AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has the edge over PII overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

PII

Polaris Inc.

53
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

PII's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

PII Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak

PII's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN's PE is in its cheap range at 22x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 27x.

PII PE Valuation

PII has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.

PII Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PII, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PII, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PII Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$85.74
Downside-24%$49.25

Calculated from the latest close: $64.69 on Nov 12.

PII trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN has the edge over PII on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

PII Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.71Q1 2024: $6.83Q2 2024: $5.72Q3 2024: $3.59Q4 2024: $1.95Q1 2025: $0.71Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-2.66Q4 2025: $-8.18Q1 2026: $-7.84Q2 2026: $-4.63Q3 2026: $-3.69Forward: $2.84
Q4 2023: $8.71Q1 2024: $6.83Q2 2024: $5.72Q3 2024: $3.59Q4 2024: $1.95Q1 2025: $0.71Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-2.66Q4 2025: $-8.18Q1 2026: $-7.84Q2 2026: $-4.63Q3 2026: $-3.69Forward: $2.84
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.84—
Q3 2026-$3.69-$1.03
Q2 2026-$4.63-$2.74
Q1 2026-$7.84-1204%
Q4 2025-$8.18-519%
Q3 2025-$2.66-174%
Q2 2025-$1.89-133%
Q1 2025$0.71-90%
Q4 2024$1.95-78%

PII lost $3.69 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN has the edge over PII on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PII Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.3BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2B
Q4 2023: $2.3BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2B+11%
Q2 2026$2B+9.2%
Q1 2026$1.7B+8%
Q4 2025$1.9B+9.5%
Q3 2025$1.8B+6.9%
Q2 2025$1.9B-5.5%
Q1 2025$1.5B-12%
Q4 2024$1.8B-23%

PII's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $2B last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

PII Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $449MQ1 2024: −$178MQ2 2024: $79MQ3 2024: −$32MQ4 2024: $137MQ1 2025: $48MQ2 2025: $280MQ3 2025: $117MQ4 2025: $114MQ1 2026: −$350MQ2 2026: $186MQ3 2026: $315M
Q4 2023: $449MQ1 2024: −$178MQ2 2024: $79MQ3 2024: −$32MQ4 2024: $137MQ1 2025: $48MQ2 2025: $280MQ3 2025: $117MQ4 2025: $114MQ1 2026: −$350MQ2 2026: $186MQ3 2026: $315M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$315.3M+170%
Q2 2026$186.1M-33%
Q1 2026-$349.9M-835%
Q4 2025$114M-17%
Q3 2025$116.7M+$149.1M
Q2 2025$279.8M+254%
Q1 2025$47.6M+$225.1M
Q4 2024$137.3M-69%

PII has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has the edge over PII on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PII Total Shares

Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 57MQ2 2024: 57MQ3 2024: 57MQ4 2024: 57MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 57MQ1 2026: 57MQ2 2026: 58MQ3 2026: 59M
Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 57MQ2 2024: 57MQ3 2024: 57MQ4 2024: 57MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 57MQ1 2026: 57MQ2 2026: 58MQ3 2026: 59M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+200K shares
1 year+2.8%+1.6M shares
3 years+1.2%+700K shares
5 years-6.1%-3.8M shares
Available history-6.1%-3.8M shares

PII has 59M diluted shares, up 2.8% from a year ago.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN has the edge over PII on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PII Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.9xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 3.4xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ2 2026: 21.0xQ3 2026: 10.5x
Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.9xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 3.4xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ2 2026: 21.0xQ3 2026: 10.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202610.5xHigh
Q2 202621.0xHigh
Q3 20254.2xHigh
Q2 20253.9xElevated
Q1 20253.4xElevated
Q4 20243.1xElevated
Q3 20242.9xModerate
Q2 20242.4xModerate

PII's net debt is about 10 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.4 years a year ago.

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

PII Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.6Neutral
Stochastic51.1Neutral

PII's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 51 (neutral).

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN is trading at 22x earnings, a 20% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

PII PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricPIISector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

PII has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN has the edge over PII on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

PII Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$56.614% above
20 week MA$62.04.3% above
50 week MA$63.52% above
100 week MA$56.814% above
200 week MA$76.115% below

PII has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 15% below its 200-week average.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has the edge over PII on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PII Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.4$98.7-2.6%
2021$98.7$106.3+7.6%
2022$106.3$100.8-5.2%
2023$100.8$94.8-6%
2024$94.8$57.4-39%
2025$57.4$66.3+15%
2026 YTD$66.3$64.7-2.4%

PII has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 2.4% so far in 2026.

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