AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has the edge over VSXY overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

VSXY

Victoria's Secret & Company

60
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation28/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

VSXY offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

VSXY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

VSXY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN has the edge over VSXY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

VSXY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x31x41x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x31x41x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.8x$30.32-71%
Fair14x$60.95-42%
Forward20x$105—
Current23x$105—
Expensive24x$108+3.3%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VSXY's PE is in its expensive range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.

VSXY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

VSXY has the edge over AMZN on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VSXY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VSXY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+71%$178.92
Downside-28%$75.58

Calculated from the latest close: $104.63 on Nov 12.

VSXY trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN has the edge over VSXY on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VSXY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.16Q1 2024: $1.39Q2 2024: $1.33Q3 2024: $1.75Q4 2024: $1.96Q1 2025: $2.05Q2 2025: $2.08Q3 2025: $1.88Q4 2025: $2.13Q1 2026: $1.93Q2 2026: $2.51Q3 2026: $4.49Forward: $5.24
Q4 2023: $1.16Q1 2024: $1.39Q2 2024: $1.33Q3 2024: $1.75Q4 2024: $1.96Q1 2025: $2.05Q2 2025: $2.08Q3 2025: $1.88Q4 2025: $2.13Q1 2026: $1.93Q2 2026: $2.51Q3 2026: $4.49Forward: $5.24
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.24+17%
Q3 2026$4.49+139%
Q2 2026$2.51+21%
Q1 2026$1.93-5.9%
Q4 2025$2.13+8.7%
Q3 2025$1.88+7.4%
Q2 2025$2.08+56%
Q1 2025$2.05+47%
Q4 2024$1.96+69%

VSXY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.49 over the past year, against $6.15 in early 2022.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN has the edge over VSXY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VSXY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.6B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.6B+10%
Q2 2026$1.6B+15%
Q1 2026$2.3B+7.7%
Q4 2025$1.5B+9.3%
Q3 2025$1.5B+3%
Q2 2025$1.4B-0.4%
Q1 2025$2.1B+1.1%
Q4 2024$1.3B+6.5%

VSXY's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $1.6B last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

VSXY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$261MQ1 2024: $557MQ2 2024: −$155MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: −$299MQ1 2025: $646MQ2 2025: −$193MQ3 2025: $88MQ4 2025: −$232MQ1 2026: $649MQ2 2026: −$191MQ3 2026: $328M
Q4 2023: −$261MQ1 2024: $557MQ2 2024: −$155MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: −$299MQ1 2025: $646MQ2 2025: −$193MQ3 2025: $88MQ4 2025: −$232MQ1 2026: $649MQ2 2026: −$191MQ3 2026: $328M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$328M+273%
Q2 2026-$191M+$2M
Q1 2026$649M+0.5%
Q4 2025-$232M+$67M
Q3 2025$88M+60%
Q2 2025-$193M-$38M
Q1 2025$646M+16%
Q4 2024-$299M-$38M

VSXY has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has the edge over VSXY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VSXY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 77MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 78MQ3 2024: 80MQ4 2024: 79MQ1 2025: 81MQ2 2025: 79MQ3 2025: 82MQ4 2025: 81MQ1 2026: 83MQ2 2026: 85MQ3 2026: 84M
Q4 2023: 77MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 78MQ3 2024: 80MQ4 2024: 79MQ1 2025: 81MQ2 2025: 79MQ3 2025: 82MQ4 2025: 81MQ1 2026: 83MQ2 2026: 85MQ3 2026: 84M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-1M shares
1 year+2.4%+2M shares
3 years+9.1%+7M shares
5 years-4.9%-4.4M shares

VSXY has 84M diluted shares, up 2.4% from a year ago.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

VSXY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 2.2xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.7xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 0.9xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 0.6x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 2.2xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.7xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 0.9xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.6xVery low
Q2 20261.4xHealthy
Q1 20260.9xVery low
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20251.7xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20242.2xModerate

VSXY has the edge over AMZN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

VSXY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.4Neutral
Stochastic83.0Overbought

VSXY's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 83 (overbought).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN has the edge over VSXY on valuation relative to its sector.

VSXY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricVSXYSector medianRelative
PE23x18x29% above
PE %825527 pts above

VSXY is trading at 23x earnings, a 29% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 40% above its 200-week average.

VSXY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$93.112% above
20 week MA$87.220% above
50 week MA$69.251% above
100 week MA$47.9119% above
200 week MA$36.4188% above

VSXY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 188% above its 200-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 15% so far in 2026.

VSXY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$42.1$49.1+17%
2022$49.1$40.4-18%
2023$40.4$26.5-34%
2024$26.5$42.3+59%
2025$42.3$53.8+27%
2026 YTD$53.8$104.6+94%

VSXY has the edge over AMZN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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