AMZN
Amazon.com, Inc.
AMZN has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SVV
Savers Value Village, Inc.
SVV has a slight edge over AMZN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
AMZN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.
SVV Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
SVV's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
AMZN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 22x | $267 | — |
| Forward | 27x | $267 | — |
| Cheap | 34x | $415 | +55% |
| Fair | 60x | $745 | +179% |
| Expensive | 102x | $1,262 | +372% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AMZN has the edge over SVV in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
SVV PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 18x | $10.09 | — |
| Current | 25x | $10.09 | — |
| Cheap | 29x | $11.79 | +17% |
| Fair | 57x | $22.64 | +124% |
| Expensive | 72x | $28.97 | +187% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SVV's PE is in its cheap range at 25x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
AMZN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.
SVV Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SVV, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AMZN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.87 | -20% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.37 | +75% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.43 | +89% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.36 | +36% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.17 | +30% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.08 | +52% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.56 | +57% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.14 | +72% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.53 | +91% |
AMZN has the edge over SVV on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SVV Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.57 | +43% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.40 | +$0.42 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.16 | -20% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.14 | 0% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.14 | -18% |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.02 | -104% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.20 | -13% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.14 | -66% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.17 | -50% |
SVV has returned to profit: it earned $0.40 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
AMZN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $201.9B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $200.6B | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $181.5B | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $213.4B | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $180.2B | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $167.7B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $155.7B | +8.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $187.8B | +10% |
AMZN has the edge over SVV on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | +4.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | +2.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 13% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | +0.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.7% | -1.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | +1.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | +3.5 points |
AMZN has the edge over SVV on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SVV Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $463.1M | +8.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $448.2M | +7.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $403.2M | +8.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $464.7M | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $426.9M | +8.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $417.2M | +7.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $370.1M | +4.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $402M | +5% |
SVV's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $463M last quarter, up 8.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.8% | +1.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 9.4% | +1.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 3.1% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 9.3% | +1.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 8.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8.2% | -0.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.8% | -1.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.2% | -1.4 points |
SVV's operating margin was 9.8% last quarter, up 1.3 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AMZN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$34.8B | -8202% |
| Q2 2026 | -$8.8B | -2757% |
| Q1 2026 | -$18.2B | -$10.2B |
| Q4 2025 | $14.9B | -16% |
| Q3 2025 | $430M | -87% |
| Q2 2025 | $332M | -96% |
| Q1 2025 | -$8B | -297% |
| Q4 2024 | $17.8B | -36% |
AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.
SVV Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $29.2M | +$35.5M |
| Q2 2026 | $44.8M | +104% |
| Q1 2026 | -$9.9M | +$10.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $53.2M | +77% |
| Q3 2025 | -$6.3M | -$3.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $21.9M | -26% |
| Q1 2025 | -$20.2M | +$8.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $30.1M | -44% |
SVV has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AMZN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +26M shares |
| 1 year | +0.8% | +84M shares |
| 3 years | +3.5% | +371M shares |
| 5 years | +6.1% | +629M shares |
| Available history | +8.2% | +829M shares |
AMZN has the edge over SVV on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | $3.3B |
SVV Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +63K shares |
| 1 year | +2.2% | +3.4M shares |
| 3 years | -0.7% | -1.1M shares |
| 5 years | -0.8% | -1.3M shares |
| Available history | -0.8% | -1.3M shares |
SVV has 159M diluted shares, up 2.2% from a year ago, despite $40M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $10M |
| Q2 2026 | $10.2M |
| Q1 2026 | $10.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $9.6M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $23.8M |
| Q1 2025 | $11.8M |
| Q4 2024 | $10.7M |
SVV spent $40M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 14% from the year before.
AMZN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
AMZN has the edge over SVV on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
SVV Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.6x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.0x | Moderate |
SVV's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.5 years a year ago.
AMZN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 57.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 50.0 | Neutral |
AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).
SVV Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 53.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 28.0 | Neutral |
SVV's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).
AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | AMZN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22x | 18x | 20% above |
| PE % | 4 | 47 | 43 pts below |
AMZN has the edge over SVV on valuation relative to its sector.
SVV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | SVV | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25x | 18x | 40% above |
| PE % | 13 | 35 | 22 pts below |
SVV is trading at 25x earnings, a 40% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
AMZN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $253.6 | 5.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $254.9 | 4.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $242.5 | 10% above |
| 100 week MA | $229.6 | 17% above |
| 200 week MA | $191.4 | 40% above |
SVV has stronger trend alignment. AMZN is above 5 of 5 weekly averages versus SVV above 4 of 4.
SVV Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.56 | 5.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $9.95 | 1.4% above |
| 50 week MA | $9.48 | 6.4% above |
| 100 week MA | $9.88 | 2.1% above |
SVV is in an uptrend: it's above all four of its weekly moving averages, and 2.1% above its 100-week average.
AMZN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $93.5 | $158.6 | +70% |
| 2021 | $158.6 | $171.1 | +7.8% |
| 2022 | $171.1 | $85.3 | -50% |
| 2023 | $85.3 | $151.9 | +78% |
| 2024 | $151.9 | $223.8 | +47% |
| 2025 | $223.8 | $232.5 | +3.9% |
| 2026 YTD | $232.5 | $267.4 | +15% |
AMZN has the edge over SVV on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SVV Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $23.7 | $17.4 | -27% |
| 2024 | $17.4 | $10.3 | -41% |
| 2025 | $10.3 | $9.43 | -8.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $9.43 | $10.1 | +7% |
SVV has finished every year since 2023 lower, and it's up 7% so far in 2026.