AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has the edge over PTON overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

PTON

Peloton Interactive, Inc.

67
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

PTON offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

PTON Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

PTON's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN's PE is in its cheap range at 22x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 27x.

PTON PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE604x1209x1813x2418x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE604x1209x1813x2418x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$5.53—
Current18x$5.53—
Cheap39x$11.63+110%
Fair178x$53.35+865%
Expensive1,471x$441+7883%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PTON has the edge over AMZN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.

PTON Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect PTON's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PTON, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PTON Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+59%$8.80
Downside-32%$3.78

Calculated from the latest close: $5.53 on Nov 12.

PTON trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.37 over the past year, up 75% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

PTON Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.44Q1 2024: $-2.10Q2 2024: $-1.51Q3 2024: $-1.07Q4 2024: $-0.77Q1 2025: $-0.44Q2 2025: $-0.30Q3 2025: $-0.27Q4 2025: $-0.12Q1 2026: $0.06Q2 2026: $0.14Q3 2026: $0.30Forward: $0.32
Q4 2023: $-2.44Q1 2024: $-2.10Q2 2024: $-1.51Q3 2024: $-1.07Q4 2024: $-0.77Q1 2025: $-0.44Q2 2025: $-0.30Q3 2025: $-0.27Q4 2025: $-0.12Q1 2026: $0.06Q2 2026: $0.14Q3 2026: $0.30Forward: $0.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.32+6.8%
Q3 2026$0.30+$0.57
Q2 2026$0.14+$0.44
Q1 2026$0.06+$0.50
Q4 2025-$0.12+$0.65
Q3 2025-$0.27+$0.80
Q2 2025-$0.30+$1.21
Q1 2025-$0.44+$1.66
Q4 2024-$0.77+$1.67

PTON has returned to profit: it earned $0.30 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN has the edge over PTON on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PTON Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $744MQ1 2024: $718MQ2 2024: $644MQ3 2024: $586MQ4 2024: $674MQ1 2025: $624MQ2 2025: $607MQ3 2025: $551MQ4 2025: $657MQ1 2026: $631MQ2 2026: $608MQ3 2026: $559M
Q4 2023: $744MQ1 2024: $718MQ2 2024: $644MQ3 2024: $586MQ4 2024: $674MQ1 2025: $624MQ2 2025: $607MQ3 2025: $551MQ4 2025: $657MQ1 2026: $631MQ2 2026: $608MQ3 2026: $559M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$559.2M+1.5%
Q2 2026$607.7M+0.1%
Q1 2026$630.9M+1.1%
Q4 2025$656.5M-2.6%
Q3 2025$550.8M-6%
Q2 2025$606.9M-5.7%
Q1 2025$624M-13%
Q4 2024$673.9M-9.4%

PTON's revenue fell from its 2021 peak and has held roughly level since: $559M last quarter, up 1.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

PTON Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$37MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: $106MQ1 2025: $95MQ2 2025: $112MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $71MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $89MQ3 2026: $143M
Q4 2023: −$37MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: $106MQ1 2025: $95MQ2 2025: $112MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $71MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $89MQ3 2026: $143M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$143.4M+113%
Q2 2026$88.8M-21%
Q1 2026$150.5M+59%
Q4 2025$71M-33%
Q3 2025$67.4M+530%
Q2 2025$112.4M+332%
Q1 2025$94.6M+1000%
Q4 2024$106M+$143.1M

PTON has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has the edge over PTON on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PTON Total Shares

Q4 2023: 362MQ1 2024: 368MQ2 2024: 366MQ3 2024: 379MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 394MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 430MQ4 2025: 421MQ1 2026: 512MQ2 2026: 436MQ3 2026: 525M
Q4 2023: 362MQ1 2024: 368MQ2 2024: 366MQ3 2024: 379MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 394MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 430MQ4 2025: 421MQ1 2026: 512MQ2 2026: 436MQ3 2026: 525M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+20%+89.2M shares
1 year+22%+95.4M shares
3 years+47%+167M shares
5 years+74%+224M shares
Available history+88%+245M shares

PTON has 525M diluted shares, up 22% from a year ago.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

PTON Net Leverage

Q2 2025: 9.3xQ3 2025: 5.8xQ4 2025: 3.6xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q2 2025: 9.3xQ3 2025: 5.8xQ4 2025: 3.6xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20260.6xVery low
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20253.6xElevated
Q3 20255.8xHigh
Q2 20259.3xHigh
Q1 2021-8.1xNet Cash
Q4 2020-6.1xNet Cash

PTON has the edge over AMZN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

PTON Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.9Neutral
Stochastic43.7Neutral

PTON's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN is trading at 22x earnings, a 20% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

PTON PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricPTONSector medianRelative
PE18x18x2.3% above
PE %04747 pts below

PTON has the edge over AMZN on valuation relative to its sector.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN has the edge over PTON on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

PTON Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.235.7% above
20 week MA$5.471.1% above
50 week MA$5.392.6% above
100 week MA$6.3813% below
200 week MA$6.4514% below

PTON has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 14% below its 200-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has the edge over PTON on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PTON Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$27.0$162.7+503%
2021$162.7$38.6-76%
2022$38.6$8.89-77%
2023$8.89$6.09-31%
2024$6.09$9.39+54%
2025$9.39$6.06-35%
2026 YTD$6.06$5.53-8.7%

PTON's yearly returns have swung widely, from +503% in 2020 to −77% in 2022. It's down 8.7% so far in 2026.

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