AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has the edge over SON overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

SON

Sonoco Products Company

52
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SON trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

SON Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy
Weak

SON's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN's PE is in its cheap range at 22x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 27x.

SON PE Valuation

SON has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

AMZN has the edge over SON on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

SON Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect SON's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SON, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

SON Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$61.25
Downside-20%$38.76

Calculated from the latest close: $48.69 on Nov 12.

SON trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN has the edge over SON on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SON Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.80Q1 2024: $3.96Q2 2024: $3.72Q3 2024: $2.91Q4 2024: $1.65Q1 2025: $1.54Q2 2025: $5.58Q3 2025: $6.30Q4 2025: $10.07Q1 2026: $10.20Q2 2026: $6.29Q3 2026: $-2.30Forward: $5.61
Q4 2023: $4.80Q1 2024: $3.96Q2 2024: $3.72Q3 2024: $2.91Q4 2024: $1.65Q1 2025: $1.54Q2 2025: $5.58Q3 2025: $6.30Q4 2025: $10.07Q1 2026: $10.20Q2 2026: $6.29Q3 2026: $-2.30Forward: $5.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.61—
Q3 2026-$2.30-137%
Q2 2026$6.29+13%
Q1 2026$10.20+562%
Q4 2025$10.07+510%
Q3 2025$6.30+116%
Q2 2025$5.58+50%
Q1 2025$1.54-61%
Q4 2024$1.65-66%

SON has swung to a loss: it lost $2.30 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN has the edge over SON on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SON Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2B-4.2%
Q2 2026$1.9B-1.3%
Q1 2026$1.7B-1.9%
Q4 2025$1.8B+30%
Q3 2025$2.1B+27%
Q2 2025$1.9B+18%
Q1 2025$1.7B+4.4%
Q4 2024$1.4B-17%

SON's revenue has held roughly level: $2B last quarter, down 4.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

SON Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $158MQ1 2024: $80MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $71MQ4 2024: $274MQ1 2025: −$301MQ2 2025: $99MQ3 2025: $226MQ4 2025: $322MQ1 2026: −$430MQ2 2026: $237MQ3 2026: $222M
Q4 2023: $158MQ1 2024: $80MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $71MQ4 2024: $274MQ1 2025: −$301MQ2 2025: $99MQ3 2025: $226MQ4 2025: $322MQ1 2026: −$430MQ2 2026: $237MQ3 2026: $222M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$221.9M-1.6%
Q2 2026$236.9M+140%
Q1 2026-$430M-$129.3M
Q4 2025$322.3M+17%
Q3 2025$225.6M+220%
Q2 2025$98.6M+516%
Q1 2025-$300.8M-477%
Q4 2024$274.3M+74%

SON has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has 10.9B diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

SON Total Shares

Q4 2023: 99MQ1 2024: 99MQ2 2024: 99MQ3 2024: 99MQ4 2024: 99MQ1 2025: 99MQ2 2025: 100MQ3 2025: 100MQ4 2025: 100MQ1 2026: 100MQ2 2026: 100MQ3 2026: 100M
Q4 2023: 99MQ1 2024: 99MQ2 2024: 99MQ3 2024: 99MQ4 2024: 99MQ1 2025: 99MQ2 2025: 100MQ3 2025: 100MQ4 2025: 100MQ1 2026: 100MQ2 2026: 100MQ3 2026: 100M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-279K shares
1 year-0.1%-146K shares
3 years+0.6%+590K shares
5 years+0.1%+77K shares
Available history-1.7%-1.7M shares

SON has the edge over AMZN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN has the edge over SON on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SON Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 3.1xQ2 2024: 3.2xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 9.4xQ1 2025: 9.3xQ2 2025: 6.2xQ3 2025: 5.3xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 5.6x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 3.1xQ2 2024: 3.2xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 9.4xQ1 2025: 9.3xQ2 2025: 6.2xQ3 2025: 5.3xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 5.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.6xHigh
Q2 20262.8xModerate
Q1 20262.9xModerate
Q4 20252.6xModerate
Q3 20255.3xHigh
Q2 20256.2xHigh
Q1 20259.3xHigh
Q4 20249.4xHigh

SON's net debt is about 5.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 5.3 years a year ago.

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

SON Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.6Neutral
Stochastic22.6Neutral

SON's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN is trading at 22x earnings, a 20% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

SON PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSONSector medianRelative
PE7.9x18x56% below
PE %154732 pts below

SON has the edge over AMZN on valuation relative to its sector.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN has the edge over SON on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SON Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$49.51.6% below
20 week MA$53.18.2% below
50 week MA$51.35% below
100 week MA$48.30.9% above
200 week MA$52.36.8% below

SON's trend is mixed: it's above one of its five weekly moving averages, and 6.8% below its 200-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has the edge over SON on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SON Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$61.3$59.4-3.1%
2021$59.4$55.5-6.6%
2022$55.5$60.4+8.9%
2023$60.4$55.9-7.5%
2024$55.9$48.9-12%
2025$48.9$43.5-11%
2026 YTD$43.5$48.7+12%

SON has finished three years in a row lower, and it's up 12% so far in 2026.

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