AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has the edge over VIK overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

VIK

Viking Holdings Ltd

64
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation58/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

VIK's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

VIK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Unavailable
Healthy

VIK's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN's PE is in its cheap range at 22x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 27x.

VIK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE35x70x104x139x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE35x70x104x139x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward22x$88.88—
Current29x$88.88—
Cheap31x$92.52+4.1%
Fair34x$102+15%
Expensive46x$139+56%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VIK's PE is in its cheap range at 29x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 22x next year's earnings.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.

VIK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

VIK has the edge over AMZN on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VIK, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

VIK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$111.31
Downside-19%$72.42

Calculated from the latest close: $88.88 on Nov 12.

VIK trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.37 over the past year, up 75% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

VIK Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-2.48Q4 2023: $-4.31Q1 2024: $-6.04Q2 2024: $-6.11Q3 2024: $-2.38Q4 2024: $-0.76Q1 2025: $1.23Q2 2025: $1.85Q3 2025: $2.14Q4 2025: $2.57Q1 2026: $2.69Q2 2026: $3.02Forward: $4.00
Q3 2023: $-2.48Q4 2023: $-4.31Q1 2024: $-6.04Q2 2024: $-6.11Q3 2024: $-2.38Q4 2024: $-0.76Q1 2025: $1.23Q2 2025: $1.85Q3 2025: $2.14Q4 2025: $2.57Q1 2026: $2.69Q2 2026: $3.02Forward: $4.00
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.00+33%
Q2 2026$3.02+63%
Q1 2026$2.69+119%
Q4 2025$2.57+$3.33
Q3 2025$2.14+$4.52
Q2 2025$1.85+$7.96
Q1 2025$1.23+$7.27
Q4 2024-$0.76+$3.55
Q3 2024-$2.38+$0.10

VIK's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.02 over the past year, up 63% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2024.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $202B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

VIK Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $1.5BQ4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $718MQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $897MQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $2.2B
Q3 2023: $1.5BQ4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $718MQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $897MQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$2.2B+16%
Q1 2026$1.1B+17%
Q4 2025$1.7B+28%
Q3 2025$2B+19%
Q2 2025$1.9B+18%
Q1 2025$897.1M+25%
Q4 2024$1.3B+21%
Q3 2024$1.7B+11%

VIK has the edge over AMZN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

VIK has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 68% versus its history, compared with AMZN at down 619%.

VIK Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $395MQ4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $367MQ2 2024: $263MQ3 2024: $715MQ4 2024: −$180MQ1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: $152MQ2 2026: −$397M
Q3 2023: $395MQ4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $367MQ2 2024: $263MQ3 2024: $715MQ4 2024: −$180MQ1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: $152MQ2 2026: −$397M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2024-$179.9M-2765%
Q3 2024$714.5M+81%
Q2 2024$262.9M+196%
Q1 2024$367M+269%
Q4 2023$6.8M+$150.2M

VIK usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$397M, but it generated $289M over the past year.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has 10.9B diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

VIK Total Shares

Q3 2023: 431MQ4 2023: 431MQ1 2024: 222MQ2 2024: 367MQ3 2024: 436MQ4 2024: 440MQ1 2025: 443MQ2 2025: 446MQ3 2025: 447MQ4 2025: 446MQ1 2026: 446MQ2 2026: 448M
Q3 2023: 431MQ4 2023: 431MQ1 2024: 222MQ2 2024: 367MQ3 2024: 436MQ4 2024: 440MQ1 2025: 443MQ2 2025: 446MQ3 2025: 447MQ4 2025: 446MQ1 2026: 446MQ2 2026: 448M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+2.2M shares
1 year+0.6%+2.5M shares
3 years+3.9%+16.6M shares

VIK has the edge over AMZN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN has the edge over VIK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

VIK Net Leverage

Q3 2024: 21.7xQ4 2024: 4.0xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.1x
Q3 2024: 21.7xQ4 2024: 4.0xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.1xHealthy
Q1 20261.0xVery low
Q4 20251.0xVery low
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 20244.0xElevated
Q3 202421.7xHigh

VIK's net debt is about 1.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

VIK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.5Neutral
Stochastic33.7Neutral

VIK's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN has the edge over VIK on valuation relative to its sector.

VIK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricVIKSector medianRelative
PE29x18x63% above
PE %102414 pts below

VIK is trading at 29x earnings, a 63% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN has stronger trend alignment. AMZN is above 5 of 5 weekly averages versus VIK above 3 of 4.

VIK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$84.05.8% above
20 week MA$90.72% below
50 week MA$83.26.8% above
100 week MA$67.532% above

VIK's trend is mixed: it's above three of its four weekly moving averages, and 32% above its 100-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 15% so far in 2026.

VIK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$29.0$44.4+53%
2025$44.4$73.3+65%
2026 YTD$73.3$88.9+21%

VIK has the edge over AMZN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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