ANET

Arista Networks, Inc.

70
Fundamentals82/ 100
Valuation39/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

ANET has the edge over CAT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

CAT

Caterpillar Inc.

66
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CAT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

ANET Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

ANET's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

CAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ANET PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x71x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x71x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap31x$115-44%
Forward36x$207—
Fair40x$147-29%
Expensive52x$194-6%
Current56x$207—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ANET's PE is in its expensive range at 56x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 36x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

CAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$380-37%
Fair18x$461-24%
Forward20x$605—
Current24x$605—
Expensive33x$840+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAT has the edge over ANET in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ANET Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ANET, with profitability improving.

CAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ANET Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+59%$327.81
Downside-20%$165.99

Calculated from the latest close: $206.63 on Nov 12.

ANET trails CAT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$918.83
Downside-11%$541.24

Calculated from the latest close: $605.28 on Nov 12.

CAT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ANET, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ANET Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.65Q1 2024: $1.80Q2 2024: $1.93Q3 2024: $2.08Q4 2024: $2.23Q1 2025: $2.37Q2 2025: $2.55Q3 2025: $2.64Q4 2025: $2.75Q1 2026: $2.91Q2 2026: $3.16Q3 2026: $3.71Forward: $5.67
Q4 2023: $1.65Q1 2024: $1.80Q2 2024: $1.93Q3 2024: $2.08Q4 2024: $2.23Q1 2025: $2.37Q2 2025: $2.55Q3 2025: $2.64Q4 2025: $2.75Q1 2026: $2.91Q2 2026: $3.16Q3 2026: $3.71Forward: $5.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.67+53%
Q3 2026$3.71+41%
Q2 2026$3.16+24%
Q1 2026$2.91+23%
Q4 2025$2.75+23%
Q3 2025$2.64+27%
Q2 2025$2.55+32%
Q1 2025$2.37+32%
Q4 2024$2.23+35%

ANET has the edge over CAT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$30.32+19%
Q3 2026$25.48+31%
Q2 2026$23.23+18%
Q1 2026$20.08-2%
Q4 2025$18.81-15%
Q3 2025$19.46-9.7%
Q2 2025$19.64-10%
Q1 2025$20.50-7.4%
Q4 2024$22.05+9.6%

CAT earned $25.48 per share over the past year, up 31% from the year before.

ANET Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.2BQ3 2025: $2.3BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.2BQ3 2025: $2.3BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+58%
Q2 2026$3B+38%
Q1 2026$2.7B+35%
Q4 2025$2.5B+29%
Q3 2025$2.3B+27%
Q2 2025$2.2B+30%
Q1 2025$2B+28%
Q4 2024$1.9B+25%

ANET has the edge over CAT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.7B+17%
Q2 2026$20.5B+24%
Q1 2026$17.4B+22%
Q4 2025$19.1B+18%
Q3 2025$17.6B+9.5%
Q2 2025$16.6B-0.7%
Q1 2025$14.2B-9.8%
Q4 2024$16.2B-5%

CAT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $20.7B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

ANET Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $520MQ1 2024: $504MQ2 2024: $986MQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $613MQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $520MQ1 2024: $504MQ2 2024: $986MQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $613MQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B-11%
Q2 2026$1.1B-10%
Q1 2026$1.6B+167%
Q4 2025$1.2B+20%
Q3 2025$1.2B+6.1%
Q2 2025$1.2B+19%
Q1 2025$613.3M+22%
Q4 2024$1B+96%

ANET has the edge over CAT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+19%
Q2 2026$3.8B+47%
Q1 2026$1.1B+97%
Q4 2025$2.7B+0.1%
Q3 2025$3.1B-1.5%
Q2 2025$2.6B-4.2%
Q1 2025$579M-63%
Q4 2024$2.7B-22%

CAT generated $11.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 26% from the year before.

ANET Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.3B
Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+2.2M shares
1 year+0.1%+1.6M shares
3 years+0.6%+7.7M shares
5 years0%-344K shares
Available history-1.2%-15.9M shares

ANET has 1.3B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

CAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-2.1%-9.9M shares
3 years-10%-51.7M shares
5 years-16%-86.7M shares
Available history-19%-107M shares

CAT has the edge over ANET on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ANET Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -0.4x
Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.9xNet Cash

ANET has more cash than debt.

CAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CAT has more cash than debt.

ANET Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.9Neutral
Stochastic40.9Neutral

ANET's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

CAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic6.7Oversold

CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

ANET PE vs Technology Sector

MetricANETSector medianRelative
PE56x28x100% above
PE %913556 pts above

ANET is trading at 56x earnings, a 100% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

CAT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCATSector medianRelative
PE24x24x1.3% below
PE %695811 pts above

CAT has the edge over ANET on valuation relative to its sector.

ANET Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$190.88.3% above
20 week MA$188.09.9% above
50 week MA$160.729% above
100 week MA$136.651% above
200 week MA$99.6107% above

ANET has the edge over CAT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$709.015% below
20 week MA$797.024% below
50 week MA$771.322% below
100 week MA$586.73.2% above
200 week MA$443.137% above

CAT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.

ANET Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$12.8$18.1+41%
2021$18.1$35.5+96%
2022$35.5$29.9-16%
2023$29.9$58.9+97%
2024$58.9$113.0+92%
2025$113.0$131.8+17%
2026 YTD$131.8$206.6+57%

ANET has the edge over CAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.3$179.6+21%
2021$179.6$206.2+15%
2022$206.2$239.9+16%
2023$239.9$295.7+23%
2024$295.7$364.9+23%
2025$364.9$583.0+60%
2026 YTD$583.0$605.3+3.8%

CAT has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 3.8% so far in 2026.

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