM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$129.3$119.2-7.8%
2021$119.2$130.6+9.6%
2022$130.6$141.7+8.4%
2023$141.7$163.6+15%
2024$163.6$222.8+36%
2025$222.8$305.1+37%
2026 YTD$305.1$244.7-20%

IBM has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 20% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key