AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has the edge over XPEV overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

XPEV

XPeng Inc.

53
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

XPEV offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

XPEV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Stable
Unavailable

XPEV's revenue and cash flow are currently stable, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN's PE is in its cheap range at 22x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 27x.

XPEV PE Valuation

XPEV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.

XPEV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect XPEV's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than XPEV, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

XPEV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$13.03
Downside-27%$6.95

Calculated from the latest close: $9.46 on Nov 12.

XPEV trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN has the edge over XPEV on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

XPEV Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.99Q4 2023: $-1.79Q1 2024: $-1.60Q2 2024: $-1.31Q3 2024: $-0.92Q4 2024: $-0.92Q1 2025: $-0.81Q2 2025: $-0.68Q3 2025: $-0.45Q4 2025: $-0.12Q1 2026: $-0.58Q2 2026: $-0.93
Q3 2023: $-1.99Q4 2023: $-1.79Q1 2024: $-1.60Q2 2024: $-1.31Q3 2024: $-0.92Q4 2024: $-0.92Q1 2025: $-0.81Q2 2025: $-0.68Q3 2025: $-0.45Q4 2025: $-0.12Q1 2026: $-0.58Q2 2026: $-0.93
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.93-$0.25
Q1 2026-$0.58+$0.23
Q4 2025-$0.12+$0.80
Q3 2025-$0.45+$0.47
Q2 2025-$0.68+$0.63
Q1 2025-$0.81+$0.79
Q4 2024-$0.92+$0.87
Q3 2024-$0.92+$1.07

XPEV is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.93 per share over the past year, against $1.99 at its worst in late 2023.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $202B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

XPEV Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $1.3BQ4 2023: $2BQ1 2024: $983MQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $3.3BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $3B
Q3 2023: $1.3BQ4 2023: $2BQ1 2024: $983MQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $3.3BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$3B+7.7%
Q1 2026$1.9B-18%
Q4 2025$3.3B+36%
Q3 2025$3.1B+102%
Q2 2025$2.7B+125%
Q1 2025$2.4B+141%
Q4 2024$2.4B+23%
Q3 2024$1.5B+18%

XPEV's revenue is growing: $3B last quarter, up 7.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

XPEV Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0$0
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0$0
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025$0$0
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024$0$0
Q3 2024$0$0

XPEV's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against $0 the year before.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has 10.9B diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

XPEV Total Shares

Q3 2023: 865MQ4 2023: 934MQ1 2024: 943MQ2 2024: 944MQ3 2024: 944MQ4 2024: 946MQ1 2025: 946MQ2 2025: 946MQ3 2025: 953MQ4 2025: 484MQ1 2026: 478MQ2 2026: 478M
Q3 2023: 865MQ4 2023: 934MQ1 2024: 943MQ2 2024: 944MQ3 2024: 944MQ4 2024: 946MQ1 2025: 946MQ2 2025: 946MQ3 2025: 953MQ4 2025: 484MQ1 2026: 478MQ2 2026: 478M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+541K shares
1 year-49%-467M shares
3 years-45%-383M shares
5 years-44%-377M shares
Available history-44%-377M shares

XPEV has the edge over AMZN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

XPEV Net Leverage

XPEV's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

XPEV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.5Neutral
Stochastic17.7Oversold

XPEV's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN is trading at 22x earnings, a 20% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

XPEV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

XPEV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN has the edge over XPEV on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

XPEV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.561% below
20 week MA$11.114% below
50 week MA$14.937% below
100 week MA$17.245% below
200 week MA$14.233% below

XPEV is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% below its 200-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has the edge over XPEV on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

XPEV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$22.8$41.9+84%
2021$41.9$46.1+10%
2022$46.1$10.1-78%
2023$10.1$14.6+45%
2024$14.6$12.6-13%
2025$12.6$20.8+65%
2026 YTD$20.8$9.46-54%

XPEV is down 54% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

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